$FIL has a two-way test, not a one-way story. Above $1.1534, the recent 4h ceiling, the rebound can try to retest $1.1991 after the pullback from $1.2258. Below $1.1064, the latest 4h low, the breakout attempt loses its clean structure and the 7.35% daily move becomes a volatility print rather than confirmation. Current price is $1.1262, so the decision is close enough to matter without pretending it is settled. My rule for this session is simple: a 4h close above $1.1534 keeps $1.1991 in play, while a close below $1.1064 changes the read. Does FIL reclaim the ceiling or lose the floor? #US10YearTreasuryYieldNears5% #AnthropicCEOCallsForAISlowdown