Potential reversal against a higher trend

🔮 SHORT $LSK /USDT: expecting price to go DOWN
Bias: SHORT · Leaning

Entry: 0.278177 – 0.279143
TP1: 0.268063 (-3.8%)
TP2: 0.260998 (-6.3%)
TP3: 0.250400 (-10.1%)
SL: 0.292790 (+5.1%)
Plan: enter only inside the zone, take half at TP1, then move the stop to entry.
Caution: counter-trend setup against the bigger trend, only 4 signals confirm it. Size down, respect the stop.

Why SHORT? Leaning call, 4/12 signals agree, 1 against, 7 undecided.
‱ 1h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack → the short-term trend is down
‱ Trend strength (ADX/DI, 15m): ADX 27.6 with sellers in control (DI+ 15.3 vs DI− 26.4) → sellers are driving the move
‱ 4h RSI: 41.1, bearish momentum (below 45) → sellers have the momentum
Risk: Daily trend: price > EMA50 > EMA200, bullish stack → the big-picture trend is up

Why I like it:
The 1h price sits below stacked EMAs, confirming a short-term down move. Sellers are in control, as the 15-minute ADX shows DI-minus at 26.4 versus DI-plus at 15.3, and both the 1h and 4h RSI readings sit below 45. This is a counter-trend setup against the daily bullish trend, which makes it riskier than a trend-follow trade, so size down and respect the stop.

Where would you place your invalidation level relative to the daily structure?

Levels mapped on the chart below.

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