$BTC and markets are still stuck in a very fragile balance between geopolitics and risk-on positioning. The main narrative hasn’t changed much: negotiations around the Iran deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz are still ongoing, but the timeline is getting stretched. Meanwhile, equities managed to close near highs, supported by falling long-end yields and oil pulling back below $100 - a mix that keeps traditional markets calm, at least for now. At the same time, Trump once again stated that the US is the “global capital of crypto,” adding more political noise into an already sensitive macro environment. Meanwhile, $BTC is still trading under pressure. Bulls and bears remain locked around key levels: $74K is now the main weekly support, and losing it would open the door to a deeper 2026 downside extension scenario. ETH already tagged its downside level near $2,050 but still shows no independent strength - continuing to mirror BTC almost tick-for-tick. A few other headlines worth watching: ▪️ Elon Musk is reportedly discussing a potential merger of SpaceX and Tesla ahead of a $2.85T SpaceX IPO valuation narrative ▪️ Mastercard is integrating Chainlink to enable crypto purchases for ~3.5B cardholders via traditional payment rails ▪️ Base launched Base MCP - a protocol giving AI agents direct access to crypto wallets on Base ▪️ Spain officially blocked prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi Feels like markets are entering another phase where macro headlines, regulation, and AI infrastructure are all pulling liquidity in different directions 👀 #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#