BTC sits at $83k. $90,000 or $80,000 first? We ran every hourly start of the last two years from $83,435: $80,000 printed first 60.1% of the time, $90,000 35.9%. Sounds bearish. Mostly it's distance: $80,000 is 4.1% away, $90,000 is 7.9%. A coin with no memory picks the near one nearly two times in three. Same question in the three two-year windows before: 50%, 44%, 48%. Back then the tape leaned up. The 30-day window on today's start closes Nov-06.