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$NEAR Congrats to everyone who followed along. We didn’t exit at the very top, but the profit is still solid—we easily bagged an 8x. Let’s review this trade.

At 4.852, I saw the lower wick hit 4.3 and volume start to build, so I went all-in long with 50x leverage. Then this thing shot up to 5.902 in one massive bullish candle. It’s now holding steady at 5.66, with unrealized gains surging to +832.64%!

Looking at the chart, the 12-hour candle rallied and left an upper wick. News about the activation of quantum-safe signatures gave it a sentiment-driven premium, but there’s clearly strong selling pressure around 5.9, and it’s pulled back to 5.66 to catch its breath.

It’s the weekend today. Bitcoin currently looks more like a short-term recovery after a decline; it’s still too early to confirm that a bottom has formed.

BTC is currently around $82,800, and ETH around $2,490. After a series of pullbacks, the market has seen a modest rebound, but overall sentiment remains weak.

1. Macro environment: Concerns over US-Iran tensions have eased for now, helping market sentiment recover somewhat. However, US Treasury yields remain high, continuing to weigh on risk assets.

2. Fund flows: On October 9, spot BTC ETFs recorded net inflows of $21.1 million, ending two consecutive days of significant outflows. ETH ETFs, however, still saw net outflows of $56.1 million, suggesting that funds have yet to return across the board.

3. Key levels: For BTC, the key support level to watch is $80,000. To the upside, watch whether it can break decisively through the $85,500–$87,000 range.

Next, the main things to watch are whether ETF inflows continue and whether price and trading volume improve together.

Rather than trying to predict the bottom, I’d prefer to wait for a clear signal that the market has stabilized. Be patient and wait for trading opportunities.
$BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊突破2500USDT #STRK24小时上涨约20%

Tomorrow is 10/11. The day itself wasn’t the scariest part. After all, even though Bitcoin fell a lot at the time, it was still above 100,000.

What was scary was how much altcoins plunged that day—TUT, SOLV, and others all fell by more than 50%. And then? Even scarier, just when you thought they’d hit bottom, they kept falling for months, with some altcoins dropping another 80–90%.

Are the people who got liquidated on 10/11 last year still around?
$TUT

$ETH ETH is stuck at the 2,500 life-or-death level. It’s lingered around 2,500 every year, and last year it was at this same level too.

But last year, I went long and it dropped to around 2,100. Then I added to my position, but I was still stuck in a losing trade. It only took a 130-point rally in the final minute to get me out even.

Then everyone kept shorting, shorting, shorting, and shorted the bull market away. I don’t know if this year will be the same.

But the news before said altcoin season was here and the bull market was here. Now the news says the bear market isn’t over yet. Is this a bear-market relief bounce in the bigger cycle? What the hell is going on?

Last night’s wave of liquidations left plenty of people shaken. Bitcoin plunged to a low of 80,500, while ETH sank to 2,420. $ZEC was down 14% on the day. Across the market, $1.1 billion in positions were liquidated in 24 hours, wiping out 180,000 traders—90% of them long.

But today, the script flipped. Bitcoin climbed all the way back from 80,500 to 82,500, narrowing its losses from -3% to -0.5%; ETH moved back above 2,500; and ZEC bounced more than 10%.

In a nutshell: the positions that were going to blow up have blown up, and those who needed to cut their losses have done so.

The 80,000 level was tested once yesterday and bounced back, showing that real support is there. As long as it doesn’t break below 81,000 again tonight, we can basically confirm a short-term bottom. ETH broke below 2,500 yesterday, then reclaimed it today—the panic selling has mostly run its course.

Leveraged positions have been swept out, weak hands have been shaken out, and market sentiment has shifted from extreme fear to wait-and-see. This is often the beginning of a consolidation bottom, not the eve of another plunge.

$MAGIC
Taking off straight away—has anyone opened a long position?

Another round of declines—has Bitcoin bottomed out? It has continued to pull back recently $BTC , and the daily chart has yet to stabilize, so I’m not entering a long position for now.

1. Reasons for the decline: High U.S. Treasury yields, ETF outflows, and concentrated liquidations of leveraged positions are weighing on the market in the short term.

2. Fund flows: BTC and ETH spot ETFs have recently seen net outflows. With insufficient new buying, market participants are leaning toward a wait-and-see approach.

3. Bottom assessment: Watch the $80,000 support level for BTC. If it breaks below that, the next area to watch is $77,000–$78,000.

For some time, I had consistently been advocating a short-position strategy as the market surged higher, then pulled back and fell. During yesterday’s decline, I twice looked to go long on a pullback. The first attempt resulted in a small loss, but I went long again in the early hours of the morning near 2,400–2,420 and 80,500–81,000. After hitting a low, the market rebounded and rallied. It has now reached around 82,500 and 2,500, so the upside is there for all to see. The most important principle in trading is to follow the trend, rather than make subjective predictions. When the market is moving with the trend, be patient and hold your positions to capture the full swing. But once market signals change, don’t cling to your original strategy—know when to adjust your direction.

Markets never stay the same, and shifts between bullish and bearish conditions can happen in an instant. Stubbornly holding on to an old view can easily backfire. Stay flexible in your trading, adjust your strategy as market conditions change, and be decisive when it’s time to change course. Don’t fixate on a single direction; respond to real-time market movements to protect your gains and manage risk amid volatility. Follow the trend without blindly following it; when the market turns, don’t stubbornly resist. Stay flexible to trade for the long term.

10.9 ETH
📊 Today’s ETH market analysis

ETH may rebound for now, but this is just an hourly oversold bounce. I think the upside is very limited, so don’t get your hopes up too high.

After all, the two short-term moving averages on the 1-hour chart are still in a bearish crossover and diverging downward. The current confluence of resistance is in the 2510–2530 range, and the price is holding firmly below the moving averages. This rebound is just a breather in a bearish trend—a recovery after a sharp drop. $ETH

$BTC
Big cake can be more, if you're in a cash position, immediately add in more, take profit at 82600

$BTC it's over, the long positions in Ethereum show absolutely no sign of being able to be unwound. Now it's really only possible to go short and not long; the bulls are all coming to be cannon fodder.

In the morning I was misled. I thought that no matter what, Ethereum would at least pull back a bit for a short dip, so I just took a small bite. I didn’t expect that the moment I went long, it started dropping.

Now there’s really nothing I can do. I can only hope that Ethereum has a bit of conscience, keeps steaming upward, and gives me a chance to get out of my position.
#NEARIntents用户付费超2900万美元 #Sui创4060万TPS纪录

$XAU To all the friends who are still holding their positions and carrying the burden alone—don’t try to force it under pressure. If you feel confused about your holdings, feel free to come over and communicate at any time.

Getting out of gold positions doesn’t rely on luck—it depends on strict trading discipline:

Don’t keep stubbornly “holding on” out of wishful thinking; the market won’t change direction just because you expect it to. Once you get trapped, first clarify the current trend structure—determine whether it’s a short-term pullback or a trend reversal—and then make a corresponding action plan. When it’s time to cut losses, be decisive and exit; if you plan to add on pullbacks, you must strictly control your position size.

Trading is essentially a form of practice. Mature traders know when to admit mistakes and don’t act out of frustration toward the market. Long-term stubbornly holding only serves to magnify risk—getting trapped deeper and deeper until it becomes hard to decide how to get out. Only by adhering to trading discipline and planning each move rationally can you escape the losing situation and regain control of your trades.

Do you think that $ETH Ether can still return to 2600, or will it keep faltering?

There wasn’t much movement last night. This morning I saw Ether had pulled back a bit. Whether it can hold above 2600 is a bit uncertain.

When it was hovering around 2700, it kept failing to break through 2800. This time, it might really keep retreating all the way.

$ZEC This move plunged from 1383 to 1192, with the RSI dropping to 9.08—extremely oversold. The liquidation map shows that longs have already been liquidated for $149 million, compared with just $55 million for shorts. This is a leverage flush, not a fundamental collapse.

Grayscale ETFs are still attracting inflows, and the Winklevoss ETF application is also moving forward. The thesis for the privacy sector remains unchanged.

Looking at the candlestick chart: the current price is 1208, the lower Bollinger Band is at 1193, the MACD has formed a death cross but the green bars are shrinking, and the RSI is extremely oversold. Resistance is at 1283–1337, with support at 1192–1170.