分析师尤斯1688

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Bitcoin just flashed a signal that has appeared only four times before.

CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost says the latest crossover happened when Bitcoin’s short-term holder cost basis moved above the cost basis of active long-term holders.

The previous signals appeared in 2012, 2015, 2019 and 2023.

What makes this interesting is the context. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $2.06B in net inflows from Sept. 21–23, including a massive $999M on Sept. 21.

Still, one signal doesn’t guarantee anything. The analyst himself points out there is always a margin for error.

For me, the bigger question is whether this crossover is the start of another sustained cycle or simply another temporary shift in holder behavior.

What do you think?

$NVDAB

$BTC

LearnWithShaheen69

Crypto markets can move quickly, so I prefer focusing on key levels rather than chasing every candle. Support, resistance, volume, and risk management often provide more insight than emotions. Sometimes, waiting for confirmation is the better trade.

Which coin are you watching closely today, and why?

Good night 🌌

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《中美元首会晤并达成八点成果，对币圈有什么影响？》

1️⃣ “构建基于尊重、公平、对等的中美建设性战略稳定关系”
地缘冲突缓和，意味着全球风险偏好可能获得喘息。BTC作为全球流动性资产，最敏感的就是这种宏观风险变化。

2️⃣ “相互支持办好APEC和G20”
全球主要经济体继续保持高层沟通，意味着国际金融规则仍存在协调空间。加密资产未来的监管，也不可能脱离G20框架单独发展。

3️⃣ “伊朗应履行不发展核武器承诺，任何国家或机构不得对国际水道征收通行费”
中东与能源运输风险直接影响通胀、美元和美债。能源价格一旦剧烈波动，美联储利率预期变化，BTC也可能跟着重新定价。

4️⃣ “忆及中国和美国是二战盟友，并肩作战赢得战争胜利”
这是历史叙事，但对市场而言，更重要的是释放出的“避免失控”的信号。

5️⃣ “达成‘300亿美元’对等降税安排”
经贸摩擦降温，意味着全球贸易与流动性预期改善。过去几年，关税每次升级都会成为风险资产的重要变量，BTC自然也无法完全置身事外。

6️⃣ “中美禁毒执法部门合作取得可视化成果”
这一点对币圈其实很现实：跨境执法合作加强，意味着未来稳定币、交易所、链上资金流动的合规要求也可能进一步强化。

7️⃣ “建立中美人工智能对话”
AI和Crypto正在形成新的交叉地带：AI Agent、链上支付、智能合约自动执行、DePIN等。中美开始建立AI风险沟通机制，本身就是一个值得长期关注的信号。

8️⃣ “美方欢迎中方租借给美国亚特兰大动物园的一对大熊猫抵美”
熊猫看起来和币圈最没关系，但它代表的是人与人之间的交流恢复。

总结：
这次会晤真正值得加密市场关注的，不是哪一条直接利好BTC，而是三个关键词：

地缘风险 ↓
贸易不确定性 ↓
AI与金融监管合作 ↑

Today task 7 + 100 = 🎁🎁🎁🎁

50K+ posts and counting! 🔥 The #maliz movement is officially taking over.

A massive shoutout to everyone jumping on the trend, sharing, and making it go viral. The energy has been unreal, and seeing this hashtag blow up everywhere proves just how unstoppable this community is.

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🚨 Bitcoin just logged its biggest ETF inflows since October 2025, $2.39 billion poured in, even though that momentum fizzled by Friday, dropping off nearly 90%. Price action is still stuck just below resistance, so there’s no real breakout yet.

Michaël van de Poppe’s got his eyes on $84,800. If Bitcoin punches through that level, $90,000 isn’t far off. Miss it, and we’re stuck in sideways action.

Everyone’s waiting on the PCE data coming out September 30. Tom Lee says a tweak in the calculation could finally bring core inflation closer to 3%. If that happens, the Fed might take its foot off the brake. It’s a bullish outlook, but we need the data to confirm it.

Bitcoin folks seem to agree on where this is headed, but not on when.

For the QNT crowd: as more institutions step in, what matters more confidential compliance, or sticking with transparent EVM? Is privacy about to have its moment, or does openness stay king? Chime in below.
#QNT
#BTC

本期bnb红包🧧🧧🧧送上。
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