#FedOctoberRateHikeOddsFallTo17%
#FedOctoberRateHikeOddsFallTo17%
đš FED RATE-HIKE BETS JUST TOOK A MAJOR HIT
The U.S. labor market has delivered a warning shot â and markets are listening.
đșđž September payrolls increased by just 29,000, massively below the 90,000 expected.
đ Unemployment climbed to 4.2% from 4.1%.
đ» Previous payroll estimates were also revised lower by a combined 60,000 jobs.
And the market reaction was immediate:
đ„ October Fed rate-hike odds dropped to around 17%, while the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged rose to roughly 83%.
This changes the short-term macro picture.
A weaker labor market means the Fed has less pressure to tighten policy immediately. At the same time, wage growth slowed to 3.0% year-over-year, adding another signal that labor-market pressure may be cooling.
But here's the key point:
â ïž One weak jobs report does NOT guarantee a Fed pivot.
Inflation remains the bigger wildcard, and the Fed will still be watching upcoming inflation data closely before making its next move.
For crypto and risk assets, however, falling rate-hike expectations can become an important catalyst.
đ° Less pressure for higher rates
đ Lower tightening expectations
đ Potentially better liquidity conditions
đ„ More room for risk assets to breathe
The market is now asking one major question:
Will October become a Fed pause â and could December become the next big policy battleground?
The next inflation data may decide just how powerful this shift really is.
#FederalReserve #Fed #InterestRates #NFP #USJobs #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #Macro
#FedOctoberRateHikeOddsFallTo17%
đš FED RATE-HIKE BETS JUST TOOK A MAJOR HIT
The U.S. labor market has delivered a warning shot â and markets are listening.
đșđž September payrolls increased by just 29,000, massively below the 90,000 expected.
đ Unemployment climbed to 4.2% from 4.1%.
đ» Previous payroll estimates were also revised lower by a combined 60,000 jobs.
And the market reaction was immediate:
đ„ October Fed rate-hike odds dropped to around 17%, while the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged rose to roughly 83%.
This changes the short-term macro picture.
A weaker labor market means the Fed has less pressure to tighten policy immediately. At the same time, wage growth slowed to 3.0% year-over-year, adding another signal that labor-market pressure may be cooling.
But here's the key point:
â ïž One weak jobs report does NOT guarantee a Fed pivot.
Inflation remains the bigger wildcard, and the Fed will still be watching upcoming inflation data closely before making its next move.
For crypto and risk assets, however, falling rate-hike expectations can become an important catalyst.
đ° Less pressure for higher rates
đ Lower tightening expectations
đ Potentially better liquidity conditions
đ„ More room for risk assets to breathe
The market is now asking one major question:
Will October become a Fed pause â and could December become the next big policy battleground?
The next inflation data may decide just how powerful this shift really is.
#FederalReserve #Fed #InterestRates #NFP #USJobs #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #Macro
