Bitcoin’s 15-Year Cycle: Is the Biggest Move Already Over?

This long-term logarithmic chart tells a very different story.

Since Bitcoin’s inception, we can potentially identify a major 5-wave impulsive structure:

1️⃣ Wave 1
2️⃣ Wave 2
3️⃣ Wave 3
4️⃣ Wave 4
5️⃣ Wave 5

My interpretation is that Bitcoin may have already completed this major 5-wave structure by 2025.

If that’s correct, the next phase could be a much larger corrective cycle.

⚠️ This doesn’t mean BTC can’t rally further.

Bitcoin could still move higher and create another strong corrective rally.

But I don’t believe BTC necessarily needs to make a new ATH before the larger correction begins.

And if this long-term structure plays out as I expect, the next major bear market could be far more aggressive than most investors anticipate.

🎯 My long-term BTC bear-market target: $13,888 or LOWER.

I know that sounds crazy at today’s price.

But Bitcoin has historically gone through massive drawdowns, and this is a 15+ year logarithmic chart, not a short-term prediction.

The key question isn't:

“How high can Bitcoin go?”

It’s:

“What if the 5-wave cycle is already complete?”

I’m watching the structure closely.

Price will ultimately prove this thesis right or wrong.

$BTC

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