According to macro researcher Adam from Greeks.live highlighted key events scheduled for the week of October 14-20, which could influence both traditional and crypto markets. The crypto market is expected to remain volatile in October, with significant fluctuations anticipated around the U.S. election.
Key Macro Insights:
The market holds unified expectations for the next Federal Reserve rate cut, limiting immediate impacts. However, ongoing election developments will drive sentiment as the market looks for more clarity ahead of the U.S. election.
Current polls show Harris with a 2% lead in approval, while Polymarket data indicates Trump has a 10% higher approval rating.
Major Events from October 14-20:
Monday, Oct. 14:
Neel Kashkari, 2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President, participates in a panel (21:00 ET).
Tuesday, Oct. 15:
Fed Governor Christopher Waller speaks on the economic outlook (03:00 ET).
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks at NYU’s Stern School of Business (23:30 ET).
Wednesday, Oct. 16:
Fed Governor Adriana Kugler delivers a speech (01:00 ET).
UK September CPI release (14:00 ET).
Thursday, Oct. 17:
Eurozone September CPI release (17:00 ET).
ECB interest rate decision (20:15 ET).
US initial jobless claims and September retail sales data (20:30 ET).
ECB President Christine Lagarde holds a press conference (20:45 ET).
Friday, Oct. 18:
Kashkari delivers another speech (22:00 ET).
Crypto Market Outlook:
The crypto market will continue experiencing volatility throughout October, driven by macroeconomic updates and election-related uncertainty. Bitcoin's implied volatility (IV) is currently at a medium level, but fluctuations are expected to increase before and after the U.S. election.
Traders will keep a close watch on macro events like the Fed speeches and Eurozone CPI data, as these could trigger sharp movements across digital asset markets. The combination of economic indicators and election developments is likely to keep crypto volatility elevated in the coming weeks.