吕不凡BitExtr

BTC daily MACD price is about to hit a three-part top divergence: bearish!

Now the smaller timeframes are showing a top divergence as well, so if you want to go short, entering at the current price of 81200 should give you about 2000 points of space without much issue.

Of course, if you're looking to hold long, this is a decent entry point; just keep an eye on your leverage.

As for long-term targets, I'm eyeing 69k as my first target. If you can't hold on during the ride, feel free to exit early and wish me luck!

Running an errand at the hospital
No time to monitor the chart—this one doesn’t seem very stable, so I’m stepping out first

I’ll open an empty position on the big pancake and try it
6.4 is a key level. Last month the price kept washing/absorbing at the lows

What I can do right now is to gamble while keeping the risk-reward ratio as low as possible—just so it’s worth it for the position I’m holding.

I’m a full-time trader
but I spend more time on life

Cut down on frequent trading—just do trend swing trades
or even long-term investing. Earning $2,000 a month is already about 14,000 RMB, which surpasses many ordinary people

Besides, what if you earn $400,000 a month? I only trade during the time periods that fit me. My energy should go into life, not just the charts 🤪🤪

Big pancake is out of the game, it doesn’t affect my gold long positions

4115 has already been running; I’ll wait four hours. If we see a divergence top on the higher time frame and a divergence top on the hourly timeframe signal, I’ll consider going short……

My feel lately has been way too crazy too—I don’t know how your feel has been recently. Anyway, mine’s still okay, haha 😂

Why don’t I touch US stocks or Korean stocks?

This is a great question.

We’re just the chives the big players want to cut—nothing more.

Recently, many platforms have listed these assets. At the beginning, they were extremely hot—pretty much anything you bought would go up.

At first, I didn’t believe it would rise. But then all kinds of whispers started coming in: “It’s about to take off!” They then pushed the price up to a level you couldn’t imagine. And that’s when the nightmare began.

When you finally liquidate the spot assets in the crypto market to cash out and exchange into US stocks and Korean stocks—because you believe they will still “take off.”

Now it’s a bear market. Everyone has bought a lot of spot assets. Some people got trapped buying a bit early. Others have been waiting for the bottom to deploy.

But a bear market is exactly like that: there’s no real momentum. Any rebound turns into a fall, over and over again—whipsawing everyone. Nobody has the patience left.

Then one day, in US stocks and Korean stocks, you saw a glimmer of hope—because it was supposedly “about to take off.” So you poured the money that you originally allocated for the bear market in crypto into it.

Now, with the Korean stock market hitting a trading halt and US stocks starting to slide as well, regret is already too late—because the money is gone.

In the end, the capitalists profited hugely. The bottom of the crypto bear market is coming right up, and they went all-in.

You can only watch, with nothing you can do—regretting the decision you made back then. A seed remains in your heart: in the next bear market, I’ll save up enough money to deploy—never again will I fall for it.

After SNDK was listed on the platform, it rose from 500 to 2400—how many people went in? Now it’s down to 1000. How many have been burned? Wait until the bottom of the crypto market arrives—you’ll have no money left.

In the end, you go work in a factory tightening screws, while others comfortably buy at the bottom and wait for the bull market to explode. After one cycle passes, you’re still you—you’re still tightening screws.

Bear market conditions are inherently sluggish. If you see a market sentiment that’s surging upward, be careful—it might be the big players trying to trick you into handing over the chips you hold.

All of this is a conspiracy—waiting for you to take the bait.

And at times like this, it’s often not far from the bear market bottom…

If the big pie is still at this position tomorrow,
I might open a long again—I want to get me stopped, but no way 🙅

Next, I will focus on only two things

First, do trading well
In this market, it's all about results
As long as you make money, you'll gain many insincere supporters

Second, build the community well
I've always believed that an individual's ability is limited
Only a group of people can go further
A community is the easiest place to filter out those who truly want to walk side by side with you

Most of the expectations for a bullish move can be met
Haven’t been wrong all along—luck is also pretty good

From catching it below 4000 and reaching 4180
The second time, from 4030 and getting 4130—each result has been good

Now there’s a four-hour structure chart divergence
The recommended entry is 4030–4020; the system’s suggested defense level is 3990. I followed this one—do you see where it went?

This is a candlestick pattern diagram of the big pancake on the daily chart
Once you’ve seen this, you’ll know why I decided to run

So greedy—one snake swallowed an elephant.
This big-bread play is really too overconfident.
I’m running away for now.

Looking back at this market:
The first time, I bought the dip at 59,000, and it went up to 65,000.
When it pulled back and broke below 63,000, I exited.
The second time, from 63,000, I continued reducing positions while aiming for 68,000.
It peaked at 67,000, but I still didn’t leave; even after it fell to 64,000, I added more and kept going.
Now it’s down to 63,000—I regret it and I exited.

This time I lost. Completely over.

Da bing has really been messing with my mindset lately
It’s not that I haven’t been updating—it’s just that I straight-up don’t dare to check my positions

Now gold is 880 yuan per gram
I bought a Panlong gourd in advance and waited for it to fall below 700 yuan
I'm planning to deploy 30% of the position; the remaining 70% will contribute to crypto

BitMart Operation Shutdown Notice
If you are currently trading on BitMart, please be sure to complete asset transfers before 26 August 2026. If you have opened a U card, please use it as soon as possible—remember this

Important milestones:
• 26 July 2026 01:30 (UTC): Gradually stop new user registrations, deposits, and new order submissions.
• 26 August 2026 01:00 (UTC): Completely stop trading services such as spot and futures/derivatives.
• 31 January 2027 15:59 (UTC): The platform officially ceases operations.

What the heck is this doggo DOGE on?
Can’t be peaceful on a big weekend—straight up exploded by 5 points.

Luckily I had already laid out my long positions, haha. If the daily chart closes above 0.73, then there’s going to be some good action to watch over the next stretch.

My take is: whether it goes up or down, for me it’s still a good thing. If it goes up, there’s a chance for the “morning star.” If it goes down, there’s a chance for a three-stage bottom divergence. At this point, it all comes down to one word: patience.

We’re not trading the market—we’re trading our own inner state.
———— Lü Bufan, BitExtr

I drank too much last night, and I’m feeling unwell this morning.

I’m at the hospital getting an IV drip. Just now I checked the chart on my phone.

The Big Pie daily structure: the 8:00 AM line has closed this morning, with support around the 642,000-share K-line. The closing price is at 641,000. If this were a trading day, I definitely would have exited. Let’s see how it repairs over the weekend these two days.

My state of mind isn’t great. Once this order is finished and the layout is done, the short positions will be set up—I need to rest properly. I also have another dog that I’ve been holding onto; I forgot to tell you. Right now we’re in a daily bullish divergence at the bottom. If it keeps falling, there’s a probability of a three-stage bottom divergence.

The Final Dance of the Big Cake
You have to go for it—if this wave of the daily chart support can’t hold, don’t play anymore
We’ve already added 64,000, promise me we’ll get off the hook together!

Is this big pancake going to lose, right?
It seems like the light in my eyes is getting dimmer.

Wait for me to get this big win to the top this time.
Then I’m going to short it hard. The current 6.5 level is still pretty tough.

It’s only dropped a few hundred points, and bullish opportunities have already appeared below. There’s bearish divergence on the 15-minute and 1-hour charts at the bottom. Now the price has moved back above the 4-hour moving average support.

If this move can’t hold, it’ll take a bit more time before it reaches my 68,000 level. I’ve set the orders to breakeven; the rest is up to time.

Over the past few days, my sleep time has basically stayed at 3–5 hours.

We rode this round of the market from 58,000 onward by rolling positions; after carefully calculating, it’s been around 20-plus days—so hard to endure.

This time, Bitcoin didn’t drop as smoothly as it did the last time when we went short from 80,000. I don’t know what went wrong…