BTCVDD and Median Price Top/Bottom Buying Model
By combining the long-term trading activity of VDD with the deviation of the median price, we mark the green zone at the bottom of the bear market and the red column at the top of the bull market, and dynamically extrapolate based on the historical 687/678 day window.
Periodic combination signal
The green zone at the bottom of the bear is still ongoing.
The latest daily VDD is 0.646x, and the BTC/median price is 1.22x. The green zone condition is VDD < 0.9 and price multiple ≤ 1.25; the red bar condition is VDD ≥ 1.5 and price multiple ≥ 1.5. The most recent green zone ended on August 24, 2026, and the midpoint of the top risk extrapolated from the average of two reference samples is July 6, 2028.
After the bear bottom ended
21 days 2 hours
Price / Median
1.22x
Deducing the top midpoint
2028-07-06
On-chain date
2026-09-13
Low VDD combined with price retracement to the median signals a bear market bottom, while high VDD combined with prices significantly above the median signals a top and distribution risk.
The green zone requires VDD Multiple to be less than 0.9 and the BTC price to be no more than 1.25 times the median price. This is used to identify the right-side bottom structure after long-term accumulation of chips and cooling of trading activity. The red bars require VDD to be no less than 1.5 and the BTC / median price to be no less than 1.5. This is used to mark the resonance between the high-level movement of old chips and valuation expansion.#AnthropicCEOCallsForAISlowdown #BTC
By combining the long-term trading activity of VDD with the deviation of the median price, we mark the green zone at the bottom of the bear market and the red column at the top of the bull market, and dynamically extrapolate based on the historical 687/678 day window.
Periodic combination signal
The green zone at the bottom of the bear is still ongoing.
The latest daily VDD is 0.646x, and the BTC/median price is 1.22x. The green zone condition is VDD < 0.9 and price multiple ≤ 1.25; the red bar condition is VDD ≥ 1.5 and price multiple ≥ 1.5. The most recent green zone ended on August 24, 2026, and the midpoint of the top risk extrapolated from the average of two reference samples is July 6, 2028.
After the bear bottom ended
21 days 2 hours
Price / Median
1.22x
Deducing the top midpoint
2028-07-06
On-chain date
2026-09-13
Low VDD combined with price retracement to the median signals a bear market bottom, while high VDD combined with prices significantly above the median signals a top and distribution risk.
The green zone requires VDD Multiple to be less than 0.9 and the BTC price to be no more than 1.25 times the median price. This is used to identify the right-side bottom structure after long-term accumulation of chips and cooling of trading activity. The red bars require VDD to be no less than 1.5 and the BTC / median price to be no less than 1.5. This is used to mark the resonance between the high-level movement of old chips and valuation expansion.#AnthropicCEOCallsForAISlowdown #BTC