波段浩源

Haoyuan chat room is now open!

Strategy updates in real time, with entry and stop-loss levels updated simultaneously. Brothers and friends are welcome to join the room—keep pace with the Haoyuan team, say goodbye to blind trading. Proceed step by step, and let’s discuss the market together. We look forward to your joining!$BTC $ETH $SNDK

Haoyuan unified plan for daily thought updates: morning at 8:00 and evening at 9:30.

Not necessarily at fixed times to provide real-time price strategies.
Periodically review the market trend, and share reference viewpoints in sync with market data. Brothers, please focus on these two time points to receive the market analysis in a timely manner. Markets change rapidly; all content is for discussion only. Remember to view market fluctuations rationally.

Friendly reminder: The content is only for sharing market outlook, and is not intended as a basis for positioning decisions.$BTC $ETH $SNDK

Morning market update, dear friends. Earlier I mentioned setting up a long position on BTC; currently the price has surged to around 63,500, with the maximum upside move reaching nearly 900 points!
For those with a more cautious, steady style, you can exit all positions directly to lock in your profits securely; for more aggressive partners who want to bet on the next move, you can continue holding. Keep an eye on the second take-profit target to the upside, and monitor order-book momentum changes in real time. $BTC $ETH $SNDKB

As early as August 14, we reminded our brother to position for long trades; today, August 17, we once again provide a long setup. $BTC $ETH $SNDK

With the U.S. stock market closed over the weekend, the overall market is oscillating and consolidating. Now that our partner has successfully exited, we captured a 20-point range and securely locked in over 3000 USDT. Clear thinking, the right rhythm—opportunities always belong to those who move with the pace.

Morning thoughts reminder, everyone, my fellow friends—the long positions from the setup have come in with profits! The auntie has arrived at the first target zone. If you prefer a steady approach, you can close out and lock in the gains directly; if you’re more aggressive, it’s recommended to cut the position in half first and keep part of your position. Next, patiently observe market changes and then decide whether to push toward the second target level. $BTC $ETH $SNDK

August 17 Morning Thoughts

First priority: BTC and ETH (the “auntie”)—buy the dip on the pullback.
Based on a 4-hour chart analysis, after a round of consolidation and shakeout, the support zone below has been tested. The lows have been steadily rising. The moving average system has shifted from interweaving to a bullish repair; the indicators are gradually recovering, and bearish momentum continues to weaken.
There is limited room for short-term pullback. After digestion through consolidation, upward opportunities will gradually become more apparent. BTC stabilizes the overall market focus, while ETH has stronger rebound potential. The trading idea is mainly to enter near support with low bids. Since the market may fluctuate repeatedly, make sure to plan your position sizes reasonably and place emphasis on risk protection.
$ETH If it pulls back to around 1855-1870, take profit at 1890-1920; stop loss at 1845
$BTC C Pull back to around 62000-62500; roughly target 63400-63900; stop loss at 61800 $SNDK

August 17–23 Detailed Bullish Analysis of Big Pie and Ether

This week, the overall crypto market sentiment is bullish. Both BTC and ETH show signs of stabilizing and rebounding. In the short term, the bullish rationale is relatively clear.

For BTC, the price is currently trading in a range around $63,000. The key support zone is approximately $62,300–$62,500. As long as this area is not effectively broken down, the bullish structure is unlikely to change easily. On the upside, the main resistance to watch is $63,400–$64,000. Once it breaks out with volume, market sentiment could rise further, and the price may attempt to move toward the $65,000–$67,000 range.

For ETH, the fundamentals are even more impressive. On-chain data shows that exchange ETH reserves have dropped to historic lows. The total amount staked has surpassed 41.7 million ETH. Combined with the continued net inflows into the ETH ETF, the supply-side contraction trend is quite evident. Technically, if ETH can hold above 1930, it may further test the 2000 psychological level.

Summary:
BTC around 61,500–62,500, target 63,400–64,000; a breakout could see 65,000–66,500.

ETH around 1,825–1,850, target 1,930–1,960; a breakout could see 2,000.

Overall, this week’s Big Pie (BTC) and Ether (ETH) are running with a relatively bullish bias. However, there are still uncertainties in the macro environment. It’s recommended to manage position sizing reasonably and do a good job of risk management.$BTC $ETH $SNDK

Yesterday’s market outlook was clearly laid out, guiding old friends to set up long positions on the pullback. Hao Yuan participated firsthand in the execution, leading partners who kept pace to enter smoothly. Once the market moved as expected, profits were successfully realized and locked in. For those who missed this opportunity, don’t rush—feel free to exchange ideas anytime, and simply wait for the next suitable window.$BTC $ETH $SNDK

Today’s big pancake is very likely to maintain a range-bound, weaker trend. Any directional breakout needs to wait until next week. As of August 14, BTC is under pressure around 62,500–63,500. ETH is consolidating around 1,873–1,880. Both are trapped in a narrow range. Volatility is at a historical low, and the market is building up energy to choose a direction.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis

Current Price: Approximately 62,500–63,500, slightly down from the previous day. After several consecutive down days, it has already broken below the daily trendline.

Key Levels

Support: 62,250 — a critical defense level. If it breaks, it could accelerate downward toward 61,000–60,000.

Resistance: 64,400–65,000. After a breakout, it may challenge 66,000–68,000.

Bull/Bear Signals

Bearish: Spot ETF net outflows for two consecutive days, totaling about 192 million. Futures short positions are heating up, and the price is below the 10-day/50-day moving averages. RSI is only 47.

Bullish: The probability of a September rate hike from the Federal Reserve has fallen from 70% to 32%. Whales have cumulatively added about 30,000 BTC in August. 30-day volatility is only 5.6%, one of the tightest historically—often a sign that a breakout with momentum is imminent.

Base Scenario: Continue to trade sideways and grind lower within the 62,000–66,000 range.

Bullish Scenario: ETF fund outflows stabilize + holding above 64,400 could lead to short-covering and push prices toward 66,000.

Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 62,250 could accelerate the move lower toward 60,000, and potentially trigger a deep correction on the order of 20%: $BTC $ETH $SNDK

Ethereum (ETH) Price Trend Analysis

Current price is roughly 1873–1880, trading below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, with clear resistance at the 1900 level
Key levels

Support: 1850–1865 (50-day EMA) → 1825–1840 (100-day moving average) → 1700–1711

Resistance: 1920–1930 (100-day EMA + long-term descending trendline) → 1960 → 2000 psychological level
Bullish/Bearish signals

Slightly bearish: RSI around 49.7 and relatively weak; both MACD and Stoch RSI have issued sell signals. In the derivatives market, sellers hold a slight edge, and sell pressure is heavier in the 1900–1950 range.

Slightly bullish: Spot ETF has seen net inflows for several consecutive days. In the week of August 3–7, it recorded 245 million. Whales continue to accumulate: a “giant whale” has accumulated 112,000 ETH within three weeks. The staking ratio has reached 34%, tightening circulating supply.

Base scenario: Continue ranging in a narrow band of 1858–1930, trading in a defensive bias.

Bullish scenario: A daily close above 1930 would open room for a move toward 2000.

Bearish scenario: A breakdown below 1850 could force longs to passively unwind positions, with a possible retest of 1825, and even 1700$BTC $ETH $SNDK

8.14 Midday Thoughts
Hao Yuan currently favors the “big cake” (BTC) and the “auntie” (ETH) for a low-position setup. On one hand, the CPI data has landed, dispelling the uncertainty the market was pricing in; on the other hand, overseas US stock sentiment has improved, and risk appetite is gradually recovering. This pullback is more likely a clearing of short-term positioning rather than a large-scale exit of long-term holders. If the big cake holds the base, the auntie should have stronger upside elasticity. Wait for a rebound opportunity after stabilization, and participate in batches based on support levels.$BTC $ETH $SNDK
BTC Around 62800-63300, place “dough” (entry/scale) and take profit at 63900-64500
Stop loss: 62500
ETH Around 1860-1875, place “dough” (entry/scale) and take profit at 1895-1925 Stop loss: 1848

Yesterday morning ideas reminder: all my friends, arrange your long positions, and your entry should be kept close to the live price. HaoYuan participates in the layout as well, follows the ideas to execute trades. When the market approaches the high of the current trend, exit all positions to capture the full profit potential of this round. The market changes in an instant—grasp the rhythm and know when to take profits are especially crucial. $BTC $ETH $SNDK

Hao Yuan’s thinking and strategy over the past week has remained consistently accurate. For four consecutive days, the directional judgment has closely matched the order book/price action. Among them, three days provided entry references that aligned closely with the order book/price action. It also shared a real-time live price order approach.

Market opportunities hinge on seizing the timing. Changes on the chart/order book can shift in an instant. Going forward, we will continue to maintain a rational layout and keep a close watch for the next round of market window.$BTC $ETH $SNDK

Today morning thoughts reminder, old iron, enter the trade layout for long positions. The entry ranges provided by Big Pie and Auntie are closely aligned with the current order book position. The pre-set exit points are very well matched with the trend; the price has already successfully reached the first phase target zone, smoothly capturing the potential from this round of market movement. The order book continues to change; going forward, remain cautious and keep monitoring further market developments. $SNDK
$BTC highest rise of around 700 points
$ETH highest rise of around 25 points

8.13 Morning Haoyuan's strategy has already reminded everyone, old friends, to arrange low-buy entries. Those who grasped the opportunity have successfully entered the market. The current market is continuing to run upward. Friends who already hold positions can continue to hold and observe, waiting for further upside space to open up. The market changes in an instant—always keep an eye on changes on the board and manage your own risk effectively.$BTC $ETH $SOL

Yesterday’s CPI data met expectations, making it difficult to drive a one-way market trend, and the price action has returned to a technical rhythm. BTC and ETH have pulled back to suitable levels for buying the dip; the bullish structure remains intact, and the retreat is just a normal correction. Plan positions around the support range: BTC is steady, ETH has stronger upside elasticity. Don’t chase; prioritize risk management.
$BTC around 63300 take profit/stop loss 63900-64500 take profit/stop loss 63000
$ETH around 1870 take profit around 1890-1925 stop loss 1860$SNDK

8.12 Market Surface Observation: The big biscuit and the aunt have completed their retracement, making it suitable for a low-entry buy. The daily chart bullish structure remains intact; the pullback is only a technical adjustment. The short-term sell pressure has been fully digested, and signs of support taking hold are evident. The big biscuit is holding the market, while the aunt shows better elasticity. Build your positions in batches based on support—avoid chasing prices, and keep risk control in place. $BTC $ETH $SOL
ETH: Take profit at 1875-1890, then at 1925-1945. Defend at 1850.
BTC: Take profit at 63000-63500, then at 64400-64900. Defend at 59800

8.12 At dawn, Haoyuan's real-time “limit price” order strategy captures the market turning point,

ETH goes on a strong single-line offensive, leading old friends to take down three cities in one fell swoop, raking in 13k oil! Although the BTC side old friends took profit on their own, it wasn't shown due to the limited room for upside. The strategy strength stays consistently online—follow Haoyuan, and old friends feel relaxed and unbothered! $BTC $ETH $SOL

In the early hours of the morning, Haoyuan’s real-time “limit-price” order strategy captures market turning points. With professional analysis and steady execution, it helps the third veteran brother achieve the 3️⃣rd city. The timing is on point, strength stays online—follow Haoyuan, and dear brothers, you’re full of confidence!

Haoyuan veteran brother EHT: around 1857, hit 1895 to rise by about 40 points. Withdraw about 5500 oil. $BTC $ETH $SNDK

Opportunities are always here every day, and they never really leave. But what often creates the biggest gap isn’t just seeing the market clearly—it’s holding steady.

At dawn today, Hao Yuan’s real-time “limit price” trading idea served as a reminder to go long: $BTC $ETH $SNDK
Now BTC is up by about 1,000 points, and ETH is up by about 60 points