The more you spend when you have money, the more you will be in a mess when you don't have money.

Learning to save 150,000 or 300,000 yuan in the first stage will allow you to grab the first springboard in life. People who can't save money give you three suggestions:

1. Never borrow money, even if you are starving.

2. Check your balance when buying a bottle of water. Don't underestimate these few dollars. Your money is lost in this way.

3. After saving a certain amount of savings, don't rush to buy luxury goods. Spend every penny on the blade and learn to invest above your neck.

Pay more attention to your inner self in daily life and learn to make yourself valuable, so that your accumulated funds will be more valuable.

From now on, please be stingy with yourself. (Repost)

"Bull market late indicator progress chart, detailed explanation..."
Article 1: Bitcoin breaks through historical peaks and continues to reach new highs. (✔️)
Passed, reached the target. Bitcoin broke through the historical peak of $69,000 and has now risen to over $100,000.
Article 2: The greed index has been extremely greedy since it reached 90°. (✔️)
Passed, reached the target. Last month, Bitcoin broke through $73,000, and the greed index reached a maximum of 94°, and has been extremely greedy since then.
Article 3: Value coins broke through the previous historical high and moved away from the previous high (X)
Not passed, not reached the target. BNB has reached a new high, but OKB and ETH have not broken through the previous historical high, and it will take time.
Article 4: The annualized value of the altcoins collectively surpassed Bitcoin. (X)
Not passed, not reached the target. It has not closed in 2024, but we can see that most of the altcoins have not surpassed Bitcoin in annualized value, mainly looking at the annualized value in 2025.
Article 5: 90% of the altcoins have doubled 10 times from the bottom. (X)
Not passed, not up to standard. See Figure 2 for details. Most of the altcoins did not meet the standard, only a few of them did. The previous multiples were high and the next wave of the market performance was mediocre.
Article ⑥: BTC market share <span and the monthly collapse was 10%. (X)
Article ⑦: Bitcoin fell into stagflation, and the altcoins collectively rushed up. (X)
Note: If the multiples were high in the past, you will have a lower cost-effectiveness in the future after chasing the rise
When the annual line is closed this year, I will sort out the data and share it in the group or Weibo every week. Pay attention to the data of the annualization and multiples of the altcoins surpassing Bitcoin.

If you think a coin is not profitable, then sell it and avoid internal strife.
There are very few cases like Bitcoin, where it sells off years later.
Is life the same if you have 10 million at 20 years old versus having 10 million at 80 years old?
A bull market requires timely switching; time is the greatest cost.
Moreover, Bitcoin cannot rise infinitely; just a few days ago, Bitcoin touched the threshold of 100,000 USD, with a market cap reaching 2 trillion.
In 2024, the global market value of gold is about 20 trillion, which means there is a tenfold space from 2 trillion to 20 trillion, and the market value of gold is a highly valuable reference indicator.
All industries are measured against gold; an increase in gold prices indicates poor performance in industries, as business owners buy gold. Conversely, a sharp drop in gold signifies the best opportunity to invest in industries.
The upper limit of Bitcoin is likely to reach parity with gold, after which it will not grow as rapidly as it has in the past; it will enter a phase of slow growth.
In this round, Bitcoin will not reach the market value of gold, but the next round in 2030 might.
If you are looking at a long-term investment, this drop is the final entry opportunity.
Typically, each round of Bitcoin only has a growth range of 5-8 times.

How to determine when a bull market peaks???

I personally think it's quite important.

1: BTC will peak before the market.
2: Public chains and platform coins will lead other coins to peak later.
If BTC peaks, then public chains and platform coins will lead innovative coins to peak about a month later.

History does not repeat details, but the process is similar.
BTC is still the leading pioneer of the bull market and will be the first major coin to peak ahead of the market.
During the peak process of BTC, most large-cap coins will only see slight follow-ups in price increases. Even if there are a few that surge, that would be just individual cases. It will be after BTC peaks that public chains and platform coins will lead other coins into chaos.

Summary: After BTC peaks, the market will not crash immediately.

"The market will maintain a brief frenzy for 15 to 25 days."

The public chain sector and BNB will serve as the second leaders of this bull market, waiting for BTC to stop rising and peak. They will then take over for the second wave, starting a second wave of frenzy, with massive funds flowing into altcoins. The pace will accelerate, quick battles and quick decisions, constantly hitting new highs in the short term. Innovative coins may double in a week and triple in a month. But there is only less than a month to celebrate, or even just a short 20 days.

"When BNB and ETH also stop rising, the market will collapse completely."

If at that time, the retail investors who have survived in this market until now, congratulations to you!

Autumn is not as good as deep autumn, with fat ducks and fresh fish, it is a good harvest season. You must firmly hold your position until the end.

Next, you need to lift your spirits, stay alert, and start preparing to reduce your positions in batches. Don't fantasize about selling at the peak.

In this market, the biggest enemy is not the opposing players, but the fear and greed within yourself. In the final stages, the market might rise to 10 times, but if you sell at 7 times, you will feel like you've lost 3 times, greedily rushing back in to make it up.

Bottom fishing and peak escaping, precise wave riding, these are all tempting death traps. Lightly, you may miss the opportunity, seriously, you may go bankrupt.

This wave of market can top your annual gains, hold tight during the bumps, but decisively let go when it gets crazy, stay focused.

Important reminder: This article elaborates on how to judge when a bull market peaks, not targeting the current market situation.

BTC has a history of 15 years, and there are only two waves of really large multiples, one in 2013, from 10 to 1000, and one in 2017, from 300 to 19000.

What is incredible is that they all happened within a year, that is, one year after the halving.

You can compare the housing prices at the end of 2017, when the BTC price was 19000. Now BTC is just over 60000.

BTC is an old friend of everyone, and it is also a new thing, because people's cognition is gradually improving. Just like when the Internet first came out, everyone said it was an Internet scam and an Internet bubble.

Most people only think about investing when their lives are surrounded by the Internet and they find that they can't live without the Internet. At that time, the stock price had already risen to the sky, just like Apple's 3 trillion market value.

How many users does BTC have? Less than 50 million (calculated according to BTC addresses), which is not worth mentioning compared with Apple's billions of users. However, less than 50 million users have created a market value of nearly 1 trillion yuan, which just shows that there is still room for growth ten or a hundred times in the future.

So it is never too late to enter the cryptocurrency circle, as long as you are earlier than your neighbors.

Today I will teach you a way to find 100x coins!!

1. The market value must be less than 1 billion US dollars, 50 million to 500 million US dollars

2. It was launched after BTC peaked in May 2021, and launched after October 2021

3. The monthly line fluctuated downward after the launch, and it has not experienced a bull market

4. The leader of a certain track

5. After more than 700 days of reshuffle 6. The market value is after 100, and it is in the top 20 or top 50 in the bull market, which is a coin with dozens or even 100x

Fully possess the characteristics of a 100x coin

1. Small market value and low unit price

2. Late launch

3. The leader of the sector has a large circulation

Shenyu wrote a piece of advice to novices on Weibo N years ago: How to make $100 million from a $1,000 capital.

1. Within $100,000: Learn more and do more.
Brush the airdrops of the core track Defi projects, and brush the whitelist mint of the popular NFT projects. This stage requires a lot of time to obtain information, analyze and study to determine potential projects, and the execution must be strong, and you must persevere in getting the wool;

2. $100,000-1 million:
Don’t leverage the currency, don’t play contracts
On the new public chain and L2, find potential projects according to the time machine rules, get chips at a low price; find your ten-fold coin;

3. $1 million-10 million: Choose your currency standard btc or eth, etc., and study it in depth; trade appropriately, don’t short, don’t short, don’t short! Flexibly use low-leverage defi lending protocols to improve capital utilization. You can use platforms like dydx to get token rewards while trading. Observe more, arbitrage more, adhere to the currency standard, and pursue the growth of the currency standard; do not be greedy to participate in every hot spot, make every penny, obtain stable cash flow through arbitrage, staking, etc., keep a stable mentality, treat it calmly, and whether the wealth level can be broken through, the rest is left to time and industry development;

4. 10 million-1 billion dollars:
Once the assets exceed a small goal, improve the life of your family, read more, exercise more, change your personal cognition and circle, hold the core assets, and pursue low-risk stable appreciation and good cash flow without stepping into the big pit.

Don't play contracts, don't start a business, and be careful to avoid falling into the pit.

Maintain a certain amount of currency-based assets and don't step into the air.

Maintain a certain amount of stable currency assets to obtain a stable cash flow. At the same time, deal with emergencies in life, and you can also have bullets to buy the bottom when the market plummets.
Take 10-15% of your assets to invest in the track you are optimistic about, so that you have something to do, and at the same time, you can prevent yourself from being greedy. (Transfer)

I saw a great idea for speculating in cryptocurrencies, and I want to share it with you!
Everyone has different expectations for the cryptocurrencies, so it is very important to plan limited funds reasonably, especially when we buy cryptocurrencies! ! ! If you have two identical funds, one buys BTC and makes a profit of 30%, and the other buys ETH and loses 30%. If you want to operate, what will you do? (You will always make the wrong choice between the two)

A. Hold both

B. Sell BTC to make up for ETH

C. Sell ETH to make up for BTC

D. Clear both

According to probability theory, 80% of normal people will choose to sell Bitcoin to make up for Ethereum.

They will feel scared if Bitcoin rises too much, and feel comfortable if they take the money in. The more Ethereum falls, the lower the risk, and they may make money if they sell BTC to save ETH.

In fact, there is a terrible phenomenon in the investment market where the strong are always strong and the weak are always weak: most people will find that selling BTC will continue to rise, and the trapped ETH will fall more and more. If they find that it is better to hold it, at least one of them is profitable.
Compared with B. Selling BTC to make up for ETH, C. Selling ETH to make up for BTC seems extremely anti-human, and this operation makes most people feel seriously uncomfortable!
In fact, this outcome is often the best. This "always wrong choice between two" is a choice paradox that 80% of investors will encounter.
Under the comprehensive score, the return is C>A>D>B.
If you encounter two coins next time, there is a situation where one is rising and the other is falling, be brave and ruthless, and try to go against your first sense of security to operate. The more unreliable it is, the more you should try.
Remember, investment is always anti-human, and you must go against most people.

Now, are there many people around you saying that the bull market is over and the bear market is coming? Well, they are all right! Buy when no one cares, sell when the crowd is boiling!

Seeing the rise, you chase it, you are not replenishing your position, but greed.

Seeing the fall, you sell your meat, you are not selling meat, but fear!

After experiencing three rounds of bull and bear markets, I found that only profound lessons can be taught to people, not a few words. Let go of the desire to help others, respect the fate of others, and encounter opportunities but fail to make money. Isn’t this a kind of energy conservation?

When you can’t bear it, look at this picture

In the next few months, the expectation of money release will continue to strengthen, the recession has not come yet, and finally there is the Trump narrative.
Starting this month, the trading logic of the entire financial market has changed significantly, especially after Powell's speech, the market has clarified the direction.

Gold rose to break through the historical high; the US dollar index fell; the Russell 2000 rose faster; the crypto-copycat rose sharply. Wood Sister's Arkk is expected to rise sharply soon.
Why is this so? Because the logic behind the rise of these assets is based on "the liquidity that will be flooded in the future", which can be explained in one sentence. When the Fed's policy turns, global risk assets will rise.
If the big cake tests 7w again, I think there will be a very high probability of rushing up, after all, the environment has changed significantly.
In the bull market, you must seize the big opportunity to hold a heavy position and give up the wool, which is no longer cost-effective, give up the pledge, and stop wasting time and chips.
Whether it is the Bitcoin ecosystem or the inscription ecosystem, don't leave!
Take every day seriously, the bull market is short and the bear market is long, and the bull market will be over in the blink of an eye.

What is the main narrative of this bull market?

When Bitcoin's inscription ecosystem began to flourish last year, I thought that the next major theme driving the bull market would be the Bitcoin ecosystem.

But the fact is that after that period of heat, there were no disruptive applications in the Bitcoin ecosystem. There were only a lot of infrastructure projects and DeFi and NFT projects that repeated Ethereum. In my opinion, infrastructure and repetitive applications cannot directly drive the growth of the Bitcoin ecosystem, let alone become the main narrative of the next bull market.

Not to mention Ethereum, except for a bunch of newly emerging second-layer extensions, there is no innovation in applications.
Whether it is the endless MEME coins or the DeFi, games or social networking that appear on the second-layer extensions, they are basically the continuation of the narrative of the last bull market. Although there are some slight innovations in content and gameplay, there is no essential difference in the scene. Some applications that were highly expected have not continued to flourish so far and cannot attract new users in large numbers.

If we must say there are any new application scenarios, the so-called "AI+blockchain" and "DePIN" can barely be considered, but my opinion on these two tracks: most of the projects in them are basically traditional projects with a shell, and many of them appeared as early as the 1CO in 2017, but almost none of them succeeded later.

So far, I can't see what direction or ecosystem will become the main narrative of the next bull market.
This is also what I deeply regret recently. If this situation continues to develop, even if we enter a bull market, it will be a bull market without its own main narrative and driven only by external funds.

This kind of bull market will not go far or strong. #区块链[超话]# #加密# #比特超话# #ETH超话# #ETH#

5 laws of currency speculation!! ! ! !

1. Rapid rise and slow correction are actually signs of bookmakers accumulating funds. The rapid rise in stock prices is followed by a steady downward trend, which often reveals that the main funds are quietly accumulating chips to prepare for the subsequent rising market.
2. A sharp drop and a slow rise are signs of market makers shipping. When the stock price declines sharply and then rebounds at a moderate rate, this is often a sign that market makers are gradually reducing their holdings, indicating that the market may be about to enter a downward cycle.
3. If the top volume is sufficient, there is no need to rush to sell; if the top volume shrinks, you need to be vigilant. When the stock price reaches a high, if the trading volume remains active, it may mean that the upward momentum has not been exhausted and the stock price may still continue to rise. On the contrary, if the trading volume at the top shrinks significantly, it means that the upward momentum is insufficient, and timely withdrawal should be considered at this time.
4. If the volume increases at the bottom, wait and see; if the volume continues to increase, a buying opportunity will appear. When the stock price hits the bottom area, the first heavy volume may be just a short rest in the decline process, so we need to remain cautious. However, if the volume trend continues, it indicates that funds continue to flow into the market, showing a strong willingness to buy, and this can be regarded as a better entry opportunity.
5. Coin speculation means speculation, and trading volume reflects market consensus. Price fluctuations in the digital currency market are deeply affected by market sentiment, and trading volume is an important indicator of the strength of market consensus and the activity of investor behavior. Therefore, understanding market sentiment and keeping up with changes in trading volume are the keys to grasping the pulse of currency speculation.
#Ethereumeth# #bitcoinchaohua# #cryptocurrency# #bitcoinbtc##currencycircle# #财经#