The obvious trade on AI is chips. Thiel Macro just filed paperwork that says the obvious trade isn't where the bottleneck is.
The fund reported zero U.S. long holdings for two straight quarters — periods ending December 2025 and March 2026. Then it came back with $418.7 million across eight names. Seven were energy.
Vista Energy, developing Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale. Vistra, a merchant power producer. Four regulated utilities — American Electric Power, DTE, FirstEnergy, CMS — each about $4...
$BTC BIG SHORT NOW — The downside setup is locked in. I’m expecting another strong leg lower.
Trading Plan Short $BTC
Entry: 77,220 - 78,780
SL: 82,000
TP1: 76,700
TP2: 74,500
TP3: 72,400
trade $BTC here 👇
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Perfect Storm Index sitting at 69 today, up from 67 yesterday. That's two ticks higher and worth noting.
Pressure's building across rates, the dollar, positioning, and macro uncertainty. Vol and credit are still behaving, but the weight is shifting toward caution. This isn't panic mode, but it's not a green light either.
Stay selective. Tighten your stops. Cash isn't dead money — it's dry powder waiting for the right setup.
I've seen setups like this before. They don't always blow up, but the...
An edge is just a repeatable statistical advantage. That's it. If your data proves it works over hundreds of trades, you have an edge — doesn't matter if it's Bollinger scalps, MA retests, or some weird Tuesday ritual.
There's no holy grail. There are infinite frameworks. Your job is to find one that fits your psychology, backtest it, forward-test it, and confirm the edge with real data.
Once you've got proof, the game becomes execution. Discipline, patience, and sticking to the model even whe...