🚨 BITCOIN MACRO ALERT: The Easy Tailwind May Be Gone

Bitcoin is entering a critical macro phase. ⚠️

🇺🇸 Trump rejects Iran ceasefire Reports say Trump rejected Iran’s 7-day ceasefire proposal, while tensions around the Strait of Hormuz remain a major market risk.

💵 Dollar turns bullish Morgan Stanley has reversed its bearish dollar view, now projecting DXY at 104 by mid-2027 and expecting two more Fed hikes.

📊 Volatility sends a warning Treasury volatility (MOVE) has surged 30%, reaching its highest level since March — while Bitcoin’s implied volatility remains near yearly lows at 37.

🔗 But Bitcoin’s on-chain data tells another story CryptoQuant’s MVRV signal identified August 20 at $71,255 as an early bull-market entry point.

🔥 And here’s the big one: 81% of circulating Bitcoin hasn’t moved in the past 6 months.

That means a huge portion of BTC supply remains relatively dormant.

⚡ Macro pressure is rising. Bitcoin’s on-chain structure remains strong.

The next major BTC move could depend on the dollar, Fed policy and geopolitical developments.

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