asuna_yuki

Today I'll share a little about Bomb's personal life. There's nothing to tell about my youth, but talking about my adult life, marriage, and children is a long story.
In 2019, my current wife and I decided to get married and have a wedding, but life wasn't like a dream. The Covid-19 pandemic hit, so we had to postpone the entire wedding for a year, the deposit was temporarily canceled, and the venue rental was lost.
In 2020, everything went more smoothly. My wife and I got married, but 6 months after the wedding, my wife went for a health check and was found to have thyroid cancer. Having children had to be postponed so my wife could have surgery and radiation treatment. After 2 years, in 2022, my wife overcame that terrible disease and her health gradually stabilized, and my husband and I began our journey to having children again.
12/09/2022 Luckily, my wife was pregnant, but life was ironic. When we were 4 months pregnant, when we went for a test, both my husband and I carried the gene for congenital hemolytic anemia and unfortunately, the baby in my wife's womb also carried a very severe form of the gene, the doctor advised us to abort the baby. My husband and I had to accept that.
In 2023, my wife and I continued this journey, but this time we decided to do IVF to ensure our baby was born healthy.
The first time, after 5 days of IVF, my wife tested and found that the Beta index was stable (a sign of pregnancy), but unfortunately, after 12 days, the Beta index dropped completely, the doctor concluded that the fetus in her womb was biochemically damaged.
I advised my wife to rest for a year to regain her health. In February 2024, my family decided to do IVF for the second time, this time transferring 2 embryos at a time and what was to come, came, everything went smoothly.
06/12/2024 My wife gave birth to twin girls, 2024 is called the year of the dragon for Asians, I often tease my wife that she gave birth to 2 little dragon girls. The happiness was like bursting when I first held 2 little angels in my arms.
I share here just to tell you that: No matter how difficult life is, how cruel fate is, as long as you are determined and try, you will overcome everything and succeed.
WISH YOU WILL BE SUCCESSFUL WITH THE DECISION AND PATH YOU HAVE CHOSEN
HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO MY 2 LITTLE DRAGON GIRLS! WISH YOU A LIFE OF PEACE

1. 降息节奏：2025年9月首次降息25基点，联邦基金利率降至4.00%-4.25%，截至目前本轮周期累计降息125基点；点阵图预测年底利率或达3.6%，隐含年内仍有两次25基点降息空间。
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2. 政策逻辑：采取“小步慢跑”审慎策略，边降边看平衡经济与通胀，每次降息多为25基点渐进调整，预留政策缓冲空间。

二、核心降息动因

- 经济基本面承压：经济宽幅震荡，内需增长乏力，二季度GDP反弹依赖进口退坡，内生动力减弱；就业市场转冷，8月非农新增仅2.2万，近3月月均新增不足12万，失业率创近4年新高。
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- 通胀与政策博弈：通胀虽从高点回落，8月CPI同比2.9%仍高于2%目标，但已非首要风险，美联储更优先应对就业下行压力；同时需缓解政府高债务融资成本，平衡白宫政治施压与央行政策独立性。

三、市场与经济影响

- 资产端：短期提振美股创阶段性新高，但后续波动加剧（10月纳斯达克单日跌3.56%），低利率推升权益资产吸引力，美元理财收益持续回落至3.79%。
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- 经济端：降低企业与家庭融资成本，试图刺激消费和投资，但关税、政府债务等不确定性抵消部分利好，经济难逆整体放缓趋势，且降息与关税叠加或加大通胀管控难度。

四、后续趋势预判

美联储大概率维持渐进式降息，年内或再降50基点，2026年降息频次收窄至1次；决策核心将紧盯就业、通胀数据及关税政策传导效果，优先规避市场剧烈波动与资产泡沫风险。