CryptoQuant_Analyst_擁有十年盤型經驗授課分析師

2025/11/26
Market Rebound: Short-Squeeze may Occur within 1-2 Months!

According to the latest chain market data analysis, since the market underwent deleveraging and liquidated long positions on 10/10, the inventory of stablecoins on exchanges has continued to rise. Analyzing the detailed inflow and outflow of funds, it is evident that from October to the end of November, the net value of stablecoins (inflow - outflow) has been consistently positive! (See attached images 1 and 2) This indicates that the market's potential purchasing power liquidity continues to accumulate, and funds are not continuously withdrawing from the market; rather, there is more inflow, suggesting that whales may be preparing to accumulate.

At the same time, we can also observe from Chart 3 that the net outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges has reached the largest historical amount, with a cumulative outflow of approximately 300,000 Bitcoins during the period of November 24-25, setting a new historical record for outflows from exchanges! The liquidity of Bitcoin available for trading on exchanges has significantly decreased, which also indicates that a significant wave of capital has already been transferred✅

Finally, by observing the fear index, we can see that it has simultaneously reached the historically most severe fear values and days. Indicators may not always be useful, but the market is composed of human beings, and human nature never changes; the market is always counter to human instincts.

In summary, through the above data analysis, we can conclude that the strong deleveraging and liquidation since 10/10 do not indicate a bear market, but rather a strong capital transfer. After clearing the capital, it has created more favorable conditions for future market prices. Let's look forward to the market performance in the next 1-2 quarters (2025/12-2026/6)! Just buy the dip😉

International Certification Trader
CryptoQuant Cryptocurrency Market Analyst
Yu-Shiuan Chen
$BTC

$ETH

#加密市场反弹
#美国非农数据超预期
#比特币波动性
#加密市场观察
#美联储重启降息步伐

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BTC ETH Link is still in an unlimited short squeeze, which is characterized by unlimited rise. When will it end? It's very simple. High volume is to prepare to kill more, because we are waiting for the retail investors who are chasing the high to finally give up the FOMO and short sellers to buy back to replenish fuel. Short sellers surrender + retail investors can't help but FOMO to enter the market, which will cause high volume. , this is the real opportunity to short ~

Short squeeze is not affected by the divergence between volume and price. The divergence between volume and price will be corrected, but when the volume is released, the accumulated divergence value will plummet~

At present, as long as the volume is not exceeded, it can rise slowly and infinitely, and it can go anywhere until the volume is exceeded!

Tips: Continue to pay attention to whether there is a large amount of trading volume in the current rising process. If not, it will continue to rise after the shock, until a certain key price is exceeded, and a large trading volume is released at a high level (retail investors who can't help it will end up chasing after the high price with FOMO). + short traders' capitulation and volume replenishing fuel), the short squeeze will end. At that time, the volume and price deviation accumulated during this period will plummet and come back for correction. It's not that there will be no correction, but the time has not yet arrived. arrive. Continue to pay attention to whether there is explosive trading volume when rising from highs!

So, can ETH rise to 1900? 2000? 2100? 2200? 2400? Let me tell you, it’s all possible, the condition is: as long as the trading volume continues to rise immeasurably, and if the volume does not increase, the short squeeze will continue! To sell out is to end the short squeeze and prepare for a downward correction. It's that simple.

Follow me to help you understand more trading patterns and analysis. #BTC #etf #BinanceBlockchainWeek

BTC ETH Link is still in an unlimited short squeeze, which is characterized by unlimited rise. When will it end? It's very simple. High volume is to prepare to kill more, because we are waiting for the retail investors who are chasing the high to finally give up the FOMO and short sellers to buy back to replenish fuel. Short sellers surrender + retail investors can't help but FOMO to enter the market, which will cause high volume. , this is the real opportunity to short ~

Short squeeze is not affected by the divergence between volume and price. The divergence between volume and price will be corrected, but when the volume is released, the accumulated divergence value will plummet~

At present, as long as the volume is not exceeded, it can rise slowly and infinitely, and it can go anywhere until the volume is exceeded!

Tips: Continue to pay attention to whether there is a large amount of trading volume in the current rising process. If not, it will continue to rise after the shock, until a certain key price is exceeded, and a large trading volume is released at a high level (retail investors who can't help it will end up chasing after the high price with FOMO). + short traders' capitulation and volume replenishing fuel), the short squeeze will end. At that time, the volume and price deviation accumulated during this period will plummet and come back for correction. It's not that there will be no correction, but the time has not yet arrived. arrive. Continue to pay attention to whether there is explosive trading volume when rising from highs!

So, can ETH rise to 1900? 2000? 2100? 2200? 2400? Let me tell you, it’s all possible, the condition is: as long as the trading volume continues to rise immeasurably, and if the volume does not increase, the short squeeze will continue! To sell out is to end the short squeeze and prepare for a downward correction. It's that simple.

Follow me to help you understand more trading patterns and analysis.

(Page 4 - Short Squeeze Analysis)
Title: The difference in volume and price of different market types in actual combat. How to judge and operate the long market and short market?

3. Short squeeze:

1. Stochastic indicator assists in judgment:
The KD value will remain above 80 and last for more than 3 days to form a high-grade passivation phenomenon, as shown in the purple box in the picture.

2.Purpose of disc shape:
When investors are so washed up by the shock market or the long market that they feel they have given up hope and believe that the market is about to turn into a bear market, they will start to short-sell. At this time, the short orders will continue to accumulate and increase.
The purpose of the short squeeze is very simple, which is to cleanse the air force + other short squeeze investors, and use the accumulated short orders as fuel for the rise to continue to squeeze upwards and rise rapidly.
During the short squeeze process, short sellers are forced to cover their purchases, so the upward force is the covering and buying force of the surrender of the Air Force. As long as investors continue to short, the price will continue to deviate and rise.

3. Volume-price relationship:
In the process of squeezing shorts, just like squeezing longs, volume and price will continue to diverge, and all indicators will basically be passivated and ineffective, so the change in operational chips will be the focus of analysis.
Please pay close attention to "the changes in the chips of the main whales" and "whether the air force surrender volume appears", as well as "whether the short orders continue to be replenished" to judge whether the short squeeze fuel is sufficient.
As long as investors continue to short-sell to replenish fuel and the air force surrender volume does not appear, commodity prices can continue to rise.

In addition, in the chip analysis, you should pay attention to whether the main whale continues to ship large quantities during the short squeeze. If the main whale continues to ship during the short squeeze, or the surrender volume of short covering appears,
This will also be the end of the rapid rise in short squeezes, so we should pay attention to the rapid downward correction that will follow.

$ETH $BTC #BTC#etf#Shortsqueeze #ETH。

Complete.
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(Third page-Analysis of killing multiple disks)
Title: The difference in volume and price of different market types in actual combat. How to judge and operate the long market and short market?

2. Kill multiple games:

1. Stochastic indicator assists in judgment:
The KD value will remain below 20 and last for more than 3 days to form a low-grade passivation phenomenon, as shown in the orange box in the figure.

2.Purpose of disc shape:
The main purpose of killing the long market is to force out the chips of investors with stronger market confidence and make their mentality burst.
When chip analysis determines that whales are still continuing to build positions and the market is still healthy, selling long orders is to prepare for the next round of new rises, thereby forcefully cleaning the market.
A 15-20% drop in the cryptocurrency market price will kill futures and leveraged investors, and a 30-50% drop in spot prices will wipe out all the floaters and speculators who lack confidence in the market~

3. Volume-price relationship:
There is no need to pay close attention to the relationship between volume and price when selling long. If there are major whales who continue to build positions + chips change hands, it is usually a continuous long-short divergence.
Therefore, chip analysis at this time is very important, because various moving averages and indicators will basically fail at this time.
So just keep paying attention to "whether the surrender volume appears" and "whether the main whale continues to build positions + chips change hands".

It is difficult to judge the bottom of a strong bull market. You can only look at the "capitulation volume". The technical term is called capitulation. It depends on the confident investors (which may be retail investors or large whales fighting: small whales). , medium whales, small institutions), can they finally surrender and obediently sell their chips at low prices and lose money~
Therefore, in terms of volume and price, you will see that the trading volume during the price decline may be that the key support price has continued to shrink and fall below the divergence.
Until the price falls below a certain key support and there is a relatively large amount of trading volume in the near future, it may be the end of the long-selling market. Therefore, during the strong selling of the long-selling market, you will see a large number of black K's on the signal with the plunge. Sticks are very important.

$ETH $BTC #BTC#etf#Shortsqueeze #ETH。

(Second page - normal disk analysis)
Title: The difference in volume and price of different market types in actual combat. How to judge and operate the long market and short market?

The market can be simply divided into three types of disk types, namely normal disks, long-killing disks, and short-squeezing disks. Among them, long-killing disks and short-squeezing disks are special disk types, which are also commonly known as low-grade passivation and high-grade passivation.
If investors are inexperienced and unfamiliar with market patterns and cannot directly identify them from technical charts, here we will teach you how to quickly use the visual Stoch stochastic indicator to assist your judgment (the parameter value can be modified to 9, 1, 3 or 9 ,3,3 use).

1. Normal disk:

1. Stochastic indicator assists in judgment:
The KD value falls approximately between 20-80, as shown in the corresponding position of the green box in the picture.

2.Purpose of disc type:
For general market conditions, washing and adjusting shipments under normal standards, the relationship between volume and price can be used in conjunction with the status of whales' main chips to judge and formulate trading strategies.

3. Volume-price relationship:
In the case of favorable bullish conditions, the trading volume should increase moderately as the price reaches a high when it rises; when it corrects in a downward trend, as the price hits a low, its trading volume should gradually shrink.
On the contrary, if the price reaches a high during the rise and the trading volume does not increase moderately, the multi-side divergence will begin to accumulate. At this time, there will be a need for a downward correction to test the support.
The greater the number of bullish divergences accumulated, the more severe the subsequent downward correction will be.

In addition, if the price hits a low during the decline and the trading volume continues to shrink, the short side divergence will begin to accumulate. At this time, there will be a need to rise to test the pressure.
The more accumulated short side divergence, the more intense the subsequent upward rebound will be to test the pressure.

$ETH $BTC #BTC#etf #軋空盤 #ETH。

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(Page 1 - Foreword Analysis of Each Disk Type)
Title: The difference in volume and price of different market types in actual combat. How to judge and operate the long market and short market?

Most investors actually don’t quite understand what strategies and purposes the main whales in the market are carrying out, or what stage the market has reached.
"Most people only look at the rise and fall of prices."

Most people focus on the price changes of investment commodities. They watch the prices go up and down every day, and their mood fluctuates accordingly.
Whenever the price falls, I feel that the main force is shipping and cutting leeks. Whenever the price rises, I feel that the main force is entering the market with endless hope.
Watching the price changes makes me panic at the low points and greedy at the high points, constantly chasing the high and killing the low.

Price is actually the last thing you need to look at when investing. Price is just a mark of the progress of the market and is not that important.
What is really important is volume and price analysis + market chip analysis (on-chain data analysis) + investment psychology analysis + market sentiment analysis.
What you really need to learn in the market is to understand what whales are doing and where the market is progressing through volume and price analysis, market chip analysis, and investment psychology analysis.
Instead of watching the price changes every day, worrying about whether the moving average has fallen or risen below, or a bunch of indicator changes, leaving you confused, confused and clueless,
But human nature often drives you to just focus on price changes. Unless you realize it and make up your mind to break out, you will always hesitate to move forward.

In addition, we often see a mistake made by novice investors. They always want to predict the future direction of the market.
Please remember, you must remain in awe of the market and respect the market.
When you have been in the market for a while, you will truly understand that the market is always unpredictable, especially in this cryptocurrency market where 94.39% of BTC chips are highly concentrated in 2% of whale wallet addresses.
Never try to predict the market.
Instead, we must prepare long and short trading strategies for both bull and bear markets based on market changes.

$ETH $BTC #BTC #etf #軋空盤 #ETH。

#BTC #ETH。
Brothers, as mentioned in the previous article’s judgment and analysis of the short squeeze, let’s see you at ETH $2,200!

An unlimited rise is really good in a short squeeze. It will not start to correct all the deviation values ​​accumulated during the period until the volume is exceeded. Before the rise has not exceeded the volume, do not go short at a high price... pay attention to the risks.
軋空盤型研判
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#BTC #etf #$BTC $ETH $BTC

ETH is still in an unlimited short squeeze, which is characterized by unlimited rise. When will it end? It's very simple. High volume is to prepare to kill too much, because we are waiting for the chasing retail investors to finally give up the FOMO and short sellers to buy back to replenish fuel. Short sellers surrender + retail investors can't help but FOMO to enter the market, which will cause high volume. , this is the real opportunity to short ~

Short squeeze is not affected by the divergence between volume and price. The divergence between volume and price will be corrected, but when the volume is released, the accumulated divergence value will plummet~

At present, as long as the volume is not exceeded, it can rise slowly and infinitely, and it can go anywhere until the volume is exceeded!

Tips: Continue to pay attention to whether there is a large amount of trading volume in the current rising process. If not, it will continue to rise after the shock, until a certain key price is exceeded, and a large trading volume is released at a high level (retail investors who can't help it will end up chasing after the high price with FOMO). + short traders' capitulation and volume replenishing fuel), the short squeeze will end. At that time, the volume and price deviation accumulated during this period will plummet and come back for correction. It's not that there will be no correction, but the time has not yet arrived. arrive. Continue to pay attention to whether there is explosive trading volume when rising from highs!

So, can ETH rise to 1900? 2000? 2100? 2200? 2400? Let me tell you, it’s all possible, the condition is: as long as the trading volume continues to rise immeasurably, and if the volume does not increase, the short squeeze will continue! To sell out is to end the short squeeze and prepare for a downward correction. It's that simple.

Follow me to help you understand more trading patterns and analysis.