Continue to maintain last week's bearish outlook on Monday. The morning rebound touched the small-stage Fibonacci 0.5 resistance. For those looking for an opportunity, 801-803 can still be used to enter a medium-term bearish position aiming for 76-75.
In the short term, you can temporarily consider entering at 797 today. However, weekend volatility is not large, so note that the downside may be relatively limited. The short-term target limit may be around 78500; whether it can break through further will mainly depend on next Monday.
The non-farm payrolls were reported at 162,000, an absolute major bearish signal. It’s even very possible that when the U.S. stock market opens in a little while, it will trigger a second wave of declines. Our expectation that this round is a top is correct; it’s just a pity that we weren’t given an entry range. Tonight, if you’re a bit more aggressive, you can separately take short-term follow-up shorts at 803/805 and 2480, with a defense of 500/50 points.
$BTC 81800-82300 Do brainless shorting If it doesn't break 83 this round, it's likely the last confirmation of the top Once it gets pressured again, September may mark the start of a long-cycle pullback
This round has regained its footing at 80,000 What to note is that Bitcoin will once again start pushing toward the highs As we discussed, today is the only chance for a counterattack Focus on 80: if 79 doesn’t break, try to look for an opportunity to move up toward 82,000.
$BTC 78500’s short-term suppression has been broken. If it breaks through further, the next pressure point is 80,000. Above, you can continue to place short orders at 79,700; the target is to look down toward 77–75, with a stop at 80,500.
$BTC Tonight’s live broadcast is temporarily canceled I have a dinner engagement to take care of; I’ve already had a few drinks 😅 78,000 could be worth trying a short round, aiming for 76-75, just to avoid 785.
$BTC 78000 expected to arrive~ Cancel orders that didn’t enter the market; those that did enter will exit In the afternoon, observe the pressure around 78000
$BTC Today, the intraday decline has started to stabilize. First, the 4-hour chart has begun to contract in volume, and the 12-hour chart has stabilized along the BOLL lower band. For those who are still holding short positions, think it through carefully. If possible, try a long near 76,700, with a target at 78–79, and a safeguard at 76,000.
Based on current estimates, Ethereum is very likely unable to complete support at around 2350. The projected support below should be pushed to around 2300; watch for further downside this evening.
Early session: no issues predicting the high points for 775–778~ In the evening, the low has already come close to the first target 76000. Currently, with a minimum-cost protective stop in place: once it reaches around 76, cut the position in half. Keep the remaining half with the cost-protection defense and then you’re free to play it out. My personal expectation is that the range below is 75–74.
言币行
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Bearish
About the same as what we expected from last night’s live stream. The price is testing downward in the 77000–76000 range. But looking at the morning closing, there are still no signs of a bottoming out. For intraday positioning, keep looking lower from 775–778 toward 76000–75000.
About the same as what we expected from last night’s live stream. The price is testing downward in the 77000–76000 range. But looking at the morning closing, there are still no signs of a bottoming out. For intraday positioning, keep looking lower from 775–778 toward 76000–75000.
The 2450 support cited in the afternoon for Ethereum should also be canceled along with it. For now, to avoid drawdown risk, at night the two support endpoints—2380-2350. However, you need to first observe the support tonight and confirm it’s effective, then make an entry decision tomorrow.