NXT MOVE
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NXT MOVE
صانع محتوى.باحث في التحليل الفني ومتداول في طور التطوير، أشارك قراءتي للسوق، وأناقش الأفكار والصفقات وفق إدارة مخاطر واضحة. هدفي التعلم المستمر ومشاركة المعرفة.
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Bitcoin in "the window of historical lows" .. an introduction to
a long-term trend?
💬 Poll:
Where do you think Bitcoin is headed?
Vote and share your opinion 👇$BTC
#FOMC
a long-term trend?
💬 Poll:
Where do you think Bitcoin is headed?
Vote and share your opinion 👇$BTC
#FOMC
القاع تشكّل الاتجاه الصاعد بدأ
القاع قريب لكن لم يتشكّل
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الحكم مبكر ننتظر نهاية النافذة
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🚨 BTC | Healthy pause at 64.37K after a 65.06K peak… The bullish structure is still intact
BTC is holding at 64.37K (+0.13–0.21%) after reaching a new high at 65.06K, in a natural digestion phase after a strong push.
📊 Technical picture:
1H has returned to the mid-range perfectly (RSI 49.71) with slightly negative MACD — a healthy pullback after a strong peak, not a severe breakdown. 4H remains positive but moderate (RSI 58.46, strong MACD 187.64), consolidating around the moving averages (63.63–64.24K).
📌 Daily: MACD is positive (192.44), but the daily MA200 is still very far (69.01K), reminding us that the larger overall trend hasn’t changed yet despite the strength of the recent rebound.
✅ This is a repeating correction pattern we’ve seen in this sequence before (calm digestion after each surge, no breakdown). The key now is holding support at 63.6–64.24K.
🎯 Key levels:
🟢 Support: 63.61–63.63K (moving average crossover) → 63.07K
🔴 Resistance: 64.63K → 65.06K (new high) → 65.47–65.82K
📌 Most likely scenario: defending 63.6–64.24K keeps the door open for another attempt toward 65.47K then 65.82K (a crucial test to confirm a full turn in the overall trend).
💰 Trade plan: we continue monitoring the prior entry scenarios (confirmed breakout above 65,474 or a bounce from nearby support); no entry at the current level within the range. No chasing.
⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation.
$BTC $LINK $XAU
BTC is holding at 64.37K (+0.13–0.21%) after reaching a new high at 65.06K, in a natural digestion phase after a strong push.
📊 Technical picture:
1H has returned to the mid-range perfectly (RSI 49.71) with slightly negative MACD — a healthy pullback after a strong peak, not a severe breakdown. 4H remains positive but moderate (RSI 58.46, strong MACD 187.64), consolidating around the moving averages (63.63–64.24K).
📌 Daily: MACD is positive (192.44), but the daily MA200 is still very far (69.01K), reminding us that the larger overall trend hasn’t changed yet despite the strength of the recent rebound.
✅ This is a repeating correction pattern we’ve seen in this sequence before (calm digestion after each surge, no breakdown). The key now is holding support at 63.6–64.24K.
🎯 Key levels:
🟢 Support: 63.61–63.63K (moving average crossover) → 63.07K
🔴 Resistance: 64.63K → 65.06K (new high) → 65.47–65.82K
📌 Most likely scenario: defending 63.6–64.24K keeps the door open for another attempt toward 65.47K then 65.82K (a crucial test to confirm a full turn in the overall trend).
💰 Trade plan: we continue monitoring the prior entry scenarios (confirmed breakout above 65,474 or a bounce from nearby support); no entry at the current level within the range. No chasing.
⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation.
$BTC $LINK $XAU
🚨 BTC | The macro picture is gradually completing… Are we looking at a long-term shift?
So far, several important signals are building:
📉 NFP: Clear weakness in the labor market + negative revisions + slowing wages.
📉 CPI: Fell to 3.4% from 3.5%.
🟢 PPI: Monthly stability at 0.0%, with no monthly acceleration.
🏦 Treasury: Doubled its operations to repurchase long-term bonds to ≥ $4 billion for the operation, which helped push yields lower today.
🟠 FOMC: Rates stayed at 3.50%–3.75%, but the 9–3 vote revealed division and tightening within the committee. That’s why we don’t consider the minutes directly positive for gold and BTC.
🎯 What we’re watching now:
Will labor market weakness continue?
Will inflation keep falling?
Will the Fed’s tone shift from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market?
And will yields and the dollar keep declining?
If these factors align in the same direction, we may be facing a macro shift capable of supporting gold and BTC for a long time.
For now, the picture looks promising but it hasn’t been decided yet.
NFP → CPI → PPI → Yields → FOMC → Rate expectations → DXY → Gold & BTC
⚠️ For discussion only, not investment advice.$BTC
$XAU
$PAXG
So far, several important signals are building:
📉 NFP: Clear weakness in the labor market + negative revisions + slowing wages.
📉 CPI: Fell to 3.4% from 3.5%.
🟢 PPI: Monthly stability at 0.0%, with no monthly acceleration.
🏦 Treasury: Doubled its operations to repurchase long-term bonds to ≥ $4 billion for the operation, which helped push yields lower today.
🟠 FOMC: Rates stayed at 3.50%–3.75%, but the 9–3 vote revealed division and tightening within the committee. That’s why we don’t consider the minutes directly positive for gold and BTC.
🎯 What we’re watching now:
Will labor market weakness continue?
Will inflation keep falling?
Will the Fed’s tone shift from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market?
And will yields and the dollar keep declining?
If these factors align in the same direction, we may be facing a macro shift capable of supporting gold and BTC for a long time.
For now, the picture looks promising but it hasn’t been decided yet.
NFP → CPI → PPI → Yields → FOMC → Rate expectations → DXY → Gold & BTC
⚠️ For discussion only, not investment advice.$BTC
$XAU
$PAXG
⚠️ Is Bitcoin nearing the end of the correction?
📊 VanEck: 8 out of 12 indicators have entered the capitulation zone, while all 12 indicators reached this zone during the past three months.
🔹 Long-term BTC holders sold about 356K BTC over the past month.
🔹 Outlook: September–November may be a transition phase from selling to accumulation.
😐 8 indicators say «the bottom»… and 4 are still not convinced.
Meanwhile in the background:
🍑 Chinese firms have started joining the Bitcoin reserve race.
😲 Zhibao Technology bought 2,380 BTC for $155M.
😊 Telegram is moving toward the .gram domain.
😂 And Scaramucci believes $100K might be a magic number to start selling some OGs.
🔥 Are we looking at the end of the correction and the start of accumulation… or just a stopover before another down wave?
⚠️ For discussion only, not investment advice.
$BTC
#محضر_الفيدرالي #FOMC_Meeting_Results
📊 VanEck: 8 out of 12 indicators have entered the capitulation zone, while all 12 indicators reached this zone during the past three months.
🔹 Long-term BTC holders sold about 356K BTC over the past month.
🔹 Outlook: September–November may be a transition phase from selling to accumulation.
😐 8 indicators say «the bottom»… and 4 are still not convinced.
Meanwhile in the background:
🍑 Chinese firms have started joining the Bitcoin reserve race.
😲 Zhibao Technology bought 2,380 BTC for $155M.
😊 Telegram is moving toward the .gram domain.
😂 And Scaramucci believes $100K might be a magic number to start selling some OGs.
🔥 Are we looking at the end of the correction and the start of accumulation… or just a stopover before another down wave?
⚠️ For discussion only, not investment advice.
$BTC
#محضر_الفيدرالي #FOMC_Meeting_Results
$BTC
Glassnode: The current Bitcoin market is very similar to the 2022 bear market, with the biggest historical growth in highly committed buyers during January’s dip to $60,000.
📊 Historically, bottoms form when profit-takers pull back and stronger investors start accumulating.
History doesn’t repeat itself... but it sure does rhyme.
🤡 Peter Schiff says he doesn’t understand why Bitcoin hasn’t dropped today.
😂 15 years of watching Bitcoin... and he’s still surprised every time it doesn’t collapse.
Exactly 18 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto and Martti Malmi registered the Bitcoin.org domain.
That was before the White Paper was published or the main network launched.
Even decentralized money needed someone to secure the domain name first. 🙃#BTC
Glassnode: The current Bitcoin market is very similar to the 2022 bear market, with the biggest historical growth in highly committed buyers during January’s dip to $60,000.
📊 Historically, bottoms form when profit-takers pull back and stronger investors start accumulating.
History doesn’t repeat itself... but it sure does rhyme.
🤡 Peter Schiff says he doesn’t understand why Bitcoin hasn’t dropped today.
😂 15 years of watching Bitcoin... and he’s still surprised every time it doesn’t collapse.
Exactly 18 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto and Martti Malmi registered the Bitcoin.org domain.
That was before the White Paper was published or the main network launched.
Even decentralized money needed someone to secure the domain name first. 🙃#BTC
**⏳ Bitcoin in the "Historic Lows Window" .. a prelude to a long-term trend?**
Since the fourth halving (April 20, 2024), 851 days have passed up to today.
📊 According to CryptoQuant, the historical bottoms of the bear market typically form between 780–950 days after the halving.
🎯 BTC is now officially within this time window — at 851/950 days.
⏱️ Only about 99 days remain until the time window closes completely.
This positioning may be the beginning of a prelude to a new long-term trend, whether by forming a recurring cycle bottom or by a real breakout from the usual pattern. According to the model, there are only two possibilities with no third:
🔹 The bottom is near or has already formed
🔹 Or the traditional four-year cycle is breaking
⚠️ A timing factor within the model only, not investment advice.
💬 What do you think: are we on the verge of a long-term bullish trend, or will history not repeat itself this time?
$BTC
#FOMC_Meeting_Results
🍑 CZ says that more than 20.07 million BTC has been mined so far, and only about 4.4% of the total supply remains to be mined.
He also estimates that 10–20% of the currently existing Bitcoin is lost or inaccessible.
More than 20 million BTC have been mined—millions of them may be lost—and only 4.4% remains for mining.
😐 Truly rare... and it becomes rarer over time.
Since the fourth halving (April 20, 2024), 851 days have passed up to today.
📊 According to CryptoQuant, the historical bottoms of the bear market typically form between 780–950 days after the halving.
🎯 BTC is now officially within this time window — at 851/950 days.
⏱️ Only about 99 days remain until the time window closes completely.
This positioning may be the beginning of a prelude to a new long-term trend, whether by forming a recurring cycle bottom or by a real breakout from the usual pattern. According to the model, there are only two possibilities with no third:
🔹 The bottom is near or has already formed
🔹 Or the traditional four-year cycle is breaking
⚠️ A timing factor within the model only, not investment advice.
💬 What do you think: are we on the verge of a long-term bullish trend, or will history not repeat itself this time?
$BTC
#FOMC_Meeting_Results
🍑 CZ says that more than 20.07 million BTC has been mined so far, and only about 4.4% of the total supply remains to be mined.
He also estimates that 10–20% of the currently existing Bitcoin is lost or inaccessible.
More than 20 million BTC have been mined—millions of them may be lost—and only 4.4% remains for mining.
😐 Truly rare... and it becomes rarer over time.
$BTC
🚨 BTC | Healthy consolidation at 64.22K after the breakout… will it continue toward 65.82K?
BTC is holding most of the gains from the previous breakout and consolidating near 64.22K.
📊 Technical picture:
1H cooled off from overbought to RSI 57 while MACD remains positive, whereas 4H is still strong (RSI 63.65 and MACD positive).
📌 This is healthy consolidation so far, not a reversal signal; the key is maintaining stability above the 63.63K zone.
🎯 Levels:
🟢 Support: 63.63K → 62.89–63.34K
🔴 Resistance: 64.61K → 64.93–65.11K → 65.82K
🟢 Breakout of 64.61K and holding → 65.11K then 65.82K.
🔴 Loss of 63.63K → watch 62.54K.
💰 Trade: no entry currently.
🔴 Sell only on a clear rejection from 65.82K.
🟢 Buy only if price returns to 62.28–62.54K with rebound confirmation.
No chasing and no anticipatory entry; we wait for the plan’s conditions.
⚠️ For discussion, not financial advice.
#FOMC
🚨 BTC | Healthy consolidation at 64.22K after the breakout… will it continue toward 65.82K?
BTC is holding most of the gains from the previous breakout and consolidating near 64.22K.
📊 Technical picture:
1H cooled off from overbought to RSI 57 while MACD remains positive, whereas 4H is still strong (RSI 63.65 and MACD positive).
📌 This is healthy consolidation so far, not a reversal signal; the key is maintaining stability above the 63.63K zone.
🎯 Levels:
🟢 Support: 63.63K → 62.89–63.34K
🔴 Resistance: 64.61K → 64.93–65.11K → 65.82K
🟢 Breakout of 64.61K and holding → 65.11K then 65.82K.
🔴 Loss of 63.63K → watch 62.54K.
💰 Trade: no entry currently.
🔴 Sell only on a clear rejection from 65.82K.
🟢 Buy only if price returns to 62.28–62.54K with rebound confirmation.
No chasing and no anticipatory entry; we wait for the plan’s conditions.
⚠️ For discussion, not financial advice.
#FOMC
Bitcoin paves the way for a long-term trend start
$COW
$BTC
$ACE
$COW
$BTC
$ACE
gndor
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[Replay] 🎙️ Learn Trading with Al Baraka
06 h 00 m 00 s · 2.8k listens
🚨 BTC | Bounce from 62.54K… but the plan hasn’t changed
BTC rebounded from the 62.535K bottom to around 63.12K, with a clear improvement on the 1H, but the recovery hasn’t been confirmed yet on the 4H.
📊 Current picture:
🟢 1H: RSI 51.9 and MACD positive → improvement in short-term momentum.
🟠 4H: RSI 40.1 and MACD negative → downside pressure hasn’t ended.
🔴 Price is still below key resistance zones and important moving averages near 64K–64.25K.
Most importantly, the bigger picture still supports caution:
The 63K area is an important demand zone, while 69K is roughly the cost area for short-term holders. With declining trading volumes and weak demand, the bounce needs confirmation.
🎯 The plan remains the same:
🟥 Conditional sell:
Clear rejection of the 63.63–64.27K zone + confirmation of weakness.
🛑 Invalidation: 64.39–64.45K
🎯 62.54K → 62.28K → 61.07K
🟢 Conditional buy:
The 62.06K zone, with adherence to invalidation at 61.89K.
If 64.39K is reclaimed with stability, it weakens the sell scenario and refocuses attention toward 65.82K and then higher zones.
⚠️ No early entries and no chasing the current bounce; we let price reach the plan levels and wait for confirmation.
☕️ The market is still between two scenarios… and the plan is to let price determine which one becomes active.
⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation.$BTC
BTC rebounded from the 62.535K bottom to around 63.12K, with a clear improvement on the 1H, but the recovery hasn’t been confirmed yet on the 4H.
📊 Current picture:
🟢 1H: RSI 51.9 and MACD positive → improvement in short-term momentum.
🟠 4H: RSI 40.1 and MACD negative → downside pressure hasn’t ended.
🔴 Price is still below key resistance zones and important moving averages near 64K–64.25K.
Most importantly, the bigger picture still supports caution:
The 63K area is an important demand zone, while 69K is roughly the cost area for short-term holders. With declining trading volumes and weak demand, the bounce needs confirmation.
🎯 The plan remains the same:
🟥 Conditional sell:
Clear rejection of the 63.63–64.27K zone + confirmation of weakness.
🛑 Invalidation: 64.39–64.45K
🎯 62.54K → 62.28K → 61.07K
🟢 Conditional buy:
The 62.06K zone, with adherence to invalidation at 61.89K.
If 64.39K is reclaimed with stability, it weakens the sell scenario and refocuses attention toward 65.82K and then higher zones.
⚠️ No early entries and no chasing the current bounce; we let price reach the plan levels and wait for confirmation.
☕️ The market is still between two scenarios… and the plan is to let price determine which one becomes active.
⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation.$BTC
⚠️ BTC | High-Risk Scalp Plan
🟢 Buy: 62,060 — SL: 61,890
🔴 Sell: 64,860 — SL: 65,040
The plan is conditional on reaching the levels with a clear confirmation appearing before entry.
🟢 Buy from support
🔴 Sell from resistance
But both scenarios are currently Counter-trend and high risk due to weak momentum and price volatility, so there is no entry just by touching the level.
🎯 Priority: wait for rejection/confirmation, then enter—don’t chase the price.
⚠️ Capital management matters more than the trade: small size, limited risk, and a stop-loss is mandatory. Avoid high leverage and don’t risk your full capital.
Scalp / Counter-trend
⚠️ For discussion only, not financial advice.$BTC
#BTC
🟢 Buy: 62,060 — SL: 61,890
🔴 Sell: 64,860 — SL: 65,040
The plan is conditional on reaching the levels with a clear confirmation appearing before entry.
🟢 Buy from support
🔴 Sell from resistance
But both scenarios are currently Counter-trend and high risk due to weak momentum and price volatility, so there is no entry just by touching the level.
🎯 Priority: wait for rejection/confirmation, then enter—don’t chase the price.
⚠️ Capital management matters more than the trade: small size, limited risk, and a stop-loss is mandatory. Avoid high leverage and don’t risk your full capital.
Scalp / Counter-trend
⚠️ For discussion only, not financial advice.$BTC
#BTC
🚨 BTC | Cautious consolidation at 62.98K… no further drop and no real recovery yet
BTC stabilized near 62.98K, at almost the same update level as before, after the sharp sell-off paused temporarily above the 62.54K low.
📊 Technical picture:
1H is neutral and consolidating (RSI 45.35, MACD oscillating near zero) — a sign of stability with no strong directional signal. Meanwhile 4H still shows clear oversold conditions (RSI 36.13, MACD negative -155.00) with a large gap between price and the moving averages.
⚠️ This is consolidation/rest after a strong sell wave, not a real recovery — price is trying to form a double bottom between 62.54K and 63.03K without a clear break or breakout in either direction.
🎯 Key levels:
🟢 Support: 62.54K → 61.07K (if broken)
🔴 Resistance: 63.03–63.68K → 64.20–64.26K (moving-average convergence) → 65.82K
🟢 Bullish: a decisive break above 63.68K, then 64.26K to confirm a real recovery.
🔴 Bearish: breaking 62.54K opens the way directly toward 61.07K.
💰 Trade: no entry currently. The relative strength on 1H is not enough as 4H weakness persists; we wait for a break or a decisive breakout in either direction.
#BTC
⚠️ For discussion, not a recommendation.$BTC
BTC stabilized near 62.98K, at almost the same update level as before, after the sharp sell-off paused temporarily above the 62.54K low.
📊 Technical picture:
1H is neutral and consolidating (RSI 45.35, MACD oscillating near zero) — a sign of stability with no strong directional signal. Meanwhile 4H still shows clear oversold conditions (RSI 36.13, MACD negative -155.00) with a large gap between price and the moving averages.
⚠️ This is consolidation/rest after a strong sell wave, not a real recovery — price is trying to form a double bottom between 62.54K and 63.03K without a clear break or breakout in either direction.
🎯 Key levels:
🟢 Support: 62.54K → 61.07K (if broken)
🔴 Resistance: 63.03–63.68K → 64.20–64.26K (moving-average convergence) → 65.82K
🟢 Bullish: a decisive break above 63.68K, then 64.26K to confirm a real recovery.
🔴 Bearish: breaking 62.54K opens the way directly toward 61.07K.
💰 Trade: no entry currently. The relative strength on 1H is not enough as 4H weakness persists; we wait for a break or a decisive breakout in either direction.
#BTC
⚠️ For discussion, not a recommendation.$BTC
Binance bStocks platform outperformed the xStocks platform to become the second-largest issuer of tokenized stocks, with a value of $610.6 million.
Meanwhile, the Ondo platform still leads the market with a value of nearly $927 million, according to Token Terminal data.
$BNB
$ONDO
$ACE
Meanwhile, the Ondo platform still leads the market with a value of nearly $927 million, according to Token Terminal data.
$BNB
$ONDO
$ACE
Bitcoin’s spot trading volume has hit its lowest level in 7 years.
Bitcoin has been stuck between $63,000 and $68.7K for about 3 months.
🔹 Sellers are starting to run out, but buyers are still weak.
🔹 ETF fund inflows are limited.
🔹 Leveraged long positions are accumulating.
And some On-chain indicators are nearing levels historically seen near bottoms of bear markets, but Glassnode warns that a break below $58.5K could trigger a strong wave of liquidations.
The market is unusually calm... and the question is: will the next move be up or down? ☕️
$BTC
🫣 CryptoQuant says Bitcoin is nearing a potential local top at $66–69K, with a chance the price could drop to $51K afterward.
This outlook is based on several technical signals, including:
A bearish divergence on the MACD.
The RSI approaching overbought zones.
A decline in trading volumes during the uptrend that lasted 6 weeks.
Conclusion: There may be a pullback after reaching the $66–69K area, but this remains a scenario, not a confirmation.
🚽 Every analyst has a top target and a bottom target... the problem is they never agree on which one will come first. 😃
$GRAM
Telegram is celebrating its 13th birthday! 👑
Bitcoin has been stuck between $63,000 and $68.7K for about 3 months.
🔹 Sellers are starting to run out, but buyers are still weak.
🔹 ETF fund inflows are limited.
🔹 Leveraged long positions are accumulating.
And some On-chain indicators are nearing levels historically seen near bottoms of bear markets, but Glassnode warns that a break below $58.5K could trigger a strong wave of liquidations.
The market is unusually calm... and the question is: will the next move be up or down? ☕️
$BTC
🫣 CryptoQuant says Bitcoin is nearing a potential local top at $66–69K, with a chance the price could drop to $51K afterward.
This outlook is based on several technical signals, including:
A bearish divergence on the MACD.
The RSI approaching overbought zones.
A decline in trading volumes during the uptrend that lasted 6 weeks.
Conclusion: There may be a pullback after reaching the $66–69K area, but this remains a scenario, not a confirmation.
🚽 Every analyst has a top target and a bottom target... the problem is they never agree on which one will come first. 😃
$GRAM
Telegram is celebrating its 13th birthday! 👑
$BTC
#هام_جدا #عاجل
🚨 BTC | A real bearish breakdown… 62,275 back to test again
BTC saw a sharp drop from the 65.47K peak to the 62.28K low, before a partial bounce and stabilization near 63.43K.
📊 Technical picture:
1H is relatively improved after the bounce (RSI 45.74, MACD is nearing a bullish crossover), but 4H is still clearly weak (RSI 40.34, MACD negative -147.49) and the price is below its moving averages.
⚠️ The bearish breakdown is clear: price broke through the support zone 63,000–63,240 and reached 62.28K.
🎯 Key levels:
🟢 Support: 62.80K → 62.28K → 61.07K
🔴 Resistance: 63.63–64.09K → 64.29–64.43K
🟢 Bullish: reclaim 64.29–64.43K with stability, then 65.82K.
🔴 Bearish: failed bounce → retest 62.28K, and breaking it → 61.07K.
This current bounce may be a technical correction within a larger downtrend wave, not a confirmed reversal. We’re waiting for confirmation above resistance or a clear break below support.
⚠️ For discussion only, not investment advice.
#هام_جدا #عاجل
🚨 BTC | A real bearish breakdown… 62,275 back to test again
BTC saw a sharp drop from the 65.47K peak to the 62.28K low, before a partial bounce and stabilization near 63.43K.
📊 Technical picture:
1H is relatively improved after the bounce (RSI 45.74, MACD is nearing a bullish crossover), but 4H is still clearly weak (RSI 40.34, MACD negative -147.49) and the price is below its moving averages.
⚠️ The bearish breakdown is clear: price broke through the support zone 63,000–63,240 and reached 62.28K.
🎯 Key levels:
🟢 Support: 62.80K → 62.28K → 61.07K
🔴 Resistance: 63.63–64.09K → 64.29–64.43K
🟢 Bullish: reclaim 64.29–64.43K with stability, then 65.82K.
🔴 Bearish: failed bounce → retest 62.28K, and breaking it → 61.07K.
This current bounce may be a technical correction within a larger downtrend wave, not a confirmed reversal. We’re waiting for confirmation above resistance or a clear break below support.
⚠️ For discussion only, not investment advice.
🚨 BTC | Will it reclaim 64.4K or return to test 61K?
Price bounced from 63.46K and consolidated near 63.63K, but the recovery remains limited.
📊 Technical picture:
1H is improving, while 4H and 8H are still weak, and the price is below their moving averages.
📌 Daily: MACD is positive (234.31) despite weakness in shorter timeframes, reflecting divergence between timeframes.
🎯 Key levels:
🟢 Support: 63.07–63.24K → 61.07K
🔴 Resistance: 64.30–64.45K → 65.82K
🟢 Bullish: A 4H close above 64.45K, then a break above 65.82K with strong volume.
🔴 Bearish: A break below 63.07K and retesting it as resistance → 61.07K.
No preemptive buying or preemptive selling; we wait for confirmation and a retest—without chasing the move.
⚠️ For discussion, not a recommendation.
#PPI
Price bounced from 63.46K and consolidated near 63.63K, but the recovery remains limited.
📊 Technical picture:
1H is improving, while 4H and 8H are still weak, and the price is below their moving averages.
📌 Daily: MACD is positive (234.31) despite weakness in shorter timeframes, reflecting divergence between timeframes.
🎯 Key levels:
🟢 Support: 63.07–63.24K → 61.07K
🔴 Resistance: 64.30–64.45K → 65.82K
🟢 Bullish: A 4H close above 64.45K, then a break above 65.82K with strong volume.
🔴 Bearish: A break below 63.07K and retesting it as resistance → 61.07K.
No preemptive buying or preemptive selling; we wait for confirmation and a retest—without chasing the move.
⚠️ For discussion, not a recommendation.
#PPI
📊 CPI and PPI | The Next Test for the Market
After the weak NFP, markets are awaiting CPI and PPI data to see whether the economy’s weakness is aligned with a continuing decline in inflation.
🔹 Weak NFP → potential weakness in the labor market
🔹 Low CPI + PPI → lower inflationary pressures
🔹 Lower inflation + weaker labor market → higher chances of the Fed easing
This could be reflected in the markets through:
💵 pressure on the US dollar
🟡 potential support for gold
₿ potential support for Bitcoin and high-risk assets
But the most important factor is the continuation of the trend, not a single report.
If the upcoming data confirms weakness in the labor market and a decline in inflation, we may be facing a macro shift that lasts for a long time and affects the direction of the markets.
On the other hand, if inflation rises again, the picture may change and the market will re-price the interest-rate path.
🎯 So we’re watching: NFP → CPI → PPI → upcoming employment data → rate expectations → USD and yields → BTC and gold.
⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation.
$BTC $XAU $PAXG
#LINK #ONDO #XLM #ALGO #GRAM
After the weak NFP, markets are awaiting CPI and PPI data to see whether the economy’s weakness is aligned with a continuing decline in inflation.
🔹 Weak NFP → potential weakness in the labor market
🔹 Low CPI + PPI → lower inflationary pressures
🔹 Lower inflation + weaker labor market → higher chances of the Fed easing
This could be reflected in the markets through:
💵 pressure on the US dollar
🟡 potential support for gold
₿ potential support for Bitcoin and high-risk assets
But the most important factor is the continuation of the trend, not a single report.
If the upcoming data confirms weakness in the labor market and a decline in inflation, we may be facing a macro shift that lasts for a long time and affects the direction of the markets.
On the other hand, if inflation rises again, the picture may change and the market will re-price the interest-rate path.
🎯 So we’re watching: NFP → CPI → PPI → upcoming employment data → rate expectations → USD and yields → BTC and gold.
⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation.
$BTC $XAU $PAXG
#LINK #ONDO #XLM #ALGO #GRAM
Follow me at gndor so you can benefit, God willing
Update Vitalik Buterin on Ethereum roadmap priorities, and quantum computing resistance and privacy have become at the top of the priorities.
And among the new trends:
Native Rollups
Futures contracts for Blob and Gas
Quantum-computing-resistant signatures.
An architecture based on STARKs.
Using AI in formal mathematical verification (Formal Verification).
Conclusion: Ethereum’s task list is constantly growing... while the price is still in the same place. $ETH
Update Vitalik Buterin on Ethereum roadmap priorities, and quantum computing resistance and privacy have become at the top of the priorities.
And among the new trends:
Native Rollups
Futures contracts for Blob and Gas
Quantum-computing-resistant signatures.
An architecture based on STARKs.
Using AI in formal mathematical verification (Formal Verification).
Conclusion: Ethereum’s task list is constantly growing... while the price is still in the same place. $ETH
gndor
·
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[Replay] 🎙️ Learn Trading with Al Barakah
06 h 00 m 00 s · 3.2k listens
$BTC
🚨 BTC | 63.8K — Breakout zone
The price is trying to stabilize above 63.0–63.1K after the drop, but the picture is still neutral-leaning toward selling pressure:
🔹 Daily: above MA50 around 63.4K, but below MA200 near 69.8K.
🔹 12H: below MA50 and MA200 → bearish pressure.
🔹 8H/6H: above MA200 but below MA50 → recovery is not certain.
🔹 4H/1H: below MA50 and MA200 → the nearest resistance is 64.1–64.5K.
🎯 The plan:
🟢 Buy only after a breakout of 64.5K with a 4H close and clear volume:
entry after confirmation/retest
SL: 63.8K
TP1: 65.82K → TP2: 66.95K → then 68.4K
🔴 Sell only after breaking 63.0–63.1K with a 4H close and clear volume:
entry after the break/retest
SL: 63.6K
TP1: 62.275K → TP2: 61.1K → and if the pressure continues 59.5–60K
⚠️ Currently: no trade in the range; we wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown.
⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation
#CPITODAY
🚨 BTC | 63.8K — Breakout zone
The price is trying to stabilize above 63.0–63.1K after the drop, but the picture is still neutral-leaning toward selling pressure:
🔹 Daily: above MA50 around 63.4K, but below MA200 near 69.8K.
🔹 12H: below MA50 and MA200 → bearish pressure.
🔹 8H/6H: above MA200 but below MA50 → recovery is not certain.
🔹 4H/1H: below MA50 and MA200 → the nearest resistance is 64.1–64.5K.
🎯 The plan:
🟢 Buy only after a breakout of 64.5K with a 4H close and clear volume:
entry after confirmation/retest
SL: 63.8K
TP1: 65.82K → TP2: 66.95K → then 68.4K
🔴 Sell only after breaking 63.0–63.1K with a 4H close and clear volume:
entry after the break/retest
SL: 63.6K
TP1: 62.275K → TP2: 61.1K → and if the pressure continues 59.5–60K
⚠️ Currently: no trade in the range; we wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown.
⚠️ For discussion only, not a recommendation
#CPITODAY
$BTC
🚨 BTC | 64.4K zone of decision… no confirmation yet
BTC at ~64.38K after a bounce from 63.8K, but the price is still facing an important resistance.
📊 The picture:
🟢 4H: Reclaimed the MA200, but it is still below the MA50 → only an initial improvement.
🔴 1H: Still below MA50 and MA200 → short-term momentum is not confirmed.
🟡 Daily: Still below MA50 and MA200 → the bigger picture needs confirmation.
🎯 The plan:
📈 A 4H close above 64.45–64.65K + good volume
→ 65.82K
→ then 66.95K–68.5K.
📉 Rejection of the zone, then a break of 63.0–63.1K with a 4H close
→ 62.27K
→ 61.07K
→ then 60K–57.8K.
💰 No entry currently.
Buy only with breakout confirmation, and sell only with breakdown confirmation.
🔥 Summary:
The bounce is positive, but it is not a confirmed reversal.
We wait for the decision, and we don’t chase the price.
⚠️ For discussion only, not investment advice.
🚨 BTC | 64.4K zone of decision… no confirmation yet
BTC at ~64.38K after a bounce from 63.8K, but the price is still facing an important resistance.
📊 The picture:
🟢 4H: Reclaimed the MA200, but it is still below the MA50 → only an initial improvement.
🔴 1H: Still below MA50 and MA200 → short-term momentum is not confirmed.
🟡 Daily: Still below MA50 and MA200 → the bigger picture needs confirmation.
🎯 The plan:
📈 A 4H close above 64.45–64.65K + good volume
→ 65.82K
→ then 66.95K–68.5K.
📉 Rejection of the zone, then a break of 63.0–63.1K with a 4H close
→ 62.27K
→ 61.07K
→ then 60K–57.8K.
💰 No entry currently.
Buy only with breakout confirmation, and sell only with breakdown confirmation.
🔥 Summary:
The bounce is positive, but it is not a confirmed reversal.
We wait for the decision, and we don’t chase the price.
⚠️ For discussion only, not investment advice.
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