塔可

After a busy day has ended and just as I lay down, a message pop-up brought good news: the war is over. When the economy is in recession, fighting may be the most direct and effective way to reshuffle the deck. In the struggle for capital, only the common people suffer, and the same goes for the leeks.

Currently, the trends are all influenced by news, and this good news is not enough to change the current market downturn. Liquidity will not warm up because of this factor. Continue to pay attention to Bitcoin around 71000 and Ethereum around 2100.

If these two positions cannot stabilize, any rising trend will only be a rebound, and it will never reverse. The four-year cycle of bull and bear laws may have already changed. There is not much Bitcoin left to mine, and the violent market caused by halving production has also gone away. This month, if you can avoid losing money, you will have outperformed 80% of the entire market.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH走势分析

The market has started to fall back after reaching a peak, indicating that this market phase is nearing its end. Those who did not preemptively position themselves and chose to chase the rise may need some time to recover. It has only been a few months since the peak, but recently, the state of ETFs has seen a net inflow, and unless there are black swan events, there won't be significant drops. However, the wealth effect for retail investors is insufficient, leading to a lack of confidence and belief in the market. Such a market will continue to exhibit a wide range of fluctuations.

Ethereum has started to fall back after reaching around 2100. The continuous breakthrough of Bitcoin has also propelled Ethereum forward, and it is currently in a trend of oscillating corrections. There is support around 2050 in the smaller time frames, while resistance for the rebound remains near 2100, with support below around 1980.

The momentum of Bitcoin is relatively strong. On one hand, there has been a de-escalation of the war, with signs of negotiation and ceasefire emerging. All indicators are trending upwards. Currently, there is support at the 70000 mark, with a stronger support level around 67800. Previously mentioned, if Bitcoin breaks through 71000, we could see levels near 76000. If this rebound can hold, we could still observe this position.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH market analysis

The trend direction of the entire market mentioned earlier this morning has almost been in line with our expectations. Bitcoin has once again approached the key resistance level around 71000. Whether it can hold this level is crucial for reaching our next target of 76000, and it is also key to breaking out of this wide-ranging volatile market.

The trend of Ethereum is slightly weaker than Bitcoin, which is also within our expectations. The resistance is around 2100. Since Bitcoin has reached the resistance point, if it can stabilize, Ethereum still has the potential to rally and touch the 2100 level.

In the overall market, which is showing a trend of fluctuating decline, there are not many opportunities for altcoins. Before this wide-ranging volatile market breaks out, it is still necessary to maintain a state of observation with little action, patiently waiting for opportunities.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

The arrival of the Lantern Festival also means that the flavor of the New Year is approaching its end. Today, I have returned to my job, and the frequency of updates will be more frequent. However, in the current market, there aren't many opportunities to seize. Bitcoin and Ethereum are still in a wide range of fluctuations, which makes it difficult to break out.

The entire market is experiencing significant turmoil due to the influence of war. They continue to fight, and retail investors are buying in. Currently, Bitcoin's shape is quite good, breaking through the wide range of fluctuations at 71,000. This month, it may rebound to around 76,000, which is what we can see at the moment.

Last time Ethereum broke through the resistance at 2,150, it was pushed back down. Currently, the bottom is still lowering, and the position at 2,150 has also been pushed down to around 2,100. Without enough rebound strength, it is likely that it will only touch around 2,100 before falling back.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

The atmosphere of the New Year is indeed very good, combined with the sluggish market conditions, there isn't much room for operation. Every day feels like being in a drunken stupor. The rebound last night was also the first decent rebound after a long period of market silence.

The rebound strength of Bitcoin is slightly weak, with resistance around 71000 as previously mentioned. The rebound did not surpass the 70000 mark before starting to decline, and it is currently hovering near the support around 67800, with a trend towards the resistance at 71000.

The highs and lows of Ethereum are still within the range we mentioned before, with resistance around 2150 still unbroken. Short-term support is near the 2000 mark, and currently, it is in a trend of oscillation and correction.

The riots in Mexico have raised some concerns about the World Cup this year, and this city happens to be one of the host cities. The collapse of one party's power could disrupt the balance among various forces, and this balance is difficult to restore in the short term. This is also one of the reasons for the recent decline in fan tokens.

I still hold Santos, Lazio, Porto, as well as ATM and CHZ, and I won't easily adjust my positions until a new market emerges. Good things are coming, so everyone should keep their bullets ready.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

Since it can't drop any further, let's continue to add to our positions. The ATM remains strong in this market. First, the main players have not left the scene, and second, the fan tokens are right at the forefront. Continuing to be optimistic

#ATM.智能策略库🥇🥇

Stand firm on this post on the last day of 2025. On New Year's Eve, I wish all fans good luck in the Year of the Horse, may you achieve success quickly, and may you become wealthy soon. All the good and the bad have passed, adjust your mindset, and start a brand new chapter.

The support level mentioned by Big Pancake yesterday is near 68000. The Spring Festival does not affect our judgment of the market. The lowest point is exactly 68000, and without any difference, after today's rebound, it has started to fall again. The probability of the 68000 support holding is very low now, with strong support below around 65800.

The Ethereum trend is also within our expectations. The support near 1900 fell to a minimum of 1928, and after rebounding, it is also falling back. There is strong support near the low point of 1890 from the previous days.

ATM entered at 1.1, and yesterday also allowed everyone to exit at a relatively high point. From the trend, it seems that the main force has not exited, which means there is still a chance for a rise. You can continue to buy below 1.3 and wait for the next round of increase.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

The market has improved under the favorable influence of CPI, and with Musk contributing again to the crypto market, old MEME coins like DOGE and PEPE have seen some rebounds. This market can be considered as celebrating the New Year.

A few days ago, I mentioned that the range for Bitcoin's wide fluctuations would be between 65000 and 71000. Looking back now, the lowest point in these days was 65118, and the highest point was 70983, which completely aligns with our expectations. This trend has completed, and we are currently in a correction trend, consistent with our expectations from yesterday, with recent support around 68000.

The expected fluctuation range for Ethereum is around 1850 to 2150. The position at 2150 has consistently suppressed Ethereum's rebound, which is currently also in a downtrend, with support around 1900.

A few days ago, I advised everyone to buy ATM near 1.1, and the last post clearly mentioned holding until above 1.5. Now that the target has been reached, there’s no need to linger, and I have taken profits. Wishing everyone a Happy New Year.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

CPI data released, will this be a catalyst for a rapid decline in the market, or a remedy to save the current situation? Such market conditions are likely to only affect the market for a very short time, and we also need to see how the current market interprets this data.

The U.S. January seasonally adjusted CPI year-on-year rate was previously 2.7%, with market expectations of 2.5%, and the released value was 2.4%, which is positive.

The U.S. January seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate was previously 0.3%, with market expectations of 0.3%, and the released value was 0.2%, which is positive.

Bitcoin and Ethereum have currently stopped declining. As long as Bitcoin does not drop below 65000 and Ethereum does not drop below 1850, we will not see a significant decline. It will continue to fluctuate widely. The probability of continuing to decline after a recent rebound is still quite large. For those who entered around 1.1, today's performance is still acceptable. I will continue to hold until above 1.5.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH走势分析
#CPI数据

As the bottom gradually lowers, the rebound amplitude is compressed, and the one-day rebound market seems to be coming to an end. The entire market has also reached the lower part of the previously mentioned fluctuation range. If it stabilizes here, it can be the starting point of a rebound market. Once it breaks down, it will mark the beginning of a new decline.

Bitcoin is between 65000 and 71000, and the rebound has already reached the edge of this fluctuation range. From the RSI, the current buying strength is weak, which also causes the MACD golden cross to fail to rise. The market in the past two days has also experienced a lot of decline. The probability of the support at 65000 holding is low, and once it increases in volume, it will test lower points than the previous round. If it breaks below 60000, the first entry point we expect will not be far.

Ethereum is between 1850 and 2150, and similarly, it has also come to the lower part of this range after the rebound. The bottom is gradually lowering. Although there is a rebound trend now, during Bitcoin's decline, Ethereum is just a slightly larger market cap altcoin, and risks must also be noted.

In such a sluggish market, the performance of fan tokens is still a consolation. The ATM surged to 1.5 and has now dropped back to around 1.1. After hitting a historical low, the rebound has not yet ended. I bought some around 1.1 in preparation for another wave of rebound.

$ATM

#BTC走势分析
#ETH走势分析

{spot}(ATMUSDT)

The market rebounded but did not break through the bottleneck, which is consistent with our expected trend. It has started to pull back again. From the overall market perspective, there are signs of a bottoming out, and there is a high probability of a rebound in the next few days.

I mentioned that the resistance for Bitcoin is around 71000, with the highest point also here. The support is around 67000, which is also at this level. The support held up the upward rebound, and resistance is still around 71000, making the rebound probability high.

For Ethereum, the resistance is mentioned around 2150, and the rebound has again reached this position, with support around 1950. Like Bitcoin, it is able to hold up. It has now started to move in a fluctuating upward trend, with resistance still around 2150.

Overall, apart from fan tokens which have had a better rebound, the rest are silent. Yesterday's ATM performance was particularly outstanding, with a price of 0.74, which has reached a historical low, and I have bought some as well. The previously recommended Santos, Lazio, and Porto have also rebounded strongly, so just hold on.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH走势分析

The market on Monday is mostly a pullback, and today is no exception. After a brief rebound, the index has started to fluctuate downward again. As the year-end approaches, it is unlikely there will be a reversal in the market for the rest of the year. The carefully selected targets that have been worked on for months will soon be revealed, with the last one being OG around 4 dollars, which peaked at 25. This time, expectations shouldn't be too low and are worth looking forward to.

After the rebound, Bitcoin has started to decline again, with short-term support around 67000. Currently, it's also a wide-ranging fluctuating market, with a range from around 65000 to around 71000. Until this trend breaks, it’s best to watch more and act less.

Ethereum's temperament is also well understood. In interactions with fans, the anticipated rebound to 2150 was insightfully predicted, with short-term support around 1950. Similar to Bitcoin, it is also in a wide-ranging fluctuation trend, with a range from around 1850 to around 2100. Overall, it still leans toward a fluctuating downward trend.

In such a market, it is hard not to lose money. Whether experienced traders or seasoned investors, it's difficult to escape the sanctions of a volatile market. Many wealthy individuals around me are currently choosing to sit on the sidelines without entering the market, which might still be the best strategy right now.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

This wave of decline occurred in a situation where the market was unprepared, not as violently as a black swan, but the intensity is comparable to it. A dull knife cutting flesh hurts more; the market trend has also come faster than expected, which is a reflection of the current liquidity shortage in the market.

The rebound from the large coin to 76000 is the best short-term opportunity to escape the top and enter a short position. After testing 70000, the price is approaching the major threshold of 60000. Our expected first entry position around 55000 is also gradually getting closer. Now, aside from waiting with no positions, there is no better way.

The decline of Ethereum is even more like a shanzhai, breaking the 2000 mark, and has already dropped to around 1700, getting closer to our 1500. Once we reach the expected level, we will start a regular investment.

The rebound from the black swan will be stronger than the current market. The current rebound is, like before, just a rebound; it will not be a reversal. The entire fan token is also adjusting accordingly, based on the favorable news from the World Cup and the overall market capitalization being relatively small. Continuing to hold has a good chance of profit, as long as we control our positions and plan our funds well.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH走势分析
#Crypto market adjustment

As gold and silver retreat, funds have not flowed into the cryptocurrency market, and it is a fact that the entire market is facing a liquidity crisis. It is highly probable that there will be a significant market washout; it was originally a bad hand, and only by reshuffling can there be new opportunities. This is the true depiction of the current market, which has recently been characterized by tentative entries. The downward trend is hard to reverse, and we need to wait for opportunities after the washout.

Bitcoin and Ethereum have had particularly large fluctuations in the past couple of days. Ethereum is facing a defensive battle at 2000, and there are currently signs of a stop-loss rebound. The upward resistance is around 2250, and the probability of continued decline remains significant. By mid-year, it is expected that Ethereum will be around 1500; I will consider this position as my first buying point for long-term holding in the spot market and start dollar-cost averaging.

Bitcoin has reached 70,000 as expected. The market's further decline will soon see Bitcoin starting with 6. There are currently signs of a rebound, with resistance around 76,000. My expected first buying point for Bitcoin in the spot market is around 55,000, and I will restart dollar-cost averaging after it reaches this point.

In a downward trend, any purchase will incur some loss, just varying in magnitude. The frequency of recent updates has decreased because there are currently no opportunities in this circle. Staying still and living well can allow you to outperform most of the market.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

The impact of the collapse of gold and silver has also affected this circle; funds have not only failed to flow back, but have instead caused panic. The altcoins are in a dire state, with some even reaching prices near the 10.10 black swan. Those who have managed to survive until now have surpassed 90% of the entire market.

Bitcoin has seen everyone enter a position around 85000, and currently there are losses. Fortunately, it is just a small position, and such floating losses can still be tolerated. The crucial support at 80000 has been broken, and we are waiting for a rebound to around 82000, where heavier positions can be reduced.

Ethereum has also experienced the largest decline recently, with an entry at 2820, indicating a rebound to around 2850. This should be set as a moving stop-loss position. It peaked at 2860, providing an opportunity to escape, and it is expected that the rebound will reach around 2550.

In the short term, there are no good opportunities for altcoins, and it is better to remain inactive. The only segment I am optimistic about is the fan tokens benefiting from the World Cup's popularity. The decline presents an opportunity for those who have not entered yet, as well as a position for averaging down. With proper capital planning, I will continue to hold for a few months.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

Currently, most people are surprised by the recent decline, yet it was within our expectations and precisely aligned with them. We hope this reminder can provide you with assistance.

Firstly, after Bitcoin touched 86000 and rebounded, I remind everyone that this is merely a rebound, not a reversal, and there will still be a trend towards 85000. This wave of decline reached a low of 85224, which provided us with an opportunity to enter. Now, it is likely to follow a volatile trend, leading to a rebound market. After entering, patience is needed to hold.

The reminder regarding Ethereum is equally precise, allowing everyone to enter near 2780, and when it rebounded to around 3000, we promptly advised everyone to take profits, placing the next entry point near 2820, with a low of 2805. It is expected to fluctuate around 2850, and returning above this position is where the trailing stop-loss should be set.

Recently, there have been many criticisms directed at Big Brother, which indeed has impacted this circle. Combined with the sharp rise in gold and silver, it has made the liquidity in this circle tight. This afternoon, it was mentioned in the community that when gold and silver decline, not only will funds not flow back, but it may even cause a collapse in this circle; this is also a risk point that needs to be monitored recently.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH trend analysis

This point marks the end of a busy day, and recently, it's been almost like this state, but it does not affect the analysis and judgment of the overall market trend. The market sense is still online, and the ups and downs are all expected. The price level prompts are also quite accurate.

Bitcoin has dropped more than 10,000 points from 97,000. This pullback belongs to a dull knife cutting meat; it’s not so direct, but it is indeed a significant pullback, allowing everyone to enter the first position around 88,000. A couple of days ago, it was expected to reach around 85,000, but the lowest point was 86,000, which stopped the decline, and Ethereum rebounded all the way. However, this is merely a rebound, not a reversal. Bitcoin still has a trend towards around 85,000, so we must patiently wait for this moment to arrive.

Ethereum is completely in line with our expectations, allowing everyone to buy around 2,780. The lowest point reached 2,784, which was also a quite accurate reminder. Now, after the rebound, there is still a trend for a pullback, so take profits first to secure gains, and after selling, set the entry point around 2,820.

A few days ago, RIVER advised everyone to give it up, whether shorting or going long; it's almost an unsolvable problem. The main force has changed its funding from 4 hours to 1 hour, and the high-level sideways movement is slowly draining the blood of the bears. The temporary profits of the bulls may also be wiped out by the sudden crash, which is even more a case of losing more than gaining. Trading is not gambling; investment needs to be rational. The market is sluggish, so let’s send everyone a red envelope to cheer them up.

$ETH

#BTC走势分析
#ETH走势分析