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Binance is giving out benefits! BNB HODLers are making a killing: ‘Banana Gun’ airdrops send the price of BNB soaring 40%, setting a new all-time high!Not only can you participate in the exciting Launchpool (new coin mining) and the surprising Megadrop (Web3 wallet event) on the Binance platform, but in the middle of last month, Binance also launched a brand new HODLer airdrop plan, which is like a carnival of wealth, presenting BNB holders with more unimaginable welfare feasts! During a certain magical time, anyone who uses BNB to participate in fixed and/or current products will be eligible to participate in this exciting HODLer airdrop and win coveted new coin rewards!

Binance is giving out benefits! BNB HODLers are making a killing: ‘Banana Gun’ airdrops send the price of BNB soaring 40%, setting a new all-time high!

Not only can you participate in the exciting Launchpool (new coin mining) and the surprising Megadrop (Web3 wallet event) on the Binance platform, but in the middle of last month, Binance also launched a brand new HODLer airdrop plan, which is like a carnival of wealth, presenting BNB holders with more unimaginable welfare feasts!
During a certain magical time, anyone who uses BNB to participate in fixed and/or current products will be eligible to participate in this exciting HODLer airdrop and win coveted new coin rewards!
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to rise as both long and short prices explode. Will it break through 60,000 this week? Here are some opportunities to gain 100 times the profit in the bull market!Last night, Bitcoin (BTC) drew a thrilling cross star: it rose rapidly, fell sharply, and then rebounded strongly. Before the release of US inflation data, Bitcoin once surged to $58,000. However, less than two hours after the data was released, the bears quickly pushed the price down to $55,550. Subsequently, the bulls launched a fierce counterattack, and as of early this morning, Bitcoin climbed to a high of $58,000 again. This wave of violent market fluctuations has dealt a heavy blow to both bulls and bears. Only those steadfast investors can survive this violent market shakeout.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to rise as both long and short prices explode. Will it break through 60,000 this week? Here are some opportunities to gain 100 times the profit in the bull market!

Last night, Bitcoin (BTC) drew a thrilling cross star: it rose rapidly, fell sharply, and then rebounded strongly. Before the release of US inflation data, Bitcoin once surged to $58,000.
However, less than two hours after the data was released, the bears quickly pushed the price down to $55,550. Subsequently, the bulls launched a fierce counterattack, and as of early this morning, Bitcoin climbed to a high of $58,000 again.
This wave of violent market fluctuations has dealt a heavy blow to both bulls and bears. Only those steadfast investors can survive this violent market shakeout.
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After the release of CPI data, the market fell first and then rose. Where is the next key point after the V-shaped reversal? Can Bitcoin (BTC) break through the bottom area? Can the prelude to the bull market begin?The CPI data came out last night. The previous value was 2.9%, the expected value was 2.6%, and the actual value was 2.5%, which was far lower than expected. Logically speaking, this is a major positive news! The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 18. It is worth noting that a few days ago, the betting website predicted that the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut was 24%, but after the release of CPI data last night, this probability quickly dropped to only 9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut soared to 90%! Biden and Harris reached a partial compromise on energy issues. Surprisingly, Trump also strongly supported the development of electric vehicles, while Harris made a major change in his stance on the traditional oil industry and began to support shale oil development. The consensus of both sides is to do everything possible to lower US oil prices.

After the release of CPI data, the market fell first and then rose. Where is the next key point after the V-shaped reversal? Can Bitcoin (BTC) break through the bottom area? Can the prelude to the bull market begin?

The CPI data came out last night. The previous value was 2.9%, the expected value was 2.6%, and the actual value was 2.5%, which was far lower than expected. Logically speaking, this is a major positive news!
The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 18. It is worth noting that a few days ago, the betting website predicted that the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut was 24%, but after the release of CPI data last night, this probability quickly dropped to only 9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut soared to 90%!

Biden and Harris reached a partial compromise on energy issues. Surprisingly, Trump also strongly supported the development of electric vehicles, while Harris made a major change in his stance on the traditional oil industry and began to support shale oil development. The consensus of both sides is to do everything possible to lower US oil prices.
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Nine survival rules in the cryptocurrency circle 1. Don’t rush to make money when you hear about it. Understand the ins and outs of cryptocurrency trading before considering investing. 2. Don’t follow the trend. Wait patiently for a good opportunity before making a move. 3. Don’t invest all your money in one place. Buy more coins to spread the risk. 4. Have a good idea of ​​how much you lose and withdraw to protect your wallet. 5. Learn more about the cryptocurrency circle, listen to the opinions of professionals, and don’t believe in gossip. 6. Although high leverage is tempting, it is also risky. Be careful of liquidation! 7. Don’t be greedy when you make money. Stop at the right time and put the money in your pocket. 8. Don’t panic when the market fluctuates. Stay calm and don’t let emotions influence your decision-making. 9. Investing in the cryptocurrency circle is a marathon. Wait patiently and move forward steadily. Time will give you rewards. Remember, there are risks in the cryptocurrency circle, and investment needs to be cautious. Only by staying rational and operating steadily can you go further in the cryptocurrency circle!
Nine survival rules in the cryptocurrency circle

1. Don’t rush to make money when you hear about it. Understand the ins and outs of cryptocurrency trading before considering investing.

2. Don’t follow the trend. Wait patiently for a good opportunity before making a move.

3. Don’t invest all your money in one place. Buy more coins to spread the risk.

4. Have a good idea of ​​how much you lose and withdraw to protect your wallet.

5. Learn more about the cryptocurrency circle, listen to the opinions of professionals, and don’t believe in gossip.

6. Although high leverage is tempting, it is also risky. Be careful of liquidation!

7. Don’t be greedy when you make money. Stop at the right time and put the money in your pocket.

8. Don’t panic when the market fluctuates. Stay calm and don’t let emotions influence your decision-making.

9. Investing in the cryptocurrency circle is a marathon. Wait patiently and move forward steadily. Time will give you rewards.

Remember, there are risks in the cryptocurrency circle, and investment needs to be cautious. Only by staying rational and operating steadily can you go further in the cryptocurrency circle!
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Why is the copycat season still not coming? After reading the following paragraph, maybe you will understand! Three years ago, in July 2021, the price of LDO was $1.85 and the market value was $40 million. Today, the price of LDO is $1.85 and the market value is $1.7 billion. In this world, wealth transfer often occurs silently.
Why is the copycat season still not coming? After reading the following paragraph, maybe you will understand!

Three years ago, in July 2021, the price of LDO was $1.85 and the market value was $40 million.

Today, the price of LDO is $1.85 and the market value is $1.7 billion.

In this world, wealth transfer often occurs silently.
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Bitcoin (BTC) rally is not over yet, buy at the bottom when it falls! Uncovering 5 altcoins that have skyrocketed 100 times, potential coins that must be bought before the bull market!Bitcoin trend analysis: After breaking through $58,100, it fell back, and future trend forecast Yesterday, the price of Bitcoin reached a high of $58,100, close to the pressure limit. Subsequently, the bulls temporarily waited and the bears took the opportunity to exert pressure, causing the price to fall back by 2,000 points. This fluctuation is in line with the normal market trend. So, where will Bitcoin go next? Based on volume analysis, I think the probability of falling below $55,000 is low. The bulls are just taking a short break, and the upward trend has not ended. The possibility of reaching $58,000 again is very high. As long as there are no sudden events such as black swan events, the probability of this trend is high.

Bitcoin (BTC) rally is not over yet, buy at the bottom when it falls! Uncovering 5 altcoins that have skyrocketed 100 times, potential coins that must be bought before the bull market!

Bitcoin trend analysis: After breaking through $58,100, it fell back, and future trend forecast
Yesterday, the price of Bitcoin reached a high of $58,100, close to the pressure limit. Subsequently, the bulls temporarily waited and the bears took the opportunity to exert pressure, causing the price to fall back by 2,000 points. This fluctuation is in line with the normal market trend.
So, where will Bitcoin go next? Based on volume analysis, I think the probability of falling below $55,000 is low.
The bulls are just taking a short break, and the upward trend has not ended. The possibility of reaching $58,000 again is very high. As long as there are no sudden events such as black swan events, the probability of this trend is high.
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Will Bitcoin (BTC) set off a new round of craze after the interest rate cut? The Ethereum Foundation hit ETH again, and future risks are worth paying attention to!Interest rate cuts are usually in response to slowing economic growth or inflationary pressures. When the economy is in trouble or faces the risk of recession, interest rate cuts can significantly reduce borrowing costs, making it cheaper to "obtain funds", thereby effectively stimulating economic recovery. The loose policy not only increases liquidity in the market, but also indirectly reduces the cost of holding cash. At this time, investors are more inclined to look for markets with higher returns, which not only pushes up the prices of traditional assets such as the stock market, but also has a positive impact on the risk asset market. As a high-risk and high-return investment tool, Bitcoin is naturally popular among investors!

Will Bitcoin (BTC) set off a new round of craze after the interest rate cut? The Ethereum Foundation hit ETH again, and future risks are worth paying attention to!

Interest rate cuts are usually in response to slowing economic growth or inflationary pressures. When the economy is in trouble or faces the risk of recession, interest rate cuts can significantly reduce borrowing costs, making it cheaper to "obtain funds", thereby effectively stimulating economic recovery.

The loose policy not only increases liquidity in the market, but also indirectly reduces the cost of holding cash.
At this time, investors are more inclined to look for markets with higher returns, which not only pushes up the prices of traditional assets such as the stock market, but also has a positive impact on the risk asset market. As a high-risk and high-return investment tool, Bitcoin is naturally popular among investors!
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We are clearly in a period of accelerating the short market. If the following market situation occurs, do not panic excessively. You have already anticipated and prepared for it. It fluctuates back and forth between 50k-59k, with negative declines, and the center continues to move downwards. A weak rebound, the rebound will not go past 59k, or even to 56-57, maybe about a month. In fact, this is the market trend in July 2021. Bitcoin successfully bottomed out at the end of July and went bullish. Panic continues to accumulate, wearing away the last bulls, and the market may turn. But if it cannot fall significantly below 50k, then the shock structure will be destroyed. Keep looking for the bottom. If there is a strong rebound, for example, to 62 63 but not 65, then it is even worse. It means that the short position continues to accelerate and the bottom is lower. This is the worst situation.
We are clearly in a period of accelerating the short market. If the following market situation occurs, do not panic excessively. You have already anticipated and prepared for it.

It fluctuates back and forth between 50k-59k, with negative declines, and the center continues to move downwards. A weak rebound, the rebound will not go past 59k, or even to 56-57, maybe about a month.

In fact, this is the market trend in July 2021. Bitcoin successfully bottomed out at the end of July and went bullish.
Panic continues to accumulate, wearing away the last bulls, and the market may turn.
But if it cannot fall significantly below 50k, then the shock structure will be destroyed.
Keep looking for the bottom.

If there is a strong rebound, for example, to 62 63 but not 65, then it is even worse. It means that the short position continues to accelerate and the bottom is lower. This is the worst situation.
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1. There are no natural masters in the cryptocurrency circle, only investors who keep learning and adapting. 2. Investing in cryptocurrency is not only a game of chasing profits, but also a test of human nature, wisdom and patience. If you can get through it, you can enjoy this bull market. 3. Seize opportunities, control risks, and don't let your account lose control. 4. The persimmon market is like life, with ups and downs. You need to face it calmly and stay rational. Don't go all in. 5. The biggest failure often comes from a flawed strategy. Maintaining a good attitude is the key to all success.
1. There are no natural masters in the cryptocurrency circle, only investors who keep learning and adapting.

2. Investing in cryptocurrency is not only a game of chasing profits, but also a test of human nature, wisdom and patience. If you can get through it, you can enjoy this bull market.

3. Seize opportunities, control risks, and don't let your account lose control.

4. The persimmon market is like life, with ups and downs. You need to face it calmly and stay rational. Don't go all in.

5. The biggest failure often comes from a flawed strategy. Maintaining a good attitude is the key to all success.
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眼下的热门山寨币:PEOPLE LUNA PEOPLE 主要炒作原因是今晚特朗普和哈里斯的辩论,美国大选能够相关的币种! LUNA 则是因为马上就是中国大陆非常重要的一个节日:中秋节,基本每年的中秋节前,luna都会拉一波,今年的好像也开始拉盘了!
眼下的热门山寨币:PEOPLE LUNA

PEOPLE 主要炒作原因是今晚特朗普和哈里斯的辩论,美国大选能够相关的币种!

LUNA 则是因为马上就是中国大陆非常重要的一个节日:中秋节,基本每年的中秋节前,luna都会拉一波,今年的好像也开始拉盘了!
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Hot picks for September 10th 1. Expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates have increased, and analysts predict that the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at the September meeting has increased. 2. The proportion of large Ethereum investors’ holdings increased to 43%, which is close to 48% of the total holdings of retail investors. 3. Bernstein predicts that if Trump wins the US election in November, Bitcoin is expected to hit a new high before the end of the year, reaching $90,000. 4. Bloomberg analyst: Within two quarters of the listing of the Bitcoin spot ETF, there have been more than 1,000 institutional holders. This phenomenon is unprecedented. 5. Tether invests US$100 million in Latin American agricultural companies, which is expected to promote the tokenization of real assets. 6. The total market value of cryptocurrency is US$2.06 trillion, with a 24-hour increase of 4.56%. 7. The gas fee of Ethereum soared by 126.68% in 10 minutes, and the activity on the chain increased significantly. 8. U.S. stocks closed, with all three major stock indexes rising by more than 1%. 9. Cryptocurrency was not mentioned in the list of proposed policy positions released by US Vice President Harris. 10. Michael Saylor said that the US Republican Party’s views on Bitcoin are far ahead of the Democratic Party, especially Trump. 11. The FBI reported that Americans lost more than $5.6 billion due to cryptocurrency fraud in 2023, an increase of 45% from 2022. 12. After Durov was arrested, TON trading volume hit a new high, but the token price plummeted 30%. 13. On September 9, the U.S. Bitcoin ETF had a net outflow of 2,846 BTC, and the Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of 1,786 ETH.
Hot picks for September 10th

1. Expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates have increased, and analysts predict that the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at the September meeting has increased.

2. The proportion of large Ethereum investors’ holdings increased to 43%, which is close to 48% of the total holdings of retail investors.

3. Bernstein predicts that if Trump wins the US election in November, Bitcoin is expected to hit a new high before the end of the year, reaching $90,000.

4. Bloomberg analyst: Within two quarters of the listing of the Bitcoin spot ETF, there have been more than 1,000 institutional holders. This phenomenon is unprecedented.

5. Tether invests US$100 million in Latin American agricultural companies, which is expected to promote the tokenization of real assets.

6. The total market value of cryptocurrency is US$2.06 trillion, with a 24-hour increase of 4.56%.

7. The gas fee of Ethereum soared by 126.68% in 10 minutes, and the activity on the chain increased significantly.

8. U.S. stocks closed, with all three major stock indexes rising by more than 1%.

9. Cryptocurrency was not mentioned in the list of proposed policy positions released by US Vice President Harris.

10. Michael Saylor said that the US Republican Party’s views on Bitcoin are far ahead of the Democratic Party, especially Trump.

11. The FBI reported that Americans lost more than $5.6 billion due to cryptocurrency fraud in 2023, an increase of 45% from 2022.

12. After Durov was arrested, TON trading volume hit a new high, but the token price plummeted 30%.

13. On September 9, the U.S. Bitcoin ETF had a net outflow of 2,846 BTC, and the Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of 1,786 ETH.
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The golden pit after the Bitcoin (BTC) plunge, "add positions" or "cut losses"? The life and death situation of the cryptocurrency circle in September! The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have caused market turmoil. Can the interest rate cut drive the market up?Before going to bed last night, I was still worried about the weak rebound of Bitcoin over the weekend, and the future trend might not be optimistic. Unexpectedly, in the second half of the night, Bitcoin jumped from below $54,000 to above $55,000 in an instant, rekindling the hopes of bulls. Today is Monday (September 9), and the opening of the U.S. stock market tonight will determine whether Bitcoin has truly bottomed out! If the U.S. stock market rises, Bitcoin may remain stable and not fall; but if the U.S. stock market falls, Bitcoin may not be able to escape the downward fate. Poor employment data released by the United States last week intensified investors' concerns about an economic recession, and Bitcoin came under pressure, falling to $53,000 on the 7th.

The golden pit after the Bitcoin (BTC) plunge, "add positions" or "cut losses"? The life and death situation of the cryptocurrency circle in September! The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have caused market turmoil. Can the interest rate cut drive the market up?

Before going to bed last night, I was still worried about the weak rebound of Bitcoin over the weekend, and the future trend might not be optimistic. Unexpectedly, in the second half of the night, Bitcoin jumped from below $54,000 to above $55,000 in an instant, rekindling the hopes of bulls.

Today is Monday (September 9), and the opening of the U.S. stock market tonight will determine whether Bitcoin has truly bottomed out!
If the U.S. stock market rises, Bitcoin may remain stable and not fall; but if the U.S. stock market falls, Bitcoin may not be able to escape the downward fate.

Poor employment data released by the United States last week intensified investors' concerns about an economic recession, and Bitcoin came under pressure, falling to $53,000 on the 7th.
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If you don't want to be a leek, you must pay attention to the following points [Attention] 1. Superstitious technical indicators Don't be impulsive when looking at indicators! Don't just focus on technical indicators to make decisions, ignoring the fundamentals and actual trends of the market. Technical indicators are only references, not omnipotent. Excessive superstition may make you miss real good opportunities. 2. Frequent trading Don't mess around! Don't always trade frequently, only focus on short-term profits, and ignore long-term investment value and strategies. Frequent trading is not only costly, but may also affect your mentality and judgment, and ultimately lead to investment failure. 3. Heavy positions in unpopular altcoins Don't invest blindly! Don't throw your money into those unpopular, high-risk altcoins, thinking that you can get rich overnight. These coins are often unstable and have poor liquidity. Once the market fluctuates, the losses will be difficult to recover. 4. Keep adding positions when there is a floating loss Don't rush to add positions when you lose! Don't think that buying more can make back the lost money. This will only get deeper and deeper and lose more. This is a common problem for many investors and a taboo for capital losses
If you don't want to be a leek, you must pay attention to the following points [Attention]
1. Superstitious technical indicators
Don't be impulsive when looking at indicators! Don't just focus on technical indicators to make decisions, ignoring the fundamentals and actual trends of the market. Technical indicators are only references, not omnipotent. Excessive superstition may make you miss real good opportunities.
2. Frequent trading
Don't mess around! Don't always trade frequently, only focus on short-term profits, and ignore long-term investment value and strategies. Frequent trading is not only costly, but may also affect your mentality and judgment, and ultimately lead to investment failure.
3. Heavy positions in unpopular altcoins
Don't invest blindly! Don't throw your money into those unpopular, high-risk altcoins, thinking that you can get rich overnight. These coins are often unstable and have poor liquidity. Once the market fluctuates, the losses will be difficult to recover.
4. Keep adding positions when there is a floating loss
Don't rush to add positions when you lose! Don't think that buying more can make back the lost money. This will only get deeper and deeper and lose more. This is a common problem for many investors and a taboo for capital losses
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比特币(BTC) 暴跌至5.7万,Mt.Gox与政府抛售148亿比特币,9月份行情必然还会下跌吗?美联储降息成唯一救命稻草吗?今年9月加密市场开局失利!过去24小时总市值暴跌近200亿美元,降至2.03万亿美元。比特币承受巨大的抛售压力,跌至57,270美元,为8月中旬以来的新低! 市场情绪看跌,交易员紧盯55,724美元支撑位!若比特币跌破该关口,可能将进一步滑落至49,000美元附近! 投资者转向稳定币 历史上,9月对比特币总是充满挑战——这个月通常伴随盘整或下跌,多年来价格平均损失5-10%。今年也不例外,似乎在延续这一悲剧性趋势! 比特币突破65,000美元后价格持续走低,投资者资金转向稳定币,显现出谨慎情绪。这一转变令比特币和其他加密货币的信心减弱,稳定币市值因此飙升至创纪录的1700亿美元! Mt. Gox 和美国政府的大规模抛售 市场下跌的另一个威胁:美国政府手握203,000枚比特币,价值约121亿美元,可能引发大规模抛售。同时,Mt. Gox计划向债权人释放46,000枚比特币,价值超27亿美元。这两者合计可能向市场注入超过148亿美元的比特币,进一步压低比特币价格! 链上活动减少 分析师警告:交易所链上活动骤降,表明比特币及其他加密货币的交易热度在减少。近期,比特币每次下跌都更深,复苏则更乏力。8月份的数据暗示,比特币可能在9月份面临关键转折点,需求可能进一步下滑! 复苏的希望 尽管面临挑战,市场仍有反弹希望!专家称,如果美联储在9月18日降息,这可能会提振比特币及其他加密货币。 FedWatch Tool显示,降息50个基点的可能性为30%,这或许引发比特币反弹。若比特币成功突破移动平均线,价格有望回升至65,000美元,甚至可能冲击70,000美元。 但当前的重点是守住关键支撑位。如果比特币跌破这些水平,可能会进一步滑落,下一个支撑位在54,000美元。 尽管9月降息预期升温,加密货币市场依然低迷。比特币昨日跌破5.8万美元,短暂回弹后,今晨六点后再度暴跌,最低触及57,116美元。发文前略有回升至57,458美元,近24小时跌幅超2.36%,创下两周以来新低! 美联储主席鲍威尔暗示降息可能性,通常意味着借款成本降低,这可能刺激经济活动和投资。对于比特币而言,降息有可能降低资金成本,增加市场流动性,从而推动价格上涨。 然而,这并非绝对,因为比特币价格受到多种因素的影响,包括市场情绪、供需关系以及其他宏观经济因素。 历史数据显示,降息并不总是立即推动比特币价格上涨。例如,2019年美联储降息时,比特币价格在降息消息前已开始上涨,但降息后却有所回落。 2020年,为应对疫情美联储大幅降息,比特币价格并未立即飙升,而是在年底才显著上涨。这表明降息虽能为比特币创造有利条件,但市场反应可能延迟,并受到其他因素的影响。 此外,加密市场情绪和资金流入同样是影响比特币价格的关键因素。例如,现货比特币ETF的资金流入可能推动价格上涨。如果ETF资金流入回暖且市场情绪转为看涨,比特币价格可能会受益。 尽管美国总统选举可能影响市场情绪和政策预期,但其对比特币价格的直接影响可能有限。加密货币市场更受全球宏观经济政策和监管环境的驱动,而不仅是单一事件。 降息对比特币价格上涨的利好因素 历史数据显示,美联储降息往往推动比特币价格上涨。原因很简单:降息降低了资金成本,激励投资者将资金投入高风险高收益的资产,如比特币。 因此,降息对比特币的利好因素主要包括: 降息对比特币的影响深远。首先,利率下降时,传统低风险投资如储蓄账户或债券的收益减少,投资者往往寻求更高回报的机会。此时,比特币等高风险资产因其潜在高收益变得更具吸引力,这可能推动比特币价格上涨。 其次,降息通常是为了刺激经济增长,这带来积极的市场情绪。经济前景向好时,投资者愿意增加投资,包括加密货币如比特币。乐观的市场氛围可能引发更多资金流入,推动比特币价格上升。 此外,降息降低了传统避险资产如国债的收益率,同时可能加剧通货膨胀担忧。比特币因其有限供应,成为对冲通胀的理想选择。投资者担心货币贬值时,可能转向比特币,这有可能推高其价格。 最后,降息通常增加市场流动性,使资金更为充裕。资金泛滥时,投资者更易获得资金投入比特币市场,从而可能推动比特币价格上涨。 美联储影响比特币价格的历史案例 回顾历史,比特币价格对美联储降息的反应并非总是一致。2018年底至2019年中,比特币从3000美元飙升至13000美元,尽管美联储在2019年7月开始降息,但市场在4月已提前对这一政策做出反应。 然而,从2019年7月到2020年3月,即使美联储降息,比特币价格依然经历了剧烈波动,初期从13000美元跌至7000美元,跌幅超过30%。这表明市场对降息的解读存在分歧,降息并未立即带来预期中的正面效果。 2020年3月,全球疫情冲击经济,美联储迅速采取降息和量化宽松政策。市场经过调整后,于2020年底至2021年初迎来大涨,比特币价格从3000美元飙升至65000美元。 但进入2022年3月到2023年7月,美联储加息周期开启,比特币价格从45000美元跌至15000美元,经历了长达9个月的下跌。这一阶段显示出市场对加息的敏感性,降息预期未能在价格回升前显现。 总体而言,历史数据显示,降息对比特币价格大多有利,但市场反应有时可能滞后或出现短期抛售压力,导致价格波动。这种先跌后涨的模式时有发生。 降息对比特币价格上涨的利好因素 历史数据显示,美联储降息往往推动比特币价格上涨。原因不难理解:降息降低了资金成本,激励投资者将资金转向高风险高收益的资产,如比特币,从而推高其价格。 降息对比特币的利好因素主要体现在以下几个方面: 刺激投资:低利率环境下,投资者寻求更高回报,推动资金流入比特币,从而推动其价格上涨。改善市场情绪:降息旨在刺激经济增长,释放美联储的积极信号,增强市场信心。投资者更愿意承担风险,促使更多资金流入比特币市场。提升抗通胀特性:降息可能降低传统避险资产的收益率,引发通胀预期升高,使比特币作为数字黄金的抗通胀特性更加突出。许多投资者将比特币视为对抗通胀的工具,推动需求和价格上涨。增加市场流动性:降息带来的货币政策宽松增加了市场流动性,使投资者更容易进入市场,进一步推动比特币价格上涨。 从最近周末的融资动态来看,有三个令人兴奋的趋势正在显现: 当前区块链和加密货币行业展现出几大引人注目的趋势: DeFi领域蓬勃发展:去中心化交易所项目仍然备受瞩目,市场对这一创新领域的热情持续高涨。比特币生态系统扩展:比特币的应用范围不断扩大,从单纯的交易到各种创新应用,展现出巨大的潜力和可能性。Web3游戏崛起:Web3游戏正吸引越来越多的投资者关注,有望成为区块链应用领域的下一次突破。 这些趋势表明,尽管市场波动频繁,区块链和加密货币的创新步伐从未停歇。长期来看,行业前景依然充满希望,未来令人期待! 比特币存在抛压的情况 虽然降息通常被视为利好,但如果它是由于经济衰退的迹象,市场可能会变得更加悲观。此时,投资者可能更倾向于避险资产而非比特币。尽管比特币被誉为‘数字黄金’,但在经济衰退期间,黄金等传统避险资产可能更受青睐,从而导致比特币需求减少。此外,监管政策的不确定性和突发的黑天鹅事件也可能影响降息的效果,引发市场抛售压力。 美国 8 月非农业就业数据 美联储将在9月6日晚上发布8月份的非农业就业数据,这份关键报告将成为9月FOMC会议的关键依据,是会议前最后的劳动力市场成绩单。鲍威尔主席在8月份的央行年会上提到,如果这份数据符合预期,美联储可能会从9月开始降息。 如果数据显示就业市场继续放缓,这不仅有助于减轻物价上涨的压力,还可能为美联储降息提供强有力的支持。 同时,加拿大央行本周也将宣布利率决定,预计他们很可能连续第三次降息。7月份,加拿大央行已经实施了连续第二次降息,而就业数据显示失业人数较6月有所上升,更重要的是,通货膨胀率持续下降。这一切都增加了加拿大央行进一步降息的可能性。 文章就暂时分享到这里;想了解更多精彩圈内事件可进社群咨询!

比特币(BTC) 暴跌至5.7万,Mt.Gox与政府抛售148亿比特币,9月份行情必然还会下跌吗?美联储降息成唯一救命稻草吗?

今年9月加密市场开局失利!过去24小时总市值暴跌近200亿美元,降至2.03万亿美元。比特币承受巨大的抛售压力,跌至57,270美元,为8月中旬以来的新低!

市场情绪看跌,交易员紧盯55,724美元支撑位!若比特币跌破该关口,可能将进一步滑落至49,000美元附近!
投资者转向稳定币
历史上,9月对比特币总是充满挑战——这个月通常伴随盘整或下跌,多年来价格平均损失5-10%。今年也不例外,似乎在延续这一悲剧性趋势!

比特币突破65,000美元后价格持续走低,投资者资金转向稳定币,显现出谨慎情绪。这一转变令比特币和其他加密货币的信心减弱,稳定币市值因此飙升至创纪录的1700亿美元!
Mt. Gox 和美国政府的大规模抛售
市场下跌的另一个威胁:美国政府手握203,000枚比特币,价值约121亿美元,可能引发大规模抛售。同时,Mt. Gox计划向债权人释放46,000枚比特币,价值超27亿美元。这两者合计可能向市场注入超过148亿美元的比特币,进一步压低比特币价格!
链上活动减少
分析师警告:交易所链上活动骤降,表明比特币及其他加密货币的交易热度在减少。近期,比特币每次下跌都更深,复苏则更乏力。8月份的数据暗示,比特币可能在9月份面临关键转折点,需求可能进一步下滑!
复苏的希望
尽管面临挑战,市场仍有反弹希望!专家称,如果美联储在9月18日降息,这可能会提振比特币及其他加密货币。
FedWatch Tool显示,降息50个基点的可能性为30%,这或许引发比特币反弹。若比特币成功突破移动平均线,价格有望回升至65,000美元,甚至可能冲击70,000美元。
但当前的重点是守住关键支撑位。如果比特币跌破这些水平,可能会进一步滑落,下一个支撑位在54,000美元。
尽管9月降息预期升温,加密货币市场依然低迷。比特币昨日跌破5.8万美元,短暂回弹后,今晨六点后再度暴跌,最低触及57,116美元。发文前略有回升至57,458美元,近24小时跌幅超2.36%,创下两周以来新低!

美联储主席鲍威尔暗示降息可能性,通常意味着借款成本降低,这可能刺激经济活动和投资。对于比特币而言,降息有可能降低资金成本,增加市场流动性,从而推动价格上涨。
然而,这并非绝对,因为比特币价格受到多种因素的影响,包括市场情绪、供需关系以及其他宏观经济因素。
历史数据显示,降息并不总是立即推动比特币价格上涨。例如,2019年美联储降息时,比特币价格在降息消息前已开始上涨,但降息后却有所回落。
2020年,为应对疫情美联储大幅降息,比特币价格并未立即飙升,而是在年底才显著上涨。这表明降息虽能为比特币创造有利条件,但市场反应可能延迟,并受到其他因素的影响。
此外,加密市场情绪和资金流入同样是影响比特币价格的关键因素。例如,现货比特币ETF的资金流入可能推动价格上涨。如果ETF资金流入回暖且市场情绪转为看涨,比特币价格可能会受益。
尽管美国总统选举可能影响市场情绪和政策预期,但其对比特币价格的直接影响可能有限。加密货币市场更受全球宏观经济政策和监管环境的驱动,而不仅是单一事件。
降息对比特币价格上涨的利好因素
历史数据显示,美联储降息往往推动比特币价格上涨。原因很简单:降息降低了资金成本,激励投资者将资金投入高风险高收益的资产,如比特币。
因此,降息对比特币的利好因素主要包括:
降息对比特币的影响深远。首先,利率下降时,传统低风险投资如储蓄账户或债券的收益减少,投资者往往寻求更高回报的机会。此时,比特币等高风险资产因其潜在高收益变得更具吸引力,这可能推动比特币价格上涨。
其次,降息通常是为了刺激经济增长,这带来积极的市场情绪。经济前景向好时,投资者愿意增加投资,包括加密货币如比特币。乐观的市场氛围可能引发更多资金流入,推动比特币价格上升。
此外,降息降低了传统避险资产如国债的收益率,同时可能加剧通货膨胀担忧。比特币因其有限供应,成为对冲通胀的理想选择。投资者担心货币贬值时,可能转向比特币,这有可能推高其价格。
最后,降息通常增加市场流动性,使资金更为充裕。资金泛滥时,投资者更易获得资金投入比特币市场,从而可能推动比特币价格上涨。
美联储影响比特币价格的历史案例
回顾历史,比特币价格对美联储降息的反应并非总是一致。2018年底至2019年中,比特币从3000美元飙升至13000美元,尽管美联储在2019年7月开始降息,但市场在4月已提前对这一政策做出反应。
然而,从2019年7月到2020年3月,即使美联储降息,比特币价格依然经历了剧烈波动,初期从13000美元跌至7000美元,跌幅超过30%。这表明市场对降息的解读存在分歧,降息并未立即带来预期中的正面效果。
2020年3月,全球疫情冲击经济,美联储迅速采取降息和量化宽松政策。市场经过调整后,于2020年底至2021年初迎来大涨,比特币价格从3000美元飙升至65000美元。
但进入2022年3月到2023年7月,美联储加息周期开启,比特币价格从45000美元跌至15000美元,经历了长达9个月的下跌。这一阶段显示出市场对加息的敏感性,降息预期未能在价格回升前显现。
总体而言,历史数据显示,降息对比特币价格大多有利,但市场反应有时可能滞后或出现短期抛售压力,导致价格波动。这种先跌后涨的模式时有发生。

降息对比特币价格上涨的利好因素
历史数据显示,美联储降息往往推动比特币价格上涨。原因不难理解:降息降低了资金成本,激励投资者将资金转向高风险高收益的资产,如比特币,从而推高其价格。

降息对比特币的利好因素主要体现在以下几个方面:
刺激投资:低利率环境下,投资者寻求更高回报,推动资金流入比特币,从而推动其价格上涨。改善市场情绪:降息旨在刺激经济增长,释放美联储的积极信号,增强市场信心。投资者更愿意承担风险,促使更多资金流入比特币市场。提升抗通胀特性:降息可能降低传统避险资产的收益率,引发通胀预期升高,使比特币作为数字黄金的抗通胀特性更加突出。许多投资者将比特币视为对抗通胀的工具,推动需求和价格上涨。增加市场流动性:降息带来的货币政策宽松增加了市场流动性,使投资者更容易进入市场,进一步推动比特币价格上涨。
从最近周末的融资动态来看,有三个令人兴奋的趋势正在显现:

当前区块链和加密货币行业展现出几大引人注目的趋势:
DeFi领域蓬勃发展:去中心化交易所项目仍然备受瞩目,市场对这一创新领域的热情持续高涨。比特币生态系统扩展:比特币的应用范围不断扩大,从单纯的交易到各种创新应用,展现出巨大的潜力和可能性。Web3游戏崛起:Web3游戏正吸引越来越多的投资者关注,有望成为区块链应用领域的下一次突破。
这些趋势表明,尽管市场波动频繁,区块链和加密货币的创新步伐从未停歇。长期来看,行业前景依然充满希望,未来令人期待!
比特币存在抛压的情况
虽然降息通常被视为利好,但如果它是由于经济衰退的迹象,市场可能会变得更加悲观。此时,投资者可能更倾向于避险资产而非比特币。尽管比特币被誉为‘数字黄金’,但在经济衰退期间,黄金等传统避险资产可能更受青睐,从而导致比特币需求减少。此外,监管政策的不确定性和突发的黑天鹅事件也可能影响降息的效果,引发市场抛售压力。
美国 8 月非农业就业数据
美联储将在9月6日晚上发布8月份的非农业就业数据,这份关键报告将成为9月FOMC会议的关键依据,是会议前最后的劳动力市场成绩单。鲍威尔主席在8月份的央行年会上提到,如果这份数据符合预期,美联储可能会从9月开始降息。

如果数据显示就业市场继续放缓,这不仅有助于减轻物价上涨的压力,还可能为美联储降息提供强有力的支持。
同时,加拿大央行本周也将宣布利率决定,预计他们很可能连续第三次降息。7月份,加拿大央行已经实施了连续第二次降息,而就业数据显示失业人数较6月有所上升,更重要的是,通货膨胀率持续下降。这一切都增加了加拿大央行进一步降息的可能性。
文章就暂时分享到这里;想了解更多精彩圈内事件可进社群咨询!
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金九来临!比特币(BTC) 打破九月下跌魔咒!FRONT 改名换币成 SLF ! USDT风波如何影响市场?潜在利好/利空速览!兄弟们,你们好! 八月的痛苦已结束,希望九月带来转机。 八月的剧烈波动终于画上了句号,对于币圈的投资者而言,这个月实在难熬。 8月初的回调之后,市场走势持续震荡,让人感到极度疲惫。若说前五个月的行情主要考验了投资者的耐心,那么8月份则是在考验大家对币圈的信心。 时间飞逝,上一次比特币突破前高已经过去六个月。六个月的时间内,市场的动荡似乎让很多投资者的资金都被消耗殆尽。因此,目前的大环境下,很多人对市场前景持悲观态度,普遍认为还会经历一轮大的下跌,只有在经历暴跌后,牛市才会开启。而至于会跌到哪里、抄底的具体位置,各人看法不一。 目前,大家普遍期待降息和牛市的到来,但没有经历一次暴跌,牛市恐难以实现。为什么市场需要洗盘呢? 设想一下,如果市场情绪普遍看涨,绝大多数人都在做多,市场还能继续上涨吗?每个人都赚得盆满钵满,但这些利润从何而来?难道是天上掉下来的? 最基本的逻辑是,市场必须有足够的空头存在才能推动上涨。因为多头的收益来自于空头的损失。 根据过往11 年数据,比特币9 月下跌机率高达72%,这次会重现吗?潜在利好/利空一文整理。 比特币自从8 月26 日短暂触及6.5 万美元之后就一路跌跌不休,今(2)日清晨更再度跳水最低下杀57,116 美元,创下两周以来最低。 比特币真有九月下跌魔咒? 如今随着九月来临,令投资者担忧的是魔咒是否会再次发力?下图我们可以观察比特币的月度回报率,可发现过去11 年(2013 年至2023 年)中,比特币在9 月的表现通常不佳,其中有8 次下跌,下跌概率高达73%。 另外,从每月回报率平均数来看,9 月也是下跌最多的月份,下跌幅度高达4.78%。 另一方面,根据过去十年(2014 年至2023 年)那斯达克指数的表现来看,9 月份也有8 次出现下跌,下跌机率高达80%。由于加密货币与美股之间存在一定程度的关联性,因此可能也会受到影响。 九月利好利空因素整理 尽管从历史数据来看,市场似乎真的存在「九月魔咒」,但也并非唯一决策依据。下面快速为读者整理九月份市场的利好利空元素: 利空因素: 1. 根据Arkham Intelligence数据,Mt. Gox 虽然已经还了大部分比特币,但其钱包现在仍持有超四万枚BTC,持续的还款仍可能对价格造成风险。 2. 美国政府在八月中转移近6 亿美元,与丝路有关的比特币。目前尚无法确定是为了托管、还是在为出售做准备。 3. 分析师指出,BTC 短期持有者实际入场价格目前位于63,250 美元左右,自6 月中以后,BTC 一直难以突破这一水平,分析师警告,在BTC 重新将此区域转化为支撑位之前,市场可能面临持续的抛压。 利好因素: 1. 目前联准会9 月降息的预期非常高,本周的8 月非农就业数据如果没有出现意外的状况,将更一步加深Fed 降息的信心。 2. 盘点过去9 次美国总统大选前的标普500 指数表现,选前三个月美股上涨机率达78%,可能也会助涨比特币走势。 3. CryptoQuant 数据指出,比特币矿工抛压正在减弱,若被吸收或形成上涨势头。 BTC小级别已经到了楔形最后一个低点位置,但是还没有出现止跌信号,如果这里止跌反抽的话多头还有机会,一旦跌破就要开始大级别再次下跌了,目前我也是现价开了一个小多单去测试一下楔形形态,判断错了就果断止损! 很多人都想等312,519,其实挺难的,尤其是现在市场比几年前成熟那么多。 理解大伙想一步到位的心情,但事实是这几年FTX爆雷单日最大跌幅都没20%吧,历史值得借鉴,但要尊重客观事实。 其实我觉得合规化也是导致现在BE这种走势的原因之一,有舍有得,至于山寨,只能说价值回归不破不立吧。还抱着古典主义炒币思路不知变通的今年应该快死完了。 每次美联储降息,比特币在降息前后三个月都会迎来大涨,若9月18号确定降息,相信今年第四季度,加密领域会有一波很不错的反弹。 今天我又看了一遍合约市场,多单爆仓了一些,空单又多了一些。 这样就平衡就打破了; 狗庄的策略:多空双爆,先把多军收拾干净,再跌一些就要开始爆空军了。 再从图看出BTC 的流入(德国、MtGox、美国司法部)正在慢慢被吸收。纸面 BTC 押注正在减少,这是一个好兆头。 总体而言,就供应而言,情况已从看跌转为中性。 很久没关注山寨了,Front也太扯了,这是换个币增发。 去年赚钱的币,没想到这么没底线! 一般项目方换币,改名,起码说明想要干点事。项目方越来越没底线 FRONT改名换币的故事,是年初的时候就在传,然后很多人当时买的逻辑也简单,就是改名换币。 当时的价格0.35u附近一直震荡,炒作这个预期一路从0.3-到了3u附近,然后断头铡刀。当时的故事是年初投资年底收获,感觉时间太长了,尤其是不觉得“牛市”能持续这么久,所以没投资,当时也没 仔细看“代币模型”,现在看起来有点意思。 这里主要说的是 FRONT 换币成 SLF 后的几大“创新”。 1.给用户代币是1:1换币,营造”总量不变“; 2.代币总量翻了4倍,并且备注是”挖矿“,让大家觉得不是立马”翻倍“的; 3.FDV立马翻4倍,虚空翻倍,钱都不需要花; 4. FRONT 流通70M的数量, SLF 直接流通97M,多出来的27M目前价值15M,不知道进了谁的口袋; 总结起来就是一句话:偷偷的把钱给挣了,韭菜甚至都没发现。 目前来看年初参加代币兑换折扣的人在12月份解锁,还有3个月,能跌回0.1??? 只想说,兄弟,按照这个白皮书+代币规则都改了的情况应该重新给交易所交一笔上币费,毕竟真的是新项目了!!! 统一回答:如果USDT出事怎么办?三招预防! 首先,我觉得USDT本身不可能暴雷,因为其机制没有挤兑风险。 但是外部反恐反洗qian监管、投AI亏空、内部管理等倒不是说绝对没事,因此极度风险险恶的可以三招: 1、分散:换一些到USDC、FDUSD 2、法币:换一些到美古或其他法碧 3、比特币:逢低特底。 9月是比特币(BTC)最后的上车机会吗? 一切终会有回甘 要始终相信,当下的糟糕也只是黎明前短暂的黑暗。所有经历的苦难都会是未来惊喜的伏笔,花会沿路盛开,未来的路也是。山有顶峰,湖有彼岸,在人生漫漫长途中万物皆有回转。当你觉得余味苦涩,请相信一切终会有回甘。 周末大盘持续阴跌,散户持续看空FUD,但是鲸鱼们一直买买买并没有闲着,这就是目前市场的现状。 比特币这高位震荡后周末持续阴跌,然后持续悲观的情绪蔓延,恐慌与贪婪指数降至 26,较上周的 55 降幅明显,出现这样的情绪是因为大家都在担心流动性问题 ICO 、VC 之后大家开始拥抱pvp模式的meme,然后最近meme表现不好的时候,大家更是悲观,宏观层面担心美国经济衰退,微观层面担心行业没创新,不能持续带来增长。 虽然大家恐慌情绪蔓延,但是看看链上巨鲸就知道,他们并没有卖出,反而是持续买进,每一次市场普遍恐惧的时候,往往都是伴随着机会。 保持耐心 当前的洗盘只是暂时的波动,现货持有者应该以耐心为主,不必担心短期的价格波动。 即使 BTC 近期的走势令人感到焦虑,但是在这种情绪的时候,大行情往往会悄然来临。 比特币接下来日线级别重点关注120日均线,如果能再次站稳64000上方,那么很明显一大波行情纪要来了,在未能站上之前,都可以理解为震荡调整。 关键的因素在于现货市场是否决定重新买入或再来一次针对性爆空拉盘,在此之前,整个市场弥漫的看空情绪并没有什么问题; 不要在大多数人看同一个方向的时候随波逐流,但更不能因为所有人都看同一个方向,就专门做反方向; 趋势与震荡行情相互转变模式的阶段,往往是最亏钱的时候,看不懂不如不做,不做就不会亏,不亏就是赚。 我还是那句话,对于Q4的行情很乐观,哪怕是现在,我也没看到持续悲观的点在哪里,所以拿住,保持乐观。 本期的文章就暂时分享到这里;想了解更多精彩圈内事件可进社群咨询!

金九来临!比特币(BTC) 打破九月下跌魔咒!FRONT 改名换币成 SLF ! USDT风波如何影响市场?潜在利好/利空速览!

兄弟们,你们好!
八月的痛苦已结束,希望九月带来转机。

八月的剧烈波动终于画上了句号,对于币圈的投资者而言,这个月实在难熬。
8月初的回调之后,市场走势持续震荡,让人感到极度疲惫。若说前五个月的行情主要考验了投资者的耐心,那么8月份则是在考验大家对币圈的信心。
时间飞逝,上一次比特币突破前高已经过去六个月。六个月的时间内,市场的动荡似乎让很多投资者的资金都被消耗殆尽。因此,目前的大环境下,很多人对市场前景持悲观态度,普遍认为还会经历一轮大的下跌,只有在经历暴跌后,牛市才会开启。而至于会跌到哪里、抄底的具体位置,各人看法不一。
目前,大家普遍期待降息和牛市的到来,但没有经历一次暴跌,牛市恐难以实现。为什么市场需要洗盘呢?
设想一下,如果市场情绪普遍看涨,绝大多数人都在做多,市场还能继续上涨吗?每个人都赚得盆满钵满,但这些利润从何而来?难道是天上掉下来的?
最基本的逻辑是,市场必须有足够的空头存在才能推动上涨。因为多头的收益来自于空头的损失。

根据过往11 年数据,比特币9 月下跌机率高达72%,这次会重现吗?潜在利好/利空一文整理。
比特币自从8 月26 日短暂触及6.5 万美元之后就一路跌跌不休,今(2)日清晨更再度跳水最低下杀57,116 美元,创下两周以来最低。

比特币真有九月下跌魔咒?
如今随着九月来临,令投资者担忧的是魔咒是否会再次发力?下图我们可以观察比特币的月度回报率,可发现过去11 年(2013 年至2023 年)中,比特币在9 月的表现通常不佳,其中有8 次下跌,下跌概率高达73%。
另外,从每月回报率平均数来看,9 月也是下跌最多的月份,下跌幅度高达4.78%。

另一方面,根据过去十年(2014 年至2023 年)那斯达克指数的表现来看,9 月份也有8 次出现下跌,下跌机率高达80%。由于加密货币与美股之间存在一定程度的关联性,因此可能也会受到影响。

九月利好利空因素整理
尽管从历史数据来看,市场似乎真的存在「九月魔咒」,但也并非唯一决策依据。下面快速为读者整理九月份市场的利好利空元素:
利空因素:
1. 根据Arkham Intelligence数据,Mt. Gox 虽然已经还了大部分比特币,但其钱包现在仍持有超四万枚BTC,持续的还款仍可能对价格造成风险。
2. 美国政府在八月中转移近6 亿美元,与丝路有关的比特币。目前尚无法确定是为了托管、还是在为出售做准备。
3. 分析师指出,BTC 短期持有者实际入场价格目前位于63,250 美元左右,自6 月中以后,BTC 一直难以突破这一水平,分析师警告,在BTC 重新将此区域转化为支撑位之前,市场可能面临持续的抛压。
利好因素:
1. 目前联准会9 月降息的预期非常高,本周的8 月非农就业数据如果没有出现意外的状况,将更一步加深Fed 降息的信心。
2. 盘点过去9 次美国总统大选前的标普500 指数表现,选前三个月美股上涨机率达78%,可能也会助涨比特币走势。
3. CryptoQuant 数据指出,比特币矿工抛压正在减弱,若被吸收或形成上涨势头。
BTC小级别已经到了楔形最后一个低点位置,但是还没有出现止跌信号,如果这里止跌反抽的话多头还有机会,一旦跌破就要开始大级别再次下跌了,目前我也是现价开了一个小多单去测试一下楔形形态,判断错了就果断止损!

很多人都想等312,519,其实挺难的,尤其是现在市场比几年前成熟那么多。
理解大伙想一步到位的心情,但事实是这几年FTX爆雷单日最大跌幅都没20%吧,历史值得借鉴,但要尊重客观事实。
其实我觉得合规化也是导致现在BE这种走势的原因之一,有舍有得,至于山寨,只能说价值回归不破不立吧。还抱着古典主义炒币思路不知变通的今年应该快死完了。
每次美联储降息,比特币在降息前后三个月都会迎来大涨,若9月18号确定降息,相信今年第四季度,加密领域会有一波很不错的反弹。

今天我又看了一遍合约市场,多单爆仓了一些,空单又多了一些。
这样就平衡就打破了;
狗庄的策略:多空双爆,先把多军收拾干净,再跌一些就要开始爆空军了。

再从图看出BTC 的流入(德国、MtGox、美国司法部)正在慢慢被吸收。纸面 BTC 押注正在减少,这是一个好兆头。
总体而言,就供应而言,情况已从看跌转为中性。

很久没关注山寨了,Front也太扯了,这是换个币增发。

去年赚钱的币,没想到这么没底线!
一般项目方换币,改名,起码说明想要干点事。项目方越来越没底线
FRONT改名换币的故事,是年初的时候就在传,然后很多人当时买的逻辑也简单,就是改名换币。
当时的价格0.35u附近一直震荡,炒作这个预期一路从0.3-到了3u附近,然后断头铡刀。当时的故事是年初投资年底收获,感觉时间太长了,尤其是不觉得“牛市”能持续这么久,所以没投资,当时也没 仔细看“代币模型”,现在看起来有点意思。
这里主要说的是 FRONT 换币成 SLF 后的几大“创新”。
1.给用户代币是1:1换币,营造”总量不变“;
2.代币总量翻了4倍,并且备注是”挖矿“,让大家觉得不是立马”翻倍“的;
3.FDV立马翻4倍,虚空翻倍,钱都不需要花;
4. FRONT 流通70M的数量, SLF 直接流通97M,多出来的27M目前价值15M,不知道进了谁的口袋;
总结起来就是一句话:偷偷的把钱给挣了,韭菜甚至都没发现。
目前来看年初参加代币兑换折扣的人在12月份解锁,还有3个月,能跌回0.1???
只想说,兄弟,按照这个白皮书+代币规则都改了的情况应该重新给交易所交一笔上币费,毕竟真的是新项目了!!!

统一回答:如果USDT出事怎么办?三招预防!
首先,我觉得USDT本身不可能暴雷,因为其机制没有挤兑风险。

但是外部反恐反洗qian监管、投AI亏空、内部管理等倒不是说绝对没事,因此极度风险险恶的可以三招:
1、分散:换一些到USDC、FDUSD
2、法币:换一些到美古或其他法碧
3、比特币:逢低特底。
9月是比特币(BTC)最后的上车机会吗?
一切终会有回甘
要始终相信,当下的糟糕也只是黎明前短暂的黑暗。所有经历的苦难都会是未来惊喜的伏笔,花会沿路盛开,未来的路也是。山有顶峰,湖有彼岸,在人生漫漫长途中万物皆有回转。当你觉得余味苦涩,请相信一切终会有回甘。
周末大盘持续阴跌,散户持续看空FUD,但是鲸鱼们一直买买买并没有闲着,这就是目前市场的现状。

比特币这高位震荡后周末持续阴跌,然后持续悲观的情绪蔓延,恐慌与贪婪指数降至 26,较上周的 55 降幅明显,出现这样的情绪是因为大家都在担心流动性问题
ICO 、VC 之后大家开始拥抱pvp模式的meme,然后最近meme表现不好的时候,大家更是悲观,宏观层面担心美国经济衰退,微观层面担心行业没创新,不能持续带来增长。
虽然大家恐慌情绪蔓延,但是看看链上巨鲸就知道,他们并没有卖出,反而是持续买进,每一次市场普遍恐惧的时候,往往都是伴随着机会。
保持耐心
当前的洗盘只是暂时的波动,现货持有者应该以耐心为主,不必担心短期的价格波动。
即使 BTC 近期的走势令人感到焦虑,但是在这种情绪的时候,大行情往往会悄然来临。
比特币接下来日线级别重点关注120日均线,如果能再次站稳64000上方,那么很明显一大波行情纪要来了,在未能站上之前,都可以理解为震荡调整。
关键的因素在于现货市场是否决定重新买入或再来一次针对性爆空拉盘,在此之前,整个市场弥漫的看空情绪并没有什么问题;
不要在大多数人看同一个方向的时候随波逐流,但更不能因为所有人都看同一个方向,就专门做反方向;
趋势与震荡行情相互转变模式的阶段,往往是最亏钱的时候,看不懂不如不做,不做就不会亏,不亏就是赚。
我还是那句话,对于Q4的行情很乐观,哪怕是现在,我也没看到持续悲观的点在哪里,所以拿住,保持乐观。
本期的文章就暂时分享到这里;想了解更多精彩圈内事件可进社群咨询!
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Is Bitcoin (BTC) going to be a hedge now? Will the Fed’s rate cuts mean a rise in prices? Pay attention! Will another key data released this week be a positive? Will Pepe rebound?The first signal is a change in the amount of Bitcoin in the exchange. After two months of selling pressure in Germany and Mt. Gox, the amount of Bitcoin on exchanges has begun to decrease again, indicating that this rise is indeed driven by demand and that big players are actively buying at the bottom. Just look at the current situation of Bitcoin ETF. In the past two weeks of trading days, there was only one day of capital outflow, and the remaining 9 days were capital inflows. But looking back at Bitcoin's daily chart, in these 10 trading days, Bitcoin closed higher on 6 days and lower on 4 days. The current situation is that Wall Street is quietly buying and hoarding coins, while retail investors are like headless flies, chasing ups and downs, without any sense of direction. This also explains why institutions can achieve a scale of hundreds of billions or trillions.

Is Bitcoin (BTC) going to be a hedge now? Will the Fed’s rate cuts mean a rise in prices? Pay attention! Will another key data released this week be a positive? Will Pepe rebound?

The first signal is a change in the amount of Bitcoin in the exchange.
After two months of selling pressure in Germany and Mt. Gox, the amount of Bitcoin on exchanges has begun to decrease again, indicating that this rise is indeed driven by demand and that big players are actively buying at the bottom.
Just look at the current situation of Bitcoin ETF. In the past two weeks of trading days, there was only one day of capital outflow, and the remaining 9 days were capital inflows.
But looking back at Bitcoin's daily chart, in these 10 trading days, Bitcoin closed higher on 6 days and lower on 4 days.
The current situation is that Wall Street is quietly buying and hoarding coins, while retail investors are like headless flies, chasing ups and downs, without any sense of direction. This also explains why institutions can achieve a scale of hundreds of billions or trillions.
See original
It’s great, it’s great to get benefits together in the community! Can DOGS, which has become the home of all dogs, challenge the leading position of TON ecosystem in the future? And the prediction and analysis of DOGS’s independent market!Dogs is listed on major exchanges The highly anticipated MEME coin - DOGS, has now landed on major exchanges, triggering a new trading frenzy! Anyone who has participated in Web3 has a deep understanding that wealth emerges like a storm, coming fast and unpredictable. Every seemingly insignificant click and participation may be converted into a rich return. The recent popularity of the $Dogs token and the wealth effect it has triggered is a perfect example. In less than two months, this extremely simple and easy-to-use Dogs token has become the "protagonist" in the crypto world, not only successfully landing on multiple mainstream exchanges, but also bringing long-awaited surprises to many players who have taken advantage of the opportunity.

It’s great, it’s great to get benefits together in the community! Can DOGS, which has become the home of all dogs, challenge the leading position of TON ecosystem in the future? And the prediction and analysis of DOGS’s independent market!

Dogs is listed on major exchanges
The highly anticipated MEME coin - DOGS, has now landed on major exchanges, triggering a new trading frenzy!

Anyone who has participated in Web3 has a deep understanding that wealth emerges like a storm, coming fast and unpredictable. Every seemingly insignificant click and participation may be converted into a rich return.
The recent popularity of the $Dogs token and the wealth effect it has triggered is a perfect example. In less than two months, this extremely simple and easy-to-use Dogs token has become the "protagonist" in the crypto world, not only successfully landing on multiple mainstream exchanges, but also bringing long-awaited surprises to many players who have taken advantage of the opportunity.
See original
The crypto market suddenly "cleaned up" this morning, and Bitcoin (BTC) continued to fluctuate. What is the reason for the decline? What should we do in the current market? Do we need to cut losses or buy at the bottom?Good evening guys!! Bitcoin plunged rapidly after five in the morning this morning, and hit a low of $58,000 at 06:15 earlier, hitting its lowest point in nearly ten days. Ethereum also fell below $2,400 at one point. In the past 24 hours, the entire network had a liquidation of $316 million. The price of Bitcoin continued to fluctuate downward yesterday and plunged rapidly after five in the morning today (28). Earlier at 06:15, it hit $58,000, the lowest in nearly ten days. At the time of writing, it seems to be preparing for a second bottom, temporarily reported at $59,090, down 6.32% in the past 24 hours. BTC price trend. Source: OUYi

The crypto market suddenly "cleaned up" this morning, and Bitcoin (BTC) continued to fluctuate. What is the reason for the decline? What should we do in the current market? Do we need to cut losses or buy at the bottom?

Good evening guys!!

Bitcoin plunged rapidly after five in the morning this morning, and hit a low of $58,000 at 06:15 earlier, hitting its lowest point in nearly ten days. Ethereum also fell below $2,400 at one point. In the past 24 hours, the entire network had a liquidation of $316 million.

The price of Bitcoin continued to fluctuate downward yesterday and plunged rapidly after five in the morning today (28). Earlier at 06:15, it hit $58,000, the lowest in nearly ten days.
At the time of writing, it seems to be preparing for a second bottom, temporarily reported at $59,090, down 6.32% in the past 24 hours.

BTC price trend. Source: OUYi
Translate
降息发酵,大选临近!比特币(BTC)能否维持上涨趋势呢?Telegram创始人被捕引爆TON暴跌!9月山寨币激战将全面爆发!比特币本周交出亮眼成绩,涨幅高达8%,价格从59,000美元飙升至64,000美元。尽管以太坊也在逐步复苏,但受ETF资金流出影响,周涨幅仅为5%。相比之下,比特币ETF上周显著吸引了资金流入,而以太坊现货ETF表现逊色。 尽管比特币现货价格没有显著上升,但机构投资者正以惊人的速度累积筹码,呈现出散户抛售、机构大规模买入的局面。机构投资者通过ETF购买比特币的速度超越了历史上所有其他ETF。 降息虽未立刻带来流动性激增,但它预示着政策转向,市场预期未来流动性将逐渐充沛。这种“预期”极其珍贵,未来几个月将充满这一预期的加强。 当前的另一个关键点是经济衰退尚未真正显现,失业率和非农数据仍在可控范围内。鲍威尔的发言也引导市场相信衰退尚未到来。 再加上美国大选的不确定因素,特朗普可能的上台也是市场关注的焦点。 总结:未来几个月将持续充满流动性预期,衰退尚未真正来临,特朗普的政治叙事也为市场增添了更多变数。 大选将近,交易难度上升 随着美国大选逐渐升温,加密货币市场也被选情的波动牵动,尤其是特朗普开始介入加密货币领域,推出“美国制造”比特币政策后,投资者纷纷将比特币纳入特朗普概念股。 只要民主党候选人贺锦丽的民调出现领先,比特币价格就会随之下滑。这种现象虽然已有一段时间,但近期比特币未能如美股般强劲反弹,主要受特朗普民调被民主党超越的影响。 加密货币社群甚至开始依据选情变化进行交易,两者的挂钩变得更加紧密,导致加密币的交易难度大幅上升。如果回顾特朗普任总统期间,他通过推特治国,股市随其言论波动,导致不少避险基金在那几年大亏而倒闭。如今,加密货币市场与政治的紧密联系同样使交易变得更加复杂。 展望未来,美国将在9月正式进入降息周期,预计大选将带来更多利好政策,长远来看,加密货币市场仍有较高的上涨潜力。 不过,这一多头趋势可能会经历多次波动。上周,联储在全球央行年会上已暗示降息,9月降息一码几乎已成定局。美债收益率已经反映了这一预期,10年期美债收益率从几个月前的4.2%降至3.8%,对应降息约2码。 如果比特币短期出现显著跌幅,对于长期投资者而言,正是安全入场的良机。 昨日,加密圈震惊消息:Telegram创始人被捕!此事件引发$TON相关生态的暴跌,不论是锁仓量(TVL)还是币价,均大幅下滑。恐慌情绪或将持续,除非官方提供明确解释。 但看看币圈前十市值大佬们,才明白他们为何能稳居前列的真正原因! 唯一没官司的2个,一个在泡妞一个在玩猴子!哈哈哈 山寨币方面近期这几个消息重点关注: 这两天我们不断提醒,对于那些已经大幅上涨的山寨币,务必要及时止盈。当前比特币处于抛压较重的区域,无论是继续上涨还是出现回调,山寨币都将面临一波下跌回踩。 而那些之前暴涨的山寨币,下跌幅度往往远超其他币种,即使短期内还会继续上涨,也不过是为即将到来的回调积蓄力量。 1. 本周英伟达将公布财报,这将对人工智能板块产生利好效应,推动AI、LPT、ARKM、FET等币种的行情,也可能带动LUNA、USTC、VGX的走势。 2. 9月10日的大选辩论将引发市场反应,可能对相关资产产生影响。 3. CZ预计在9月29日出狱,这对币安系列代币如BNB、CAKE、BAKE等无疑是利好消息。 此外,对于一些市值较小、尚未大幅拉升的山寨币,如LINA、COMBO、BEL、PERP、GTC、OGN,这些过去表现强劲的币种也值得关注,可能迎来一波轮动机会。 不要每天无时无刻想着去做交易 五月的BB、六月的NOT、七月的空白、八月的RARE SUN——这些已经成为过去。 调整预期,放低要求,迎接九月山寨币行情的到来! 即便行情再火爆,也不要对山寨币抱有过高期望。记住:降低杠杆,提高盈亏比,才能真正实现细水长流、稳健增长。小心谨慎地积累,稳步迈向成功! 本期的文章就暂时先分享到这里;想了解更多精彩圈内事件可社群咨询!

降息发酵,大选临近!比特币(BTC)能否维持上涨趋势呢?Telegram创始人被捕引爆TON暴跌!9月山寨币激战将全面爆发!

比特币本周交出亮眼成绩,涨幅高达8%,价格从59,000美元飙升至64,000美元。尽管以太坊也在逐步复苏,但受ETF资金流出影响,周涨幅仅为5%。相比之下,比特币ETF上周显著吸引了资金流入,而以太坊现货ETF表现逊色。
尽管比特币现货价格没有显著上升,但机构投资者正以惊人的速度累积筹码,呈现出散户抛售、机构大规模买入的局面。机构投资者通过ETF购买比特币的速度超越了历史上所有其他ETF。
降息虽未立刻带来流动性激增,但它预示着政策转向,市场预期未来流动性将逐渐充沛。这种“预期”极其珍贵,未来几个月将充满这一预期的加强。
当前的另一个关键点是经济衰退尚未真正显现,失业率和非农数据仍在可控范围内。鲍威尔的发言也引导市场相信衰退尚未到来。
再加上美国大选的不确定因素,特朗普可能的上台也是市场关注的焦点。
总结:未来几个月将持续充满流动性预期,衰退尚未真正来临,特朗普的政治叙事也为市场增添了更多变数。
大选将近,交易难度上升
随着美国大选逐渐升温,加密货币市场也被选情的波动牵动,尤其是特朗普开始介入加密货币领域,推出“美国制造”比特币政策后,投资者纷纷将比特币纳入特朗普概念股。
只要民主党候选人贺锦丽的民调出现领先,比特币价格就会随之下滑。这种现象虽然已有一段时间,但近期比特币未能如美股般强劲反弹,主要受特朗普民调被民主党超越的影响。
加密货币社群甚至开始依据选情变化进行交易,两者的挂钩变得更加紧密,导致加密币的交易难度大幅上升。如果回顾特朗普任总统期间,他通过推特治国,股市随其言论波动,导致不少避险基金在那几年大亏而倒闭。如今,加密货币市场与政治的紧密联系同样使交易变得更加复杂。
展望未来,美国将在9月正式进入降息周期,预计大选将带来更多利好政策,长远来看,加密货币市场仍有较高的上涨潜力。
不过,这一多头趋势可能会经历多次波动。上周,联储在全球央行年会上已暗示降息,9月降息一码几乎已成定局。美债收益率已经反映了这一预期,10年期美债收益率从几个月前的4.2%降至3.8%,对应降息约2码。
如果比特币短期出现显著跌幅,对于长期投资者而言,正是安全入场的良机。
昨日,加密圈震惊消息:Telegram创始人被捕!此事件引发$TON相关生态的暴跌,不论是锁仓量(TVL)还是币价,均大幅下滑。恐慌情绪或将持续,除非官方提供明确解释。
但看看币圈前十市值大佬们,才明白他们为何能稳居前列的真正原因!

唯一没官司的2个,一个在泡妞一个在玩猴子!哈哈哈
山寨币方面近期这几个消息重点关注:

这两天我们不断提醒,对于那些已经大幅上涨的山寨币,务必要及时止盈。当前比特币处于抛压较重的区域,无论是继续上涨还是出现回调,山寨币都将面临一波下跌回踩。
而那些之前暴涨的山寨币,下跌幅度往往远超其他币种,即使短期内还会继续上涨,也不过是为即将到来的回调积蓄力量。
1. 本周英伟达将公布财报,这将对人工智能板块产生利好效应,推动AI、LPT、ARKM、FET等币种的行情,也可能带动LUNA、USTC、VGX的走势。
2. 9月10日的大选辩论将引发市场反应,可能对相关资产产生影响。
3. CZ预计在9月29日出狱,这对币安系列代币如BNB、CAKE、BAKE等无疑是利好消息。
此外,对于一些市值较小、尚未大幅拉升的山寨币,如LINA、COMBO、BEL、PERP、GTC、OGN,这些过去表现强劲的币种也值得关注,可能迎来一波轮动机会。
不要每天无时无刻想着去做交易
五月的BB、六月的NOT、七月的空白、八月的RARE SUN——这些已经成为过去。
调整预期,放低要求,迎接九月山寨币行情的到来!
即便行情再火爆,也不要对山寨币抱有过高期望。记住:降低杠杆,提高盈亏比,才能真正实现细水长流、稳健增长。小心谨慎地积累,稳步迈向成功!
本期的文章就暂时先分享到这里;想了解更多精彩圈内事件可社群咨询!
See original
With the support of Binance and the promotion of TON ecology, the "Resistance Dog" movement has led to a surge in the TON ecosystem's MEME coin REDO. Has it become the new king of TON chain culture?If you follow TON, the TON ecosystem is now fully promoting a dog named REDO! On Binance, you will see that the TON icon has been replaced by this cute REDO dog. This operation is so cool! See how this dog sets off a new trend in the TON ecosystem! The market value of REDO Dog, which was born in January 2024, has soared to $81 million! What's more exciting is that it has skyrocketed 148% in the past 24 hours! Image: Resistance Dog REDO, the legendary pet known as the "resistance dog," has attracted the attention of the entire network. It not only interprets the rebellious spirit of Telegram founder Pavel Durov, but also quickly became a star symbolizing freedom and resistance after the Telegram founder was recently arrested in France.

With the support of Binance and the promotion of TON ecology, the "Resistance Dog" movement has led to a surge in the TON ecosystem's MEME coin REDO. Has it become the new king of TON chain culture?

If you follow TON, the TON ecosystem is now fully promoting a dog named REDO!
On Binance, you will see that the TON icon has been replaced by this cute REDO dog. This operation is so cool! See how this dog sets off a new trend in the TON ecosystem!

The market value of REDO Dog, which was born in January 2024, has soared to $81 million! What's more exciting is that it has skyrocketed 148% in the past 24 hours!

Image: Resistance Dog
REDO, the legendary pet known as the "resistance dog," has attracted the attention of the entire network. It not only interprets the rebellious spirit of Telegram founder Pavel Durov, but also quickly became a star symbolizing freedom and resistance after the Telegram founder was recently arrested in France.
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