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After BTC surged to around 81,270 last night, it began to pull back and is now back near 78,000.
My assessment of this move hasn’t changed: it feels more like a shakeout after a spike rather than a trend reversal.
Since the rally started from 62,484, this current upswing structure has not yet been broken. After yesterday’s attempt above 81,000, it’s completely normal to see profit-taking realize, and the market has indeed started showing heavy selling pressure at the highs. What really needs to be watched now isn’t how much a single candlestick dropped, but whether the area around 77,800 can hold.
For the short term, I’m watching two key zones:
77,800—78,000: the first support/absorption zone. If there’s a quick reclaim after a pullback here, it shows that the bulls are still in control.
Around 76,800: the second line of defense—this is also the level where I’m more inclined to consider going long on dips. As long as there isn’t a breakdown with increased volume, the overall outlook remains range-bound but slightly bullish.
Gold rose sharply early in the morning to 4669, then fell back under pressure. The current market is consolidating in a choppy range. To break through the 4700 level, a deeper technical pullback must first be completed.
From the 4-hour structure, near-term resistance lies at 4670–4685, with stronger resistance at 4700–4715. Short-term support is at 4605–4618, and the key support is at 4575–4583. The overall long bias structure has not been broken. In terms of strategy, use range-bound high-sell/low-buy tactics, and wait for the pullback to key support before setting up long positions.
Trading suggestions On a rebound to 4670–4685, take a light-position sell (short) with a stop loss at 4703, targeting 4605–4618; if support breaks down, look for 4580.
On a pullback to 4600–4605 and 4575–4583, buy in batches with a stop loss at 4567, targeting 4700–4715; if it breaks through, hold and continue to look for further upside. #BTC突破81000美元
ETH this round from 1900 up to 2500—I’m sitting at 2200 but can’t see the future trend clearly. The authorities/“officials” are bewildering, which is why I got liquidated and blown up.
I personally believe in a four-year cycle, but this time I verified it—I used my own bloody liquidation, my account wiped to zero, to confirm.
Crypto is a myth! After BTC breaks through 80k, who knows how high it could go—maybe 150k is also a starting point.
8.25 Bitcoin Strong Breakout—Will Ethereum Catch Up With a Retracement Run?
Bitcoin started breaking above the recent daily high of 79,600 last night, and then in the early session it broke through the 80,000 level, reaching a peak of around 81,260. Meanwhile, Ethereum did not follow. We had repeatedly reminded everyone yesterday night to “go short on the spike” and to “add to the short position.” Ethereum repeatedly pulled back and probed down to around 2,450. Bitcoin’s pullback has been relatively weaker, with only about 1,000-plus points of downside room. If Bitcoin is not taken profit on in time, it will face a similar risk. In this kind of market, many people see Bitcoin break out and think about Ethereum catching up—sometimes even calling for a bull trend to return quickly. To be honest, if Bitcoin were ranging sideways without rising, and Ethereum kept breaking out and ramping up, then yes, you could reasonably expect more upside. But the issue now is that Bitcoin keeps breaking up while Ethereum doesn’t follow. This is consistent with the view we emphasized many times earlier. After that, once Bitcoin starts to pull back, Ethereum’s downside room will be relatively even larger—meaning it won’t catch up, and it may even underperform on the downside.
Trading recommendations: For Bitcoin, enter a short at 80,800 directly; targets are around 78,000 to 79,000. For Ethereum, enter a short at 2,510 directly; targets are around 2,400 to 2,450.
Analysis and strategy are for reference only—please take full responsibility for risks. Since the article has to go through review and publication, it does not have timely execution; the real-time situation should prevail!
The most taboo in B-zone trading is focusing only on the top gainer by percentage increase, ignoring opportunities that are patiently building up momentum. This B2 biscuit (second half) of the current cycle has a triple stack of benefits: funds returning, sector rotation, and trend repair. It’s not a short-term pulse-type行情 (spike and fade). It’s a real, solid trend reversal.
The earlier bottom was solid and well accumulated. After breaking through a key resistance level, it fully entered a bull-market primary surge. The near-term rise is only like a starter/appetizer move. This weekend’s price action saw a mild consolidation and pullback, which is a normal shakeout during an ongoing uptrend. The purpose is to wash out short-term profit-takers and reduce pressure for the next leg up.
The big-picture trend hasn’t changed in the short term. Bullish momentum remains abundant. Next, the market will likely move sideways-to-up, keep breaking higher, and throughout the whole process, maintain the core mindset of buying on pullbacks.
Trading advice: For aggressive traders, go long directly at the current price. For more cautious traders, consider going long around the 2420–2390 zone, with targets near 2480–2510. If it breaks below 2550, 2600, or 2660, be mindful of risk management. The defensive level should be determined based on your position size. For long-term holders, the target is 3500. $BTC $ETH $SOL
August closing battle: can the big cake rally hit 82,000?
This week, the August line is entering its closing showdown.
Lao Jin’s view remains very clear: this leg of the rally hasn’t finished yet. 82,000 isn’t the endpoint—it’s more like the level that needs to be confirmed for the next stage.
After the weekly chart printed a big bullish candle, consolidation is normal. On Saturday, Lao Jin also explained in advance: in the 78,000—75,000 range, it will most likely keep shaking back and forth repeatedly. It’s not that the trend has changed—it’s building momentum.
In fact, this is somewhat similar to the current gold move: after the first wave of upside, it consolidates, then pushes for a second attempt.
So for Bitcoin, the key focus on the downside is 75,500—75,000. As long as this area can hold firm, the mid-term plan remains the same: set up long positions at lower levels and continue targeting 82,000—83,000.
Ethereum is the same: the price action hasn’t deviated from our expectations. With support on the 2,330—2,260 area, the mid-term outlook still looks for 2,700—2,800 to the upside.
For the short term, the ETH volatility has clearly expanded. The trading range can be adjusted wider accordingly—just make sure to protect positions and be ready for defense.
The market changes every day, but Lao Jin’s logic hasn’t changed.
First type: If BTC holds above 75,000, I will go long. The stop loss is around 74,500, and the take profit is 88,000. However, I’m not looking at a bull run retracement. If it can reach around 76,000, going long would be best.
Second type: If BTC does not hold above 75,000, and it does not break below 73,000, then wait and watch—do nothing.
Third type: If BTC does not hold above 73,000, then add to the short position. Once the short squeeze ends, we’ll look at 70,000.
Let’s see which of these situations happens today.
In the past couple of days, the market has shown a very clear change: BTC hasn’t gone on a wild rally, but ETH has started attracting more and more attention from capital. I think this may not be short-term sentiment, but rather a sign of capital rotation.
Many longtime players will notice that in each bull market’s early phase, BTC often kicks off first. When Bitcoin enters a consolidation range, some funds tend to flow into ETH, and then spread further to other major altcoins such as SOL and SUI.
ETH’s real advantage isn’t how much it can rise in a single day—it’s that its ecosystem is large enough. For DeFi, RWA, stablecoins, AI applications, and many other popular tracks, ETH is still hard to do without. That’s also an important reason why it continues to attract capital over the long term.
Of course, the market won’t keep going up endlessly. The hotter the sentiment gets, the more you need to manage your position size—don’t chase at the top with an all-in allocation just because of FOMO. Rallies are driven by trends; declines are managed by risk control.
Personally, I’m more focused on whether ETH can continue to outperform BTC. If this structure holds, major altcoins may still have opportunities to perform—but you should still be prepared for volatility.
How high do you think ETH can go in this bull cycle? Drop your target price in the comments.
In the past couple of days, the market has shown a very clear change: BTC hasn’t gone on a wild rally, but ETH has started attracting more and more attention from capital. I think this may not be short-term sentiment, but rather a sign of capital rotation.
Many longtime players will notice that in each bull market’s early phase, BTC often kicks off first. When Bitcoin enters a consolidation range, some funds tend to flow into ETH, and then spread further to other major altcoins such as SOL and SUI.
ETH’s real advantage isn’t how much it can rise in a single day—it’s that its ecosystem is large enough. For DeFi, RWA, stablecoins, AI applications, and many other popular tracks, ETH is still hard to do without. That’s also an important reason why it continues to attract capital over the long term.
Of course, the market won’t keep going up endlessly. The hotter the sentiment gets, the more you need to manage your position size—don’t chase at the top with an all-in allocation just because of FOMO. Rallies are driven by trends; declines are managed by risk control.
Personally, I’m more focused on whether ETH can continue to outperform BTC. If this structure holds, major altcoins may still have opportunities to perform—but you should still be prepared for volatility.
How high do you think ETH can go in this bull cycle? Drop your target price in the comments.
The big cake churned around the 60k area for a full two months, oscillating all the way. Then, just three days later, it surged directly from around 60k to the 80k threshold. Now the whole internet is cheering, shouting that “bulls are here” and that “the 金九银十 (golden September and silver October) is about to take off!” The terrifying part of this is precisely here. At the same time, it’s also accompanied by something eerie—an extremely strong feeling that things are far from being this simple!
If next week we can’t keep pushing to new highs, the 79,500 level is very likely to be the peak of this current phase. Below that, 59,000 and 57,700 are also levels where the market has already shown its path forward. Going forward, you must not be careless. The above is only my personal view—what do you all think?