猎币罗盘

LINKUSDT: 4 consecutive weaker daily candles—I see $11 as the next stop!

LINK is currently at $11.350, down 1.88% over the past 24 hours. After retreating from its rebound high of $12.802, it has posted 4 consecutive bearish daily candles, with price continuing to trend lower.

I remain bearish on LINK.

The daily MA7 is at $11.945 and the MA25 is at $12.794. Price has clearly fallen below the short-term moving averages. The only level worth watching now is whether support around $11.23 can hold.

My futures plan: Short

Entry: $11.35–$11.50. Open short positions in stages if price rebounds into this range.

First target: $11.23.
Second target: $11.00.
Third target: $10.85.
Stop-loss: $11.68.

I think if $11.23 breaks decisively, LINK is likely to continue testing $11. As long as the rebound fails to reclaim $11.95, the short-term weakness has not truly changed.

I’m taking the short side this time, with the main focus on waiting for the next leg down after $11.23 gives way.

Do you think LINK will break below $11.23 first, or rebound to $11.95?

$LINK

LIT: Rebound Stalls at $3.29; I Remain Bearish

LIT is currently trading around $3.177. After previously climbing to $3.985, the price fell steadily. Although it has rebounded recently, it has yet to genuinely reverse its weakness.

For now, I’m leaning toward remaining bearish.

The reason is simple: the price is still below the 7-day, 25-day, and 99-day moving averages, and the rebound isn’t strong enough to change the overall structure. It reached a high of $3.2934 today, but has since fallen back to around $3.18, suggesting there is still resistance above $3.29.

My futures plan: Short

Entry range: $3.24–$3.29; wait for the rebound to stall before entering.

First target: $3.08.
Second target: $3.02.
Stop-loss: $3.36.

The current price is already below my planned entry range, so I won’t chase the short. I’ll wait for a rebound instead. If the price never rebounds to my entry level, I’ll pass on this opportunity.

I think the key level to watch next for LIT is around $3.02. If the price tests this level again and breaks below it, bears could have room to push it lower.

I’m still siding with the bears this time. The key question is whether LIT can reclaim and hold above $3.29.

Do you think LIT will rebound to $3.29, or head straight back down to test $3.02?

#LIT $LIT

DOGEUSDT: $0.08 has been lost again, and I’m more inclined to expect further downside

DOGE is now at $0.07804. After rebounding to around $0.08378 earlier, the price failed to continue rising and instead fell back again.

My view is that DOGE remains bearish in the short term, and any rebound is better treated as an opportunity to look for a short entry.

The reason is straightforward. The price has now fallen below the short-term moving averages. It first needs to reclaim the area around $0.07975, with another resistance level near $0.0817. Until it breaks through the resistance above, I’m not expecting it to regain strength anytime soon.

My trading plan: Short

Entry: $0.0790–$0.0800. Enter if the price rebounds into this range and shows weakness.

First target: $0.0762.
Second target: $0.0748.
Stop-loss: $0.0822.

I’m mainly watching the area around $0.0760. This is where a previous low formed. If the price breaks below it again, DOGE could open up room for another leg down.

If the price doesn’t rebound and moves straight lower, I won’t chase it by shorting at the lows. I’d rather wait for a rebound and get a better entry.

I’m siding with the bears this time. For DOGE to turn things around, it needs to reclaim at least $0.0800 first.

Do you think $0.0760 will hold this time?

$DOGE

AVAX: Rebound to $9.30, but I’m still bearish!

AVAX is currently at $9.303, up 1.36% so far today, but I don’t think this means the trend has reversed.

Looking at the 4-hour chart and higher time frames, AVAX has been steadily pulling back from above $10. The daily MA(7) is at $9.566, and the MA(25) is at $10.370, with the current price still below both moving averages. Yesterday, the price fell as low as $9.046. Although it has rebounded today, there’s still a way to go before the trend genuinely turns bullish.

So this time, I’m choosing to short AVAX.

Entry range: $9.28–$9.33. Consider opening a short near the current price.

First target: $9.12.
Second target: $9.05.
Third target: $8.90.
Stop-loss: $9.50.

My reasoning is simple: first, let’s see whether $9.20 breaks. If it does and the price continues to weaken, then I’ll look to around $9.05. If it also falls below the previous low of $9.046, there’s room for a further drop.

Why am I not going long? Because today’s modest rebound isn’t enough to change the preceding downtrend structure. The area around $9.566 is the short-term resistance level I’m watching more closely.

I’m bearish this time, with a focus on whether $9.05 holds. If the previous low breaks, I’ll keep an eye on $8.90.

Do you think this AVAX rebound is just a pause along the way, or is it ready to move back above $9.50?

#AVAX $AVAX

ETHUSDT: $2,500 lost—I’m leaning toward further short-term correction!

I’m now more inclined to be bearish on ETH’s latest move.

The price fell from around $2,526.99, reaching a low of $2,393.28, and has now rebounded to around $2,408. But this rebound hasn’t changed the weak short-term structure.

I’m focusing on two levels: $2,425 and $2,393.

The $2,425 area is a level ETH needs to reclaim in the short term. If the price rebounds there but fails to hold, I think ETH will likely test $2,393 again. If it breaks below that low, $2,380 and $2,360 could be tested next.

My futures trading plan:

Direction: Bearish.

Entry range: $2,405–$2,418. You can start with a small short position near the current price.

First target: $2,380.
Second target: $2,360.
Invalidation level: $2,438.

The plan is straightforward: start with 30% of the intended position size. If the price breaks below $2,393 and a 15-minute candle confirms it is holding below that level, consider adding another 20% of the intended position size.

Why am I not bullish? ETH has seen a slight rebound, but the price is still in a recovery phase following a short-term decline and hasn’t reclaimed the $2,425 level. Right now, I’m focused more on whether the bearish structure will continue than on calling a reversal based on a single rebound candle.

I’m leaning toward ETH continuing to dip toward $2,380 in the short term, with $2,360 in focus if it breaks below that.

Do you think ETH will rebound to $2,425 first, or break below $2,393 directly?

$ETH

BNB: Failed to break above $752—I’m bearish on the next move!

Based on today’s price action, I’m leaning toward shorting BNB.

The price has fallen steadily from around $752.18 and is now at $733.34, down 2.04% over the past 24 hours. There have been consecutive bearish 4-hour candles, and the price has dropped below the short-term moving averages, with the rebound losing considerable strength.

I think the key level to watch next is around $730. If this level gives way, BNB could continue lower in search of support. Even if it rebounds, I’ll remain bearish as long as it can’t reclaim and hold above $742.

My futures trading plan:

If the rebound stalls between $734 and $738, I’ll open short positions in stages, starting with 30% of my planned position size.

First target: $726.
Second target: $722.
If the price breaks below $722 on strong volume, I’ll look for around $718 next.

If the price falls below $730.25, then rebounds to $730–$732 but fails to reclaim and hold that range, I may consider adding 20% of my planned position size.

Invalidation level: $744.5. If the price holds above this level, I’ll cancel this short setup.

I’m bearish on BNB this time mainly because it failed to break higher and has since pulled back repeatedly, weakening the short-term structure. $730 is the most important level to watch next. If it decisively breaks below that level, I think further downside is more likely than an immediate reversal higher.

Do you think BNB will break below $730 first, or reclaim $742?

#BNB走势 #BNBUSDT

$BNB

SOLUSDT: Surging to 108.88 on rising volume—I’m still bullish!

Today’s 4-hour SOL candlestick is worth watching. The price has reached 108.73, with a 24-hour high of 108.88, and trading volume has picked up noticeably.

I’m bullish on SOL mainly because, after rebounding from around 104.94, the price has reclaimed several short-term moving averages in a row and is now testing the resistance zone around $109. As long as this surge on rising volume continues, I think SOL has more room to move higher.

My futures trading plan:

Go long between $108.50 and $108.80, initially opening 30% of the planned position.

First target: $109.80.
Second target: $110.50.
If the price breaks above $110.50 on continued rising volume, the next target is $111.50.

If the price decisively breaks above $108.88 and holds there, consider adding another 20% of the planned position.

Invalidation level: $106.80. If the price falls below this level, exit this long trade.

I’m more confident that SOL will continue climbing this time. The key isn’t how much it has risen today, but whether the breakout on rising volume can continue. If it breaks through around $109, the area above $110 will be my next target zone.

Do you think SOL can hold above $109 tonight and continue pushing toward $110.50?

#sol #SOLUSDT
$SOL

ZECUSDT: This rebound isn’t over yet—I’m still bullish

This rebound in ZEC has been impressive. It climbed all the way from around 1120, reaching a high of about 1294 today. Now that it’s back around 1260, I’m focused on whether it can hold near 1250 and whether it can break above 1295 again.

I’m still leaning bullish. Short-term buying has already pushed the price up from its lows. As long as it doesn’t decisively break below 1250, I think ZEC still has a chance to challenge 1295 again. If it breaks through, I’m looking at 1320, then 1350.

My futures trading plan:

Go long in batches around the current price of 1255–1265, starting with a small position. If it gets back above 1275, consider adding to the position.

First target: 1288.
Second target: 1320.
After a strong breakout above 1295, keep an eye on 1350.
Invalidation level: 1235. If it falls below that, I’ll exit this long trade.

I’m choosing to go long this time, not short. ZEC has already made a clear rebound, and I’m looking to catch the next leg up—not chase it after the move is over.

Do you think ZEC can break straight through 1295 this time, or will it first trade sideways between 1250 and 1295?

#zec #ZECUSDTAnalysis

$ZEC

DOGEUSDT rebounds on increased volume; 0.08201 is the next hurdle

I just looked at DOGE’s 4-hour chart, and this rebound is worth watching.

The current price of the DOGEUSDT perpetual contract is around 0.08114, up 2.17% over 24 hours, with an intraday low of 0.07843. The price has moved back above MA(7) at 0.07981 and MA(25) at 0.07954, but MA(99) at 0.08516 still presents resistance overhead.

My plan is clear:

If a 15-minute candle closes above 0.08210, then the price pulls back to 0.08180–0.08210 and holds steady, I’ll consider opening a small long position, with a stop-loss at 0.08080, a first target of 0.08320, and a second target of 0.08450.

If the price can’t break above 0.08201, I won’t chase the rally. If it breaks through and then falls back below 0.08080, I’ll cancel this long trade plan.

I’ll initially limit the position to 20% of my planned capital, keep the maximum loss on any single trade below 0.5% of my account equity, and avoid blindly adding to the position on a short-term pullback.

This time, I’m more focused on whether the high-volume rebound can turn into a sustained breakout than on the size of the price gain alone. Do you think DOGE will break above 0.08201, or pull back first to retest support?

$DOGE

BTCUSDT surges on a spike in volume; the real test is above 83,000

I just took another look at Binance’s 4-hour BTCUSDT chart. This bullish candle on heavy volume is worth watching, but I wouldn’t go long just because of one big green candle.

BTC is currently at 82,986, with an intraday high of 83,331.6. MA(7) is at 81,961.7, MA(25) at 81,779, and MA(99) at 83,029.4. Price has climbed back above the short-term moving averages, but is now testing resistance near MA(99).

My trading plan is clear:

If a 15-minute candle closes above 83,350, then price pulls back to 83,200–83,350 and holds steady, I’ll consider opening a small long position. I’d set a stop-loss at 82,900 after entry, with a first target of 83,800 and a second target of 84,200.

If price spikes and then falls back below 82,900, I’ll cancel the plan to go long and won’t blindly buy into a sharp drop.

As for position sizing, I’ll cap the maximum loss on any single trade at 0.5% of account equity and won’t chase the rally before a breakout is confirmed.

What I’m watching this time isn’t how big this bullish candle is, but whether resistance above 83,000 can truly turn into support. Do you think BTC can keep breaking higher, or will it pull back first?

$BTC

ETHUSDT Perpetual Contract: After losing 2400, watch 2380 and 2355

Looking at ETH’s rebound this time, the high of $2,445.97 has already given way, and the current price is around $2,404.75. The 4-hour MA(7) is near 2400, while the MA(25) is at 2421.58, so overhead resistance has not yet truly cleared.

My plan has two straightforward steps:

Step one: Wait for a 15-minute candle to close below 2398 to confirm that short-term support has given way. If the price then rebounds to 2400–2405 but fails to hold above that range, consider opening a small short position there, with a stop-loss at 2423, a first target of 2380, and a second target of 2355.

Step two: If the price does not break below 2398 and instead reclaims 2422 on increased volume, cancel the short plan. If it goes on to break above 2446, reassess the opportunity to go long.

Position sizing: Limit the maximum loss on any single trade to 0.5% of account equity. At 2380, consider taking partial profits; hold the remaining position for 2355 and move the stop-loss down to protect profits.

This time, I won’t blindly chase shorts around 2400. I’ll wait for support to break and for a rebound to be rejected before acting. Do you think ETH will break below 2398 first, or reclaim 2422?

$ETH

AAVE fell from 162 to around 153. Why did this rebound fail to continue?

A few days ago, when I was watching AAVE/USDT, the price was still around 162, with consecutive rebounds on the 4-hour chart. However, there was still significant resistance overhead near 169.

Looking at it again now, AAVE has returned to around 153. It dipped as low as 146 on October 18, suggesting that the previous rebound did not develop into a sustained uptrend.

I’m now more inclined to view this move as a weak recovery rather than a reversal.

Trading plan: AAVE/USDT perpetual futures, with a short-term bearish bias.

If the price rebounds but meets resistance in the 153–155 range, I’ll consider opening a small short position, with an initial target of 150, followed by 146, and a stop-loss at 157.5.

If the price regains and holds above 157.5, I’ll cancel my short-term bearish plan.

I’ll keep the position size below 10% of my total capital, with the risk on any single trade capped at 1% of my total capital.

Do you think AAVE will retest 146 this time, or reclaim 155 first?

$AAVE

TIA falls below 0.61; I’m now paying closer attention to buying support below

The current price of the TIA/USDT perpetual contract is around 0.6059, down 8.64% over the past 24 hours. On the 4-hour chart, the price has fallen steadily from around 0.769 and has now dropped below the MA7 at 0.6431 and the MA25 at 0.6264, showing clear short-term weakness.

My view: bearish for now; no rush to buy the dip.

Trading plan:

If the 4-hour candle closes decisively below 0.6048 and trading volume continues to increase, I’ll consider opening a small short position. The reference entry range is 0.6030–0.6040, with a first target of 0.5900, a second target of 0.5750, and a stop-loss above 0.6170.

If the price climbs back above 0.6264, I’ll cancel this short-selling plan and reassess the market structure.

I’ll limit the maximum loss on any single trade to within 1% of my total capital, and won’t blindly add to my position just because the price keeps falling.

Do you think TIA will continue to probe lower, or will strong buying support emerge around 0.60? I’ll keep an eye on price and volume movements at this level.

$TIA

When market sentiment weakens, I first look at whether POL can hold key support.

Today, I saw market sentiment turn negative in Binance’s trending topics, so I took another look at the 4-hour chart for the POL/USDT perpetual contract.

POL is currently around 0.09224, with the MA(7) at 0.09291 and the MA(25) at 0.09470. The price is still below the short-term moving averages. The recent low of 0.09102 is the level I’ll be watching closely next.

My view: the short-term outlook is bearish, and there is no clear reversal signal yet.

Trading plan:

If the 4-hour candle closes decisively below 0.0910, then rebounds to 0.0910–0.0915 but fails to reclaim that zone, I’ll consider opening a small short position. My first target is 0.0900, the second is 0.0888, and I’ll set a stop-loss above 0.0934.

If the price moves back above 0.0943 and holds, I’ll cancel this bearish plan rather than stubbornly fight the market.

I’ll keep the maximum loss on any single trade below 1% of my total capital, and won’t blindly add to my position just because the price keeps falling.

Do you think POL is building strength near the lows, or is the weak structure still intact?

$POL

How far can AAVE’s rebound go? I’m paying closer attention to how strongly it recovers after finding support at $154.

AAVE/USDT perpetual, reference price: 156.17 USDT.

My view on AAVE today is short-term bullish: I’m looking to trade a bounce off support, not to label this recovery a trend reversal.

Based on recent price action, AAVE pulled back from above $157 in the previous session, reaching a low of around $153.9 before returning to near $156 today. The $154 area is a short-term support level worth watching. Whether the price can hold here will determine if the rebound has room to continue.

My plan:

Direction: Short-term bullish
Entry range: 155.80–156.50 USDT
First target: 159.50 USDT
Second target: 162.00 USDT
Stop loss: 153.70 USDT

Assuming an entry near 156.20 USDT, the potential reward-to-risk ratio is about 1.3:1 at the first target and about 2.3:1 at the second. If the first target is reached, I’ll consider reducing my position and protecting the remainder.

For position sizing, I’ll keep the initial position below half of my planned size. The maximum loss on a single trade will not exceed 1% of my account equity. I’ll calculate the actual position size based on the stop-loss distance, without using my full balance or high leverage.

The key to this trade isn’t guessing the bottom, but watching whether the bounce off support can continue. If the price breaks below $154 and keeps weakening, the rebound thesis will need to be reassessed. If it moves up toward $159.50, I’ll watch trading volume and whether buyers continue to step in.

What do you think about AAVE? Does this look more like a bounce off support or a recovery before another leg down?

$AAVE

ZEC has rebounded to the moving-average resistance zone, but I’m not rushing to turn bullish yet

I took another look at the 4-hour chart for the ZEC/USDT perpetual contract. The price has rebounded from around 1130.79 and is currently about 1170.22, but MA7 is at 1181.64 and MA25 is at 1186.01, with both moving averages still overhead.

In my view, this looks more like a recovery after the decline; it’s too early to confirm a trend reversal.

My plan:

If the price climbs back above 1182–1186 on increased volume and holds that level on a retest, I’ll consider the rebound sustained. I’ll look first at around 1200, then watch the 1220 area.

If the price falls back below 1157, I’ll be alert to the rebound losing strength. If it drops below 1130.79, I’ll need to reassess the current recovery thesis.

I’d rather wait for confirmation in the chart structure than try to catch the bottom just because the price has fallen a lot.

What do you think—can ZEC reclaim its moving averages, or will it continue to test lower levels?

$ZEC

A whale withdraws 2.45 million ONDO—I’m more focused on whether $0.45 can hold

Today I noticed an on-chain move: a wallet that had been steadily building positions in altcoins withdrew around 2.455 million ONDO from Binance, worth approximately $1.14 million.

A withdrawal alone isn’t enough to call this a bullish signal, but it’s a fund movement worth keeping an eye on.

Looking at the short-term ONDO/USDT structure, the price is around $0.45, right near a key moving-average zone. $0.47 is the resistance level I’ll be watching next, but it’s too early to say the trend has reversed.

My trading plan:

If the price gets back above $0.47 with volume confirmation, I’ll watch to see whether it can test $0.48 next.

If support around $0.45 fails, I’ll watch how price holds in the $0.43 area. If that level breaks, the short-term rebound thesis will need to be reassessed.

I’m not going to chase a rally just because of a whale’s move. On-chain fund flows are only a clue—the key is whether price provides confirmation.

What do you think is more worth watching with this ONDO withdrawal: the fund movement itself, or whether price can break above $0.47 next?

$ONDO