价值与动量发掘

Start synchronizing updates today, mainly focusing on US stocks and A-shares, with additional analysis on gold, silver, and crude oil.
First, the biggest event today: Trump strikes again—TACO. Crude oil immediately plunged, while gold and silver rose in tandem.
Second, last night the US proposed to ban imports of China’s advanced optical modules. This led to the $LITE.US . $AAOI.US COHR surge in the US stock market. However, today A-shares’ optical module stocks opened lower and then recovered. The reason is that funds are strongly bullish on optical modules, betting that this ban is unlikely to ultimately be implemented. For now, it’s essentially a game of leverage and positioning. Note that AAOI will release its earnings report after market close tomorrow—watch whether you should sell the news in advance. Because over the past few days, US optical-module stocks have all declined after their earnings reports came out.
Third, the $AMD.US earnings report resulted in a direct sharp drop. In fact, its earnings were in line with expectations, but its capital expenditures exceeded the original forecast by nearly three times, which triggered market selling. That said, this stock is still worth watching; if it stabilizes, it may be possible to buy.
Fourth, ANET’s earnings report was excellent—far above expectations. As a networking switch company competing with CSCO Cisco in the industry, it benefits from AI data center construction. Its guidance and its Q2 earnings report were also very strong.

MiniMax releases AI creation tool Design, supported by institutions and resonating with the “entry-and-exit linkage” benefit. $MINIMAX Before, I kept saying that I was very optimistic about minimax—please check the previous posts. I’ve been very optimistic

anthropic的股东里面，skm还是比zoom强啊，搜我以前的帖子。#Anthropic
$SKM.US

牛逼，$BTC 突破74000了

Treasury Minister BESSENT: We will carry out bond repurchases on a regular basis and gradually expand the scale of repurchases.

BESSENT: The scale will exceed 4 billion.$XAU

黄金爆拉了$XAU

$SPCX.US 跌破IPO发行价了135

光模块站起来了$LITE

$TEM.US 昨天tem暴涨今天继续涨了

Nbis will increase the size of the convertible bond issuance to USD 5 billion, while the expansion in the field of artificial intelligence is continuously accelerating$NBIS

Walmart (WMT) shares plunge 8.7%, marking the largest single-day drop since July 2022.$WMT

Walmart shares plunge nearly 6% before the bell. Q2 revenue was $187.937 billion, up 5.9% year over year. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.81. $WMT

Market news: Meta Platforms (META) is investing hundreds of millions of dollars into Microsoft Azure's artificial intelligence services. Meta has quietly become one of Microsoft's largest AI customers. $MSFT winner

hype's coin-stock reserves $PURR.US rise more

$牛来 新高了突破了50M市值

Moderna (MRNA) premarket falls more than 11.88%$MRNA.US

BTC breaks through $71,000; $BTC , a well-known miner's short positions are still being stopped out

August 17th—doubling up on such a large order has been extremely accurate. Remember to follow me; timely updates will be sent. $BTC

SK Hynix and the labor union have reached a preliminary agreement. It plans to raise pay by 6.3% and restructure the performance bonus (PS) payment scheme: 40% will be paid as cash in the current year, while 60% will be converted into company stock (including 20% deferred). Although this move links share price performance to employees’ interests, it deviates from the previously agreed cash-dominant system for a 10-year term, increasing the risk of employee backlash. The final plan is still pending a vote by representatives for approval. Previously, last year SK Hynix and the management-labor side reached an agreement stipulating that 10% of the previous year’s operating profit would serve as the source of the performance bonus, and the corresponding cap would be removed. It also specified that this framework would remain unchanged for 10 years. At the time, the plan was: 80% of the total performance bonus would be paid in cash in the current year, and the remaining 20% would be deferred as cash payments in two installments over the following two years, with 10% each year deferred. This adjustment means that within only about one year after the agreement was reached, the actual payment method has already deviated significantly.

Potential dividend/bonus size: per employee, before tax, up to 700 million won
According to predictions from the securities industry, if SK Hynix’s full-year operating profit this year reaches 250 trillion won, the performance bonus funding pool would be 25 trillion won—i.e., 10% of operating profit. Based on a simple average across roughly 35,000 employees, the per-employee performance bonus before tax would be about 700 million won (approximately RMB 3.3768 million).

Under the new payout structure, using the per-employee amount as the baseline, about 280 million won would be received in cash, while another roughly 420 million won would be delivered in the form of stock. Actual personal income may differ depending on job grade and the outcome of performance evaluations. The agreement also includes other provisions such as an increase in employee welfare point allocations.

The risk of employee backlash remains, and final approval is still pending a vote <$SKHYNIX >
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$SKHYNIX lift up