📊 Weekly Recap: The $87k Squeeze and The Three-Agency Pivot

Bitcoin touched an eight month high of $87.4k before pulling back to $84k. Following the death of the CLARITY Act in the Senate, the Fed, CFTC, and SEC stepped in to publish regulatory guidance.

📌 The Macro Pivot

Lower oil prices and regulatory moves shaped the macro environment alongside hawkish Fed commentary.

‱ Oil and Yields: WTI crude fell 8 percent to $92.41 on US-Iran truce talk around the UN General Assembly. Easing oil prices pulled Treasury yields off their highs, creating room for risk assets.

‱ Fed Outlook: NY Fed's Williams indicated a late 2026 rate hike is reasonable, with 16 of 18 officials penciling in another increase before year end. However, cooler August core PCE data provided short term relief.

‱ Regulatory Action: The Fed proposed two stablecoin rules under the GENIUS Act, the CFTC cleared tokenized collateral, and the SEC issued guidance on staking and buybacks.

📌 Bitcoin Squeeze

$BTC surged from $81.2k to $87,265 on Monday before consolidating in an $83.2k to $85.6k range.

‱ Price Action: BTC experienced a sharp Monday squeeze followed by a fade to $84.1k. Despite the pullback, price remains well above mid-September lows.

‱ Record ETF Inflows: BTC ETFs saw a $2.4B influx from September 21 to 25, led by a $999M single day print on September 21. Year to date net flows flipped positive to over $1.0B, with AUM reaching $108.4B.

‱ Altcoins and Corporates: $SOL ETFs saw $188.1M in weekly inflows. MicroStrategy acquired 1,665 BTC to bring total holdings to 847,666 BTC.

📌 Sentiment and Liquidity

The Fear and Greed index sits at 68. The push past $85k triggered $648M in short liquidations, while open interest fell 12.8 percent in four sessions.

On-chain profit margins hit a 21-month high of 33 percent, pointing to heavy profit taking. Key support sits near $80k with resistance around $85k.