U.S. government debt has grown dramatically over the past two decades.
At the same time, China and Japan have become a smaller part of the Treasury market compared with previous years.
That raises an important question:
If traditional foreign buyers become less dominant, who absorbs the growing supply of U.S. debt?
The answer isn't necessarily one single buyer.
Treasuries can be absorbed by:
đșđž U.S. households and institutions đŠ Banks and financial institutions đ Foreign private investors đïž Foreign governments and central banks And, depending on monetary conditions, the Federal Reserve can influence Treasury demand
The interesting macro question is what happens if Treasury supply keeps growing while demand changes.
That could affect bond yields, liquidity, inflation expectations, the dollar and eventually risk assets like Bitcoin.
I'm not saying âmoney printing is guaranteed.â
I'm watching the Treasury market, Fed policy and inflation data to see which direction the system actually takes.
What do you think matters most here: debt supply, Treasury demand, or monetary policy?
#Bitcoin #BTC #Macro #USDebt #Markets
At the same time, China and Japan have become a smaller part of the Treasury market compared with previous years.
That raises an important question:
If traditional foreign buyers become less dominant, who absorbs the growing supply of U.S. debt?
The answer isn't necessarily one single buyer.
Treasuries can be absorbed by:
đșđž U.S. households and institutions đŠ Banks and financial institutions đ Foreign private investors đïž Foreign governments and central banks And, depending on monetary conditions, the Federal Reserve can influence Treasury demand
The interesting macro question is what happens if Treasury supply keeps growing while demand changes.
That could affect bond yields, liquidity, inflation expectations, the dollar and eventually risk assets like Bitcoin.
I'm not saying âmoney printing is guaranteed.â
I'm watching the Treasury market, Fed policy and inflation data to see which direction the system actually takes.
What do you think matters most here: debt supply, Treasury demand, or monetary policy?
#Bitcoin #BTC #Macro #USDebt #Markets
