Wang zp

This is a very great question and the core issue that everyone entering the cryptocurrency field is most concerned about. First, I must honestly tell you:
In cryptocurrency trading, it is impossible to completely achieve "not losing money". The cryptocurrency market is one of the most volatile financial markets in the world, with high risks and high potential returns coexisting. Anyone who tells you there is a way to guarantee 100% not losing money is likely to be a scam.
However, we can adjust our goal from "not losing money" to "maximizing the probability of survival and achieving long-term stable appreciation". For beginners, doing the following points can greatly reduce the risk of losing money and lay a solid foundation for you.

#加密市场回调 The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing significant pullbacks, with high volatility in market sentiment. I will combine the latest market information and analysis to interpret the current situation, outlook for future trends, and provide some investment advice.
📊 Cryptocurrency recent price fluctuations key support levels key resistance levels medium-term expectations
Bitcoin (BTC) fell from a high of about $124,500, briefly dropping below $115,000. $110,000, $120,000. Institutions are bullish to $190,000.
Ethereum (ETH) fell from above $4,800 to around $4,200. $4,000-$4,300, $4,800-$5,000. Many analysts believe it has the potential to challenge $6,500.

Public chains are the infrastructure, while most coins are application tokens built on these public chains (such as DeFi, GameFi, NFT projects), native tokens of public chains themselves (such as ETH, SOL, AVAX), or completely useless imitation meme coins.

To determine whether a coin has long-term value, it requires in-depth 'fundamental analysis' similar to analyzing a publicly listed company. Below is a systematic screening and judgment framework that you can use as a checklist.

Phase One: Quick Screening, Exclude 99% of Junk Coins

Before delving into analysis, filter out the vast majority of traps with these hard standards:

#杰克逊霍尔会议 Okay, let's delve into the analysis of the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Symposium's impact on the cryptocurrency market and make predictions for the subsequent market direction based on the current situation.

This is a question that needs to be answered in two parts: first, the impact mechanism, and second, specific predictions.

Part One: How does the Jackson Hole meeting affect the cryptocurrency market?

The cryptocurrency market, especially Bitcoin, has been widely regarded by global investors as a high-risk, high-volatility tech growth asset or a macro liquidity barometer. Therefore, its movements are highly correlated with the monetary policies of global central banks, especially the Fed's policies. The Jackson Hole meeting is an excellent window to glimpse the policy ideas of central bank giants (especially the Fed Chair).

⚖️ 1. Market Performance and Core Driving Factors Comparison

1. Bitcoin (BTC)
· Short-term Performance: Historical high of $124,517 in August 2025, an annual increase of 33%, Standard Chartered predicts a year-end target price of $200,000, with Canary Capital CEO more optimistically seeing $140,000-$150,000.
· Core Drivers:
· Surge in Institutional Demand: Inflows from spot ETFs, sovereign wealth funds, and pension funds, driving liquidity expansion.
· Scarcity Narrative: As a 'digital gold', its value storage attributes serve as a safe-haven asset amid macro uncertainty.