🏆 2026 FIFA World Cup — Win Probabilities (as of June 24–25)
France leads the market at roughly 19% on Polymarket, followed by Argentina at 16%. (Polymarket)
France's odds sit at +413 on Kalshi to win the tournament. (Covers) Here's a broader picture:
Team
Implied Win % (approx.)
đŸ‡«đŸ‡· France
~19%
đŸ‡ŠđŸ‡· Argentina
~16%
đŸ‡Ș🇾 Spain
~14%
đŸŽó §ó ąó „ó źó §ó ż England
~13%
đŸ‡”đŸ‡č Portugal
rising
đŸ‡©đŸ‡Ș Germany
mid-tier#FIFA #ArgentinaEconomy"