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A real breakthrough for the bitcoin market needs an opportunity. Two major events will happen in early November. In early November, it will be decided whether to cut interest rates for the second time and whether Trump has a chance to win the US election. After these two events are implemented, the bitcoin market may rise straight up, otherwise it will still be mainly adjusted. #6万保卫战 #特朗普当选概率上升
A real breakthrough for the bitcoin market needs an opportunity. Two major events will happen in early November. In early November, it will be decided whether to cut interest rates for the second time and whether Trump has a chance to win the US election. After these two events are implemented, the bitcoin market may rise straight up, otherwise it will still be mainly adjusted. #6万保卫战 #特朗普当选概率上升
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In 4 days, 10 trillion RMB flowed into the A-share market, hundreds of millions of shareholders, and the average profit per person was 47,000 yuan. Where did the money come from? Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou lifted the purchase restrictions, reduced the first and second sets of housing, and banks sold large deposit certificates crazily. Why? The interest rates of the four major banks have been falling, and 30-year and 50-year government bonds have been issued. The Russians have been fighting for more than 2 years and have been gritting their teeth and persisting. The emperor personally went to the three Ps for help, and the South China Sea exercises are becoming more frequent. ? Put away greed, reduce expenses, and live well in the past few years. I have heard too much of these things recently. #A股一飞冲天 #非农就业数据即将公布
In 4 days, 10 trillion RMB flowed into the A-share market, hundreds of millions of shareholders, and the average profit per person was 47,000 yuan. Where did the money come from?
Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou lifted the purchase restrictions, reduced the first and second sets of housing, and banks sold large deposit certificates crazily. Why?
The interest rates of the four major banks have been falling, and 30-year and 50-year government bonds have been issued.
The Russians have been fighting for more than 2 years and have been gritting their teeth and persisting. The emperor personally went to the three Ps for help, and the South China Sea exercises are becoming more frequent. ?
Put away greed, reduce expenses, and live well in the past few years. I have heard too much of these things recently. #A股一飞冲天 #非农就业数据即将公布
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The Fed's interest rate cut signal is strong! The August PCE inflation data was released, and the core PCE price index only increased by 0.1%, far below market expectations. The economic cooling signal is obvious, and the Fed's call for a 50 basis point interest rate cut in November is growing! Musk added fuel to the fire, and DOGE's popularity soared! The market is restless, are you ready? {future}(BTCUSDT) #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
The Fed's interest rate cut signal is strong!
The August PCE inflation data was released, and the core PCE price index only increased by 0.1%, far below market expectations. The economic cooling signal is obvious, and the Fed's call for a 50 basis point interest rate cut in November is growing!
Musk added fuel to the fire, and DOGE's popularity soared! The market is restless, are you ready?
#美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
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Profit situation in the past two days [doge][doge] Before Lao Bao's speech, he said that it would fall, which was about 1,500 points higher than expected. The next position is about 56,000-50,000. As long as it does not reach 62,000, the market is dominated by shorts. #加密市场急跌 #新币挖矿DOGS
Profit situation in the past two days [doge][doge] Before Lao Bao's speech, he said that it would fall, which was about 1,500 points higher than expected. The next position is about 56,000-50,000. As long as it does not reach 62,000, the market is dominated by shorts. #加密市场急跌 #新币挖矿DOGS
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Cz can't get out. He said it when he first entered that he would not get out unless the Americans took control of Binance. There are too many interests involved.
Cz can't get out. He said it when he first entered that he would not get out unless the Americans took control of Binance. There are too many interests involved.
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💢Short-term and medium-term trend identification method 1. How to distinguish short-term trends There are generally many cycles on the market, such as 1 minute, 5 minutes, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily levels. 。 。 。 We use 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily lines to give you examples Use the above cycles to distinguish how short-term trends Short-term: Intraday short-term, we generally look at 15 minutes and 1 hour operations Specific operation method: First see whether the 1-hour trend is bullish or bearish, and then go to 15 minutes to find pressure support to do more or short orders. How to judge the trend: We can see from Figure 1 that the lows are rising one by one, and the highs are rising one by one, so 1 hour is a bullish trend. We can see from Figure 2 that the lows are lowered one by one, and the highs are also lowered one by one, so 1 hour is a bearish trend. How to follow the trend to make a single operation method; if the 1-hour trend is a bullish trend, then we should go to 15 minutes to find a support point below to operate, and do more at a low level, which is the trend single operation method. Similarly, if you want to do a 1-hour contrarian order, you can only find pressure support in the 4-hour cycle. Note: When the market has an obvious bullish trend, there is no top structure, or an obvious breakout trend, then do not easily enter a short order or a contrarian order. 2. How to distinguish between medium and long-term trends The difference between long-term and short-term: lies in the profit and the length of the cycle. The general cycle of short-term is the intraday trend, with a return of about 1-2%. The medium-term cycle is generally about half a month to 2 months, and the return is 10-20%. This is calculated according to spot fluctuations, not leverage. The long-term cycle is generally half a year to several years, and the return is calculated based on price fluctuations of more than 100%. The medium-term cycle is: the basic trend of the daily and weekly lines. The long-term cycle is: do not look at the K-line, only look at the economic trend. #新币挖矿TON #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落
💢Short-term and medium-term trend identification method
1. How to distinguish short-term trends
There are generally many cycles on the market, such as 1 minute, 5 minutes, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily levels. 。 。 。
We use 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and daily lines to give you examples
Use the above cycles to distinguish how short-term trends
Short-term: Intraday short-term, we generally look at 15 minutes and 1 hour operations
Specific operation method: First see whether the 1-hour trend is bullish or bearish, and then go to 15 minutes to find pressure support to do more or short orders.
How to judge the trend: We can see from Figure 1 that the lows are rising one by one, and the highs are rising one by one, so 1 hour is a bullish trend. We can see from Figure 2 that the lows are lowered one by one, and the highs are also lowered one by one, so 1 hour is a bearish trend.
How to follow the trend to make a single operation method; if the 1-hour trend is a bullish trend, then we should go to 15 minutes to find a support point below to operate, and do more at a low level, which is the trend single operation method. Similarly, if you want to do a 1-hour contrarian order, you can only find pressure support in the 4-hour cycle.
Note: When the market has an obvious bullish trend, there is no top structure, or an obvious breakout trend, then do not easily enter a short order or a contrarian order.
2. How to distinguish between medium and long-term trends
The difference between long-term and short-term: lies in the profit and the length of the cycle. The general cycle of short-term is the intraday trend, with a return of about 1-2%.
The medium-term cycle is generally about half a month to 2 months, and the return is 10-20%. This is calculated according to spot fluctuations, not leverage.
The long-term cycle is generally half a year to several years, and the return is calculated based on price fluctuations of more than 100%.
The medium-term cycle is: the basic trend of the daily and weekly lines.
The long-term cycle is: do not look at the K-line, only look at the economic trend. #新币挖矿TON #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落
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Recently, AI projects have received crazy large amounts of financing. Is something big coming? 🤔 {spot}(ETHUSDT) $ETH #新币挖矿TON
Recently, AI projects have received crazy large amounts of financing. Is something big coming? 🤔
$ETH #新币挖矿TON
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The U.S. USDT stablecoin made a profit of 5.2 billion U.S. dollars in the first half of the year. What about Hong Kong? Hong Kong has no money, but the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission loses hundreds of millions of dollars a year? What does it mean? Is it the inaction of national policies? Or is it the inaction of Hong Kong government agencies? USDT has been out for almost ten years and is the world's first stablecoin. It has grown silently. Look at the digital RMB? What is it like? How much manpower and material resources are spent? It can't even bubble up? Look around you, who is using the digital RMB? It's really a major decision-making mistake. Chinese people, Chinese people around the world are mining, and the exchange field once accounted for more than 70% of the world's share. Instead of taking advantage of the situation to expand their own stablecoins, they still put pressure and suppress them. They are really hitting their own legs#美国以太坊现货ETF开始交易 #美联储何时降息?
The U.S. USDT stablecoin made a profit of 5.2 billion U.S. dollars in the first half of the year.
What about Hong Kong? Hong Kong has no money, but the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission loses hundreds of millions of dollars a year?
What does it mean? Is it the inaction of national policies? Or is it the inaction of Hong Kong government agencies?
USDT has been out for almost ten years and is the world's first stablecoin. It has grown silently. Look at the digital RMB? What is it like? How much manpower and material resources are spent? It can't even bubble up? Look around you, who is using the digital RMB?
It's really a major decision-making mistake.
Chinese people, Chinese people around the world are mining, and the exchange field once accounted for more than 70% of the world's share. Instead of taking advantage of the situation to expand their own stablecoins, they still put pressure and suppress them. They are really hitting their own legs#美国以太坊现货ETF开始交易 #美联储何时降息?
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The application for a Solana ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) could have several effects: 1. **Increased Accessibility**: ETFs would make it easier for investors to gain exposure to Solana (SOL) without having to buy and store the cryptocurrency directly. This could attract more institutional and retail investors who prefer the ETF structure and regulatory oversight. 2. **Market Liquidity**: ETFs generally enhance the liquidity of the underlying assets they represent. The Solana ETF could increase trading volume and liquidity for SOL, potentially reducing price volatility in the long run. 3. **Price Impact**: Initially, approval of the Solana ETF application could lead to increased demand for SOL, driving its price higher as more investors seek exposure through ETFs. 4. **Regulatory Perspective**: Approval of the Solana ETF could mean regulatory acceptance and legitimacy of Solana as an investment asset. This could have a positive impact on overall market sentiment for Solana and other cryptocurrencies. 5. **Competitive Landscape**: If approved, the Solana ETF would compete with other cryptocurrency ETFs and traditional investment vehicles. It could set a precedent for other blockchain platforms to pursue similar investment products, further bringing cryptocurrencies into the mainstream. However, it is important to note that the actual impact will depend on factors such as market conditions, investor sentiment, regulatory decisions, and the specific terms and conditions of the ETF. Approval is not guaranteed and may take time depending on regulatory review and market readiness. #SolanaETF
The application for a Solana ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) could have several effects:
1. **Increased Accessibility**: ETFs would make it easier for investors to gain exposure to Solana (SOL) without having to buy and store the cryptocurrency directly. This could attract more institutional and retail investors who prefer the ETF structure and regulatory oversight.
2. **Market Liquidity**: ETFs generally enhance the liquidity of the underlying assets they represent. The Solana ETF could increase trading volume and liquidity for SOL, potentially reducing price volatility in the long run.
3. **Price Impact**: Initially, approval of the Solana ETF application could lead to increased demand for SOL, driving its price higher as more investors seek exposure through ETFs.
4. **Regulatory Perspective**: Approval of the Solana ETF could mean regulatory acceptance and legitimacy of Solana as an investment asset. This could have a positive impact on overall market sentiment for Solana and other cryptocurrencies.
5. **Competitive Landscape**: If approved, the Solana ETF would compete with other cryptocurrency ETFs and traditional investment vehicles. It could set a precedent for other blockchain platforms to pursue similar investment products, further bringing cryptocurrencies into the mainstream.
However, it is important to note that the actual impact will depend on factors such as market conditions, investor sentiment, regulatory decisions, and the specific terms and conditions of the ETF. Approval is not guaranteed and may take time depending on regulatory review and market readiness. #SolanaETF
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Half a year ago, when the altcoins were at their peak, most people saw BTC at $100,000 ordi at $1,000 Now the high-quality altcoins are at their best, and only a few people dare to attack them. There is nothing new in the financial market, the underlying logic never changes, the top is bullish and the bottom is bearish The market is about to change, have you bought the bottom? #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低
Half a year ago, when the altcoins were at their peak, most people saw BTC at $100,000
ordi at $1,000
Now the high-quality altcoins are at their best, and only a few people dare to attack them. There is nothing new in the financial market, the underlying logic never changes, the top is bullish and the bottom is bearish
The market is about to change, have you bought the bottom? #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低
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Good morning The opening line at the beginning of the month determines the future trend, so you might as well wait and see Opportunities always come to those who are prepared In any period of market rise, most retail investors must be cleared out, otherwise the subsequent rise will not be too strong. Many people are optimistic that the Ethereum spot ETF will pass in July and bring a wave of market But from the perspective of time and space, the adjustment is not in place, even if there is a small wave of gains, it will be a trick to get on the bus and then harvest #以太坊ETF批准预期
Good morning
The opening line at the beginning of the month determines the future trend, so you might as well wait and see
Opportunities always come to those who are prepared
In any period of market rise, most retail investors must be cleared out, otherwise the subsequent rise will not be too strong. Many people are optimistic that the Ethereum spot ETF will pass in July and bring a wave of market
But from the perspective of time and space, the adjustment is not in place, even if there is a small wave of gains, it will be a trick to get on the bus and then harvest #以太坊ETF批准预期
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The current contract holdings are more than the peak of the last bull market. Now it is more like the leverage cleanup after the Defi summer of the last bull market. You thought that the leverage cleanup was a big negative needle coming down directly. But this round is a drop and rise, and then a drop and rise, slowly grinding away all the leverage. During this period, you should watch less and operate less. Don't wait until the wind comes and your principal is gone. #美国PCE数据将公布
The current contract holdings are more than the peak of the last bull market. Now it is more like the leverage cleanup after the Defi summer of the last bull market. You thought that the leverage cleanup was a big negative needle coming down directly. But this round is a drop and rise, and then a drop and rise, slowly grinding away all the leverage. During this period, you should watch less and operate less. Don't wait until the wind comes and your principal is gone. #美国PCE数据将公布
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If you want to invest in the MEME sector or Bitcoin L2 in the short term and long term If you have enough positions and can make plans, I suggest Bitcoin L2. Although the Bitcoin L2 sector still has a long way to go, it is also an indispensable part of the development of the Bitcoin ecosystem. If you are just doing short-term, it is also a good opportunity to wait for the MEME sector. Isn't it a popular saying: poor people do memes and rich people do Bitcoin. After coming down from the high point this year, it has been going up and down around a position, and it has been going back and forth for three months. Can it break the previous high? As Europe began to slowly cut interest rates, pressure was put on the United States. From the data, it is inevitable that the United States will cut interest rates in the later period. It depends on whether it can complete a rate cut this year. The price and K-line of Bitcoin can be said to be ready to go. As time goes by, the market will definitely benefit the party with chips. Be well prepared and don't get off easily. #美联储何时降息?
If you want to invest in the MEME sector or Bitcoin L2 in the short term and long term
If you have enough positions and can make plans, I suggest Bitcoin L2. Although the Bitcoin L2 sector still has a long way to go, it is also an indispensable part of the development of the Bitcoin ecosystem. If you are just doing short-term, it is also a good opportunity to wait for the MEME sector. Isn't it a popular saying: poor people do memes and rich people do Bitcoin.
After coming down from the high point this year, it has been going up and down around a position, and it has been going back and forth for three months.
Can it break the previous high?
As Europe began to slowly cut interest rates, pressure was put on the United States. From the data, it is inevitable that the United States will cut interest rates in the later period. It depends on whether it can complete a rate cut this year. The price and K-line of Bitcoin can be said to be ready to go. As time goes by, the market will definitely benefit the party with chips.
Be well prepared and don't get off easily. #美联储何时降息?
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Adding positions at a loss is the source of failure. The market will change according to economic changes. If you can't keep up with the market, you can't keep up with the economy and you can't make money. Never try to make money beyond your cognition#币安用户数突破2亿
Adding positions at a loss is the source of failure. The market will change according to economic changes. If you can't keep up with the market, you can't keep up with the economy and you can't make money. Never try to make money beyond your cognition#币安用户数突破2亿
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According to everyone's understanding, what stage do you think the cryptocurrency market is in now? If we look at it from the perspective of the bull and bear stages, it is now in the middle of the fourth cryptocurrency bull market. According to a 4-year cycle, there is a 3-year bear market and a 1-year bull market. In a 1-year bull market, the first 8 months are basically a slow wash-out decline. The next 2 months are a rush, and the last 2 months are a peak. Strictly speaking, the bull market started in October 23. So now the bull market is interrupted. There are still more than 2 months left in the bull market. The real outbreak period has not yet come. The outbreak period should be like this from August to October. It will end around May 2025. Of course, this is not true. This is just a point of view I have drawn based on historical past. It cannot be counted. I don't know if it is right or not. But the law of the past cycle is like this. The cryptocurrency market will not rise or fall all the time. This market is developing very quickly. It must rise rapidly to finally catch up with the market value of gold. So it is a 4-year cycle and the real outbreak is completed in 3-4 months, that is to say, you wait for 4 years just to wait for those 3-4 months. If you miss 3-4 months, your profit will be gone and you may even lose money. The currency circle must also have the potential to drop sharply to eliminate scams, junk projects and speculators. The most important thing about the currency circle is efficiency. It was born to change the efficiency of finance, so it must eliminate junk projects. When the bear market starts, except for BTC and ETH, you can't hold them, and you shouldn't keep the others. There may be only two targets that really cross the cycle, one is BTC and the other is ETH. Others may just be runners-up, so wait patiently for the arrival of the violent bull market! If you have already configured it before, you must have confidence in your position #BTC走势分析
According to everyone's understanding, what stage do you think the cryptocurrency market is in now?
If we look at it from the perspective of the bull and bear stages, it is now in the middle of the fourth cryptocurrency bull market. According to a 4-year cycle, there is a 3-year bear market and a 1-year bull market. In a 1-year bull market, the first 8 months are basically a slow wash-out decline. The next 2 months are a rush, and the last 2 months are a peak.
Strictly speaking, the bull market started in October 23. So now the bull market is interrupted. There are still more than 2 months left in the bull market. The real outbreak period has not yet come. The outbreak period should be like this from August to October. It will end around May 2025.
Of course, this is not true. This is just a point of view I have drawn based on historical past. It cannot be counted. I don't know if it is right or not. But the law of the past cycle is like this. The cryptocurrency market will not rise or fall all the time. This market is developing very quickly.
It must rise rapidly to finally catch up with the market value of gold. So it is a 4-year cycle and the real outbreak is completed in 3-4 months, that is to say, you wait for 4 years just to wait for those 3-4 months. If you miss 3-4 months, your profit will be gone and you may even lose money.
The currency circle must also have the potential to drop sharply to eliminate scams, junk projects and speculators.
The most important thing about the currency circle is efficiency. It was born to change the efficiency of finance, so it must eliminate junk projects. When the bear market starts, except for BTC and ETH, you can't hold them, and you shouldn't keep the others. There may be only two targets that really cross the cycle, one is BTC and the other is ETH. Others may just be runners-up, so wait patiently for the arrival of the violent bull market!
If you have already configured it before, you must have confidence in your position #BTC走势分析
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After this wave of oversold, there will be a rebound, which will make many people think that they are fine again, and they will chase high and buy in. Then the market will continue to pull back, causing the mentality of the small leeks to explode again. This will happen back and forth several times. Those who said before that they would die in the bull market will be heartbroken and hand over their chips. #美联储何时降息?
After this wave of oversold, there will be a rebound, which will make many people think that they are fine again, and they will chase high and buy in. Then the market will continue to pull back, causing the mentality of the small leeks to explode again. This will happen back and forth several times. Those who said before that they would die in the bull market will be heartbroken and hand over their chips. #美联储何时降息?
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crv, liquidation is over, market value is only 380 million, not as good as local dog, I wonder if this wave can let me win once? 🥹
crv, liquidation is over, market value is only 380 million, not as good as local dog, I wonder if this wave can let me win once? 🥹
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Ambulance drivers were all drafted. Fighting for the squid tribe, to the last man. In August 2023, the Ukrainian government and BlackRock signed an agreement to establish the "Ukrainian Development Fund". According to this agreement, BlackRock will take over the energy, mining, infrastructure, power grid, agriculture and other investments still under the control of the Zelensky regime and all state-owned enterprises in Ukraine. In return, the company is responsible for the high debt of the Zelensky regime, which has exceeded 110 billion US dollars. In other words, BlackRock took over a large part of Ukraine's state-owned assets while Ukraine was in a national crisis. The fire in Hawaii, USA in August 2023. After the disaster, a company bought a large area of ​​these houses at a low price of 20,000 US dollars. Before that, the residents of Hawaii had been reluctant to sell until the fire was damaged and a large number of casualties occurred. The local residents were forced to sell their houses and land at a low price. And it was BlackRock that bought these properties. Why did Japan dare to discharge nuclear wastewater in 2023 against global public opinion, and Western public opinion collectively lost its voice? The answer is that there is someone behind him to support him. The main party responsible for the discharge of Fukushima nuclear wastewater into the sea is Tokyo Electric Power Company, and the major shareholder of Tokyo Electric Power Company is BlackRock. The founder of BlackRock Group is Larry Fink, known as the Godfather of Wall Street, a Jew who invented MBS. BlackRock and Vanguard are all shareholders of the Fortune 500 companies except those in mainland China, and most of them are major shareholders. #美联储连续第七次维持基准利率不变
Ambulance drivers were all drafted.
Fighting for the squid tribe, to the last man.
In August 2023, the Ukrainian government and BlackRock signed an agreement to establish the "Ukrainian Development Fund". According to this agreement, BlackRock will take over the energy, mining, infrastructure, power grid, agriculture and other investments still under the control of the Zelensky regime and all state-owned enterprises in Ukraine. In return, the company is responsible for the high debt of the Zelensky regime, which has exceeded 110 billion US dollars. In other words, BlackRock took over a large part of Ukraine's state-owned assets while Ukraine was in a national crisis.
The fire in Hawaii, USA in August 2023. After the disaster, a company bought a large area of ​​these houses at a low price of 20,000 US dollars. Before that, the residents of Hawaii had been reluctant to sell until the fire was damaged and a large number of casualties occurred. The local residents were forced to sell their houses and land at a low price. And it was BlackRock that bought these properties.
Why did Japan dare to discharge nuclear wastewater in 2023 against global public opinion, and Western public opinion collectively lost its voice? The answer is that there is someone behind him to support him. The main party responsible for the discharge of Fukushima nuclear wastewater into the sea is Tokyo Electric Power Company, and the major shareholder of Tokyo Electric Power Company is BlackRock.
The founder of BlackRock Group is Larry Fink, known as the Godfather of Wall Street, a Jew who invented MBS.
BlackRock and Vanguard are all shareholders of the Fortune 500 companies except those in mainland China, and most of them are major shareholders. #美联储连续第七次维持基准利率不变
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Good morning, brothers. Last night's CPI data was positive, and there was a deep V rebound. Then the interest rate meeting at 2:00 a.m. and Powell's speech poured cold water on the market. Powell's speech was quite restrained, trying to dispel the market's premature optimism. Originally, everyone thought that there would be two interest rate cuts. The dot plot cut the expected interest rate cuts this year from 3 to 1, and raised it to 4 next year. The dream of interest rate cuts can only be put on hold. Old Bao doesn't want to open champagne in advance, to avoid being slapped in the face by excessive inflation later. From the data on the chain, stablecoins have rebounded in the past few days, and BTC in the exchange has flowed out. The release of various economic data in the future is crucial, and subsequent employment, PMI and other data will become an important source of fluctuations in the currency circle. If various data show that inflation has cooled down, then the possibility of interest rate cuts in September will be strengthened. I summarized it for everyone in early June: From a large cycle perspective, we are currently on the eve of the Fed's interest rate cut cycle. The day after tomorrow is beautiful, but tomorrow is cruel, and many people will fall tomorrow. This includes abnormal economic data, Mentougou incident, war conflicts, etc. The correction a few days ago has already caused a group of people to fall, They were knocked down by abnormal economic data (non-agricultural data). Yesterday, another group of people who shorted fell, They were knocked down by abnormal economic data (CPI). Yesterday, those who chased high and opened long fell again, They were knocked down by Lao Bao’s speech. In such a complicated situation, How to see the development of the market in the future, how to operate now? We have to think about the problem from the perspective of dog dealers. Now many cottages have fallen to a more suitable position, Inflation is falling, and there will be at least one interest rate cut this year and four times next year. Investment is speculation expectations, Can they make money by continuing to smash the market, Or can they make money by going sideways and rising slightly? It must be to buy low, Wait for the speculation of interest rate cuts to rise before making money. Therefore, we just need to hold the currency patiently, If you buy value spot and don’t chase high PEPE and other coins, don’t panic. If it is a contract, reduce the position or change to spot. We must not fall down tomorrow, so that we can see the sun the day after tomorrow#美国5月CPI超预期回落
Good morning, brothers. Last night's CPI data was positive, and there was a deep V rebound.
Then the interest rate meeting at 2:00 a.m. and Powell's speech poured cold water on the market.
Powell's speech was quite restrained, trying to dispel the market's premature optimism.
Originally, everyone thought that there would be two interest rate cuts.
The dot plot cut the expected interest rate cuts this year from 3 to 1, and raised it to 4 next year.
The dream of interest rate cuts can only be put on hold.
Old Bao doesn't want to open champagne in advance,
to avoid being slapped in the face by excessive inflation later.
From the data on the chain, stablecoins have rebounded in the past few days,
and BTC in the exchange has flowed out.
The release of various economic data in the future is crucial,
and subsequent employment, PMI and other data will become an important source of fluctuations in the currency circle.
If various data show that inflation has cooled down,
then the possibility of interest rate cuts in September will be strengthened.
I summarized it for everyone in early June:
From a large cycle perspective, we are currently on the eve of the Fed's interest rate cut cycle.
The day after tomorrow is beautiful, but tomorrow is cruel, and many people will fall tomorrow.
This includes abnormal economic data, Mentougou incident, war conflicts, etc.
The correction a few days ago has already caused a group of people to fall,
They were knocked down by abnormal economic data (non-agricultural data).
Yesterday, another group of people who shorted fell,
They were knocked down by abnormal economic data (CPI).
Yesterday, those who chased high and opened long fell again,
They were knocked down by Lao Bao’s speech.
In such a complicated situation,
How to see the development of the market in the future, how to operate now?
We have to think about the problem from the perspective of dog dealers.
Now many cottages have fallen to a more suitable position,
Inflation is falling, and there will be at least one interest rate cut this year and four times next year.
Investment is speculation expectations,
Can they make money by continuing to smash the market,
Or can they make money by going sideways and rising slightly?
It must be to buy low,
Wait for the speculation of interest rate cuts to rise before making money.
Therefore, we just need to hold the currency patiently,
If you buy value spot and don’t chase high PEPE and other coins, don’t panic.
If it is a contract, reduce the position or change to spot.
We must not fall down tomorrow, so that we can see the sun the day after tomorrow#美国5月CPI超预期回落
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