$MUBARAK -5.9% flush on 3x volume: distribution pressure is still active

My bias remains bearish on the 1h. Price broke below the 0.05027 swing low during a -5.9% flush, backed by a 3.0x volume spike. For now, this looks more like continuation of distribution than a confirmed bottom.

The bigger picture is mixed: 1h structure is bearish, while daily and weekly remain bullish. That makes this a counter-trend short inside the broader uptrend, so confirmation is essential before entering.

Key levels:

First downside target: 0.04200

Main demand zone: 0.03272–0.03149

Potential relief/retest zone: 0.0503–0.0570

Extended bounce level: 0.07204

Major invalidation: 1h close above 0.08706

Short setup: I want either a failed reclaim/liquidity sweep around 0.0503–0.0570 or a fresh 1h close below 0.0480 after a bounce. A bearish engulfing candle, rejection wick, or 15m market-structure shift lower would provide additional confirmation.

Flow also deserves attention: OI: $24.3M, down 39.9% in 24h Funding: +0.0050% Taker ratio: 0.98x

The sharp OI contraction alongside the volume spike points to significant long-position unwinding and possible long-squeeze pressure. Until MUBARAK reclaims the broken structure convincingly, I am watching for continuation rather than chasing a bottom.

TP1: 0.04200 TP2: 0.03272 TP3: 0.03149

Invalidation: 1h close above 0.08706

Not financial advice. Educational report only.

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