I’ve been closely studying the structure of Bitcoin, and the current cycle is starting to look very similar to 2017 and 2021. If history continues to rhyme, there’s a real possibility that
$BTC could drop toward $35,000 within the next 10 days.
The real question is: Are you prepared for that scenario?
My strategy is different from most people. I don’t track Bitcoin based on price alone.
I track it on two axes:
TIME + PRICE
Most retail investors only focus on price. That’s exactly why they consistently miss the best entries.
🔹 TIME Axis
Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:
2012: 406 days
2016: 363 days
2020: 376 days
2024: Still pending
These numbers are remarkably close. If this cycle aligns similarly, the highest-probability window for the next true bottom would be October to November 2026.
That’s my time target.
When that window hits, I buy — regardless of what the price looks like.
Because understanding time prevents you from being front-run.
🔹 PRICE Axis
I already began accumulating when #
$BTC entered the $60,000 zone — even though the time window hasn’t arrived yet.
Why?
Because waiting for the “perfect” level is how you miss the entire move.
Retail investors say: “I’ll only buy at X price.”
But if price never reaches that level, they’re left watching from the sidelines.
My framework is simple:
If price offers value → I start buying.
If the historical time window hits → I buy, no matter the price.
Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer in the $60K range. People laughed. They believed Bitcoin would never revisit that zone.
I don’t argue with noise.
I stick to the plan.
Now that we’ve touched that area, the price thesis played out. But the risk of a lower low still exists — and that’s why the TIME axis matters.
📌 My Plan
1️⃣ TIME Axis: October–November 2026 → Strong BUY regardless of price.
2️⃣ PRICE Axis: Below $60,000 → Strong BUY regardless of timing.
There’s one more key indicator I monitor:
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) — an on-chain metric that historically signals true cycle bottoms (2018, COVID crash, 2022).
Right now, we are not in that deep capitulation “blue zone” yet. That’s why I wouldn’t be surprised to see BTC trade in the $45K–$50K range by late 2026.
That’s where I would feel confident going heavy.
The market feels messy right now — but every cycle goes through this phase.
I’ve studied macro for over a decade and have called most major market tops, including the October BTC ATH.
Ignore the noise.
Follow the framework.
Prepare before the headlines do.
$BTC #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #BitcoinCrash #CryptoNews