$BTC WEEKLY UPDATE 🚨 PREPARE YOURSELF ‼️
NEXT 3 DAYS ARE MUCH MORE IMPORTANT THAN PEOPLE REALIZE.
Everyone is looking at the chart right now, but honestly, the chart is only half of the story.
BTC is sitting close to 76.7K, with 75K still being the main support I’m watching. If 75K survives this pressure, I still believe Bitcoin has room for a proper rebound
But here is the interesting part.
The market is now pricing roughly an 85–86% chance of a Fed rate hike next week. After the latest inflation data, almost everyone suddenly moved to the same side of the boat
And whenever the market becomes this sure about something, I start watching the opposite possibility very carefully.
Because Kevin Warsh is not some random Fed chairman.Trump nominated him only a few months ago, and Trump has repeatedly been pushing for lower rates. Warsh obviously cannot simply do whatever Trump wants the Fed is still independent but politically, this relationship is worth keeping in the back of your mind 👀
This is why Wednesday interests me so much.
Imagine everyone positions for a hike…
shorts build up…fear increases……and then the Fed simply holds rates unchanged, or Warsh gives a softer message than expected.
That alone could create a very aggressive relief move.
Of course, if Warsh actually hikes and stays strongly hawkish, then I won’t fight the market. That would keep pressure on BTC.
The official Fed meeting is September 15–16, with the decision and press conference on Wednesday.
One more thing The Senate is expected to hold a key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act on September 15. Expectations are still weak, but there’s roughly a 20% chance of passage.
So for me, the next few days are basically this:
75K holds + Fed surprises softer + positive progress on the crypto bill = BTC can rebound much harder than people expect.
75K breaks + Fed hikes aggressively + bill disappoints = then I become much more defensive
What's Your Opinion ? Bullish or Bearish ?
NEXT 3 DAYS ARE MUCH MORE IMPORTANT THAN PEOPLE REALIZE.
Everyone is looking at the chart right now, but honestly, the chart is only half of the story.
BTC is sitting close to 76.7K, with 75K still being the main support I’m watching. If 75K survives this pressure, I still believe Bitcoin has room for a proper rebound
But here is the interesting part.
The market is now pricing roughly an 85–86% chance of a Fed rate hike next week. After the latest inflation data, almost everyone suddenly moved to the same side of the boat
And whenever the market becomes this sure about something, I start watching the opposite possibility very carefully.
Because Kevin Warsh is not some random Fed chairman.Trump nominated him only a few months ago, and Trump has repeatedly been pushing for lower rates. Warsh obviously cannot simply do whatever Trump wants the Fed is still independent but politically, this relationship is worth keeping in the back of your mind 👀
This is why Wednesday interests me so much.
Imagine everyone positions for a hike…
shorts build up…fear increases……and then the Fed simply holds rates unchanged, or Warsh gives a softer message than expected.
That alone could create a very aggressive relief move.
Of course, if Warsh actually hikes and stays strongly hawkish, then I won’t fight the market. That would keep pressure on BTC.
The official Fed meeting is September 15–16, with the decision and press conference on Wednesday.
One more thing The Senate is expected to hold a key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act on September 15. Expectations are still weak, but there’s roughly a 20% chance of passage.
So for me, the next few days are basically this:
75K holds + Fed surprises softer + positive progress on the crypto bill = BTC can rebound much harder than people expect.
75K breaks + Fed hikes aggressively + bill disappoints = then I become much more defensive
What's Your Opinion ? Bullish or Bearish ?
