🚹 LIVE: THE FED MINUTES DROP TODAY AT 2 PM ET — AND THEY COULD MOVE EVERYTHING.
Kevin Warsh just delivered his first rate hike as Fed Chair.
12-0 unanimous.
Rates now sit at 3.75%-4.00%.
But the real market-moving information is still hidden inside today’s FOMC minutes.
The dot plot points to ONE more hike in 2026.
Inflation is still running hot at roughly 3.7%.
Markets had slashed October hike odds to just 22%.
Yet traders are pricing an 86% chance of another hike by December.
Now comes the big question:
Was today’s hike just the beginning?
If officials wanted an even BIGGER hike, expect a shockwave across markets.
USD could rip higher.
Stocks could sell off.
Crypto could get hit hard.
But if the minutes show broad agreement around the current pace, markets could breathe a huge sigh of relief.
Then watch the language carefully.
“Many” or “Most” officials supporting more hikes = 🚹 hawkish signal.
“Some” or “Few” = markets may start pricing a softer path.
And the biggest wildcard?
INFLATION.
If Fed officials sound increasingly worried that inflation is accelerating, markets could quickly price in more tightening.
If inflation concerns are easing, traders may start betting that the hiking cycle is closer to its end.
That means today’s FOMC minutes could decide the next major move for the dollar, stocks AND crypto.
2 PM ET.
Volatility incoming.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #FederalReserve #StockMarket #Economy