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From the news flow perspective, the U.S. spot BTC ETF saw large net inflows last week; institutional capital continues to build positions, providing medium- to long-term support for price action. Meanwhile, a cold-wallet security incident triggered market sentiment fluctuations, temporarily suppressing the bulls’ breakout strength. On the macro level, the market is waiting for subsequent inflation-related signals; overall, capital is relatively cautious, and the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is intensifying.

Technically, BTC is currently maintaining a range-bound consolidation pattern. In the short term, the key support is $63,600, while the first major resistance is $65,500. The RSI is in a neutral range, with balanced momentum between bulls and bears. Trading volume has contracted somewhat, indicating a typical range-bound “grinding” trend. Only if price holds above the resistance will the bulls have a chance to open up upside space; if support is effectively broken, there could be further downside. The short-term approach is to treat it as a range: wait for a breakout with increased volume before following the move; in a choppy market, don’t chase rallies or sell into dips.

Recommendation: Go long around 63,500–63,000, targeting 68,000.

The current market sees intensifying long-vs-short competition. At the macro level, the U.S. economy’s data shows strong resilience; market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have been postponed again. Treasury yields have been oscillating upward, continuing to weigh on the valuations of crypto assets. Geopolitical risks remain a persistent source of disruption, keeping market risk appetite subdued and with a strong wait-and-see sentiment. Spot ETF inflows have slowed down; in the short term, there is insufficient incremental capital. However, medium- to long-term support is still in place: MicroStrategy continues to buy more on dips, and the supply scarcity created by the halving provides bottom support. Funds are currently waiting for the subsequent inflation data and the Fed’s remarks to guide the direction.

BTC remains in a range-bound consolidation. In the short term, key support lies at $62,800–$63,100; resistance is located at $64,700–$65,100. The daily price action is moving between moving averages, while the Bollinger Bands continue to tighten and a breakout window is gradually approaching. RSI is in a neutral range, with long and short momentum in balance. Trading volume remains weak, making it difficult to trigger a one-direction move. If price breaks out and holds above resistance with increased volume, the upside rebound potential may open up; if support in the $62,800–$63,100 area is broken effectively, further pullback and a retest of the downside support are likely.

Recommendation: Go long near 63,200–62,800, target 65,000.

Market dynamics: a mix of bullish and bearish forces. At the macro level, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to disrupt risk appetite, compounded by periodic outflows from U.S. spot ETFs, which temporarily suppresses BTC’s upside momentum. However, the medium- to long-term institutional allocation rationale remains intact. Companies such as MicroStrategy continue to accumulate Bitcoin, and combined with the post-halving scarcity effect, this supports the value at the bottom. The market is waiting for signals from the Federal Reserve; changes in rate-cut expectations will directly affect the valuation of crypto assets. In the short term, sentiment is heavy with cautious waiting, and volatility correspondingly increases.

Technical outlook: BTC remains in a sideways range. Near-term support is concentrated at $62,800–$63,000. The primary resistance overhead is at $64,600–$65,000. The daily price is under pressure from the medium-term moving average; the RSI is in a neutral range, and bullish and bearish momentum is relatively balanced. If the price breaks above and holds the resistance level on higher volume, the upside for the rebound may open further. If support in the range is convincingly broken, it would likely trigger a deeper pullback.

Recommendation: Long near 62,500–62,000, target 65,000.

BTC is currently within the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision window. Market speculation over the direction of rates has intermittently suppressed the performance of risk assets. Spot ETF flows show repeated fluctuations: after a brief period of net inflows earlier on, they have turned to outflows again, and institutional investors remain relatively cautious. On-chain long-term holders exhibit strong portfolio resilience; there has been no large-scale panic selling, providing underlying support to coin prices. The advancement of regulatory bills has lagged behind expectations. In the short term, there is a lack of major positive catalysts, but the market still holds expectations for subsequent compliance-driven implementation. Macros and regulation are the main sources of disruption. Overall, the bigger picture remains cautiously bullish, and the market is waiting for a directional choice after the macro “shoe” drops.

Since completing a rebound off the prior low, BTC has been maintaining a range-bound consolidation pattern. Lows continue to rise, and the bullish structure has not yet been broken. In the near term, the key support is at $64,200–$64,500. This level is the swing point for the strength of the current rebound: holding it keeps the uptrend intact. The first resistance zone is $65,600–$66,000. Only if price can stay above this area can it further challenge the $67,000 strong overhead resistance. The daily RSI is in a neutral range with no clear overbought or oversold signals. MACD maintains a bullish signal, while trading volume has not expanded meaningfully, which limits the upside of the rebound. Strategically, the focus is on buying on pullbacks at lower levels.

Recommendation: Go long around 63,500–63,000, target 68,000.

The macro market continues to wait for the Fed’s policy guidance. As inflation data cools, expectations for rate cuts have warmed again, indirectly benefiting crypto assets. Spot ETF inflows are intermittent; long-term holders have locked in their chips, and on-chain large sell pressure has somewhat eased. However, global regulatory news repeatedly stirs market sentiment. In the short term, capital deployment is relatively cautious. Big rallies lack sustained catalysts, and even during declines, there are bottom-buyers absorbing. Overall, the market remains in a range-bound consolidation.

BTC has recently been trading in a range. On the daily chart, price is supported by the medium- to long-term moving averages, while key resistance levels overhead continue to face pressure. On the 4-hour timeframe, prices have been swinging back and forth; indicators are in a neutral range, with relative balance between long and short forces. The bidding strength in the key support zone below is relatively strong. Provided pullbacks do not break down effectively, the trend is more tilted toward repair and rebound. In the short term, don’t chase—wait for the price to pull back to the support area to set up positions accordingly. Only if price breaks above resistance will upside room open further. Manage positions well, set stop-losses strictly, and avoid risks brought by range breakdowns.

Recommendation: Go long near 64000–63500, target 68000.

In the near term, market long and short factors are interwoven. On the positive side, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has ended eight weeks of outflows, with net inflows continuing for multiple days. Institutional capital is gradually returning, long-term holders’ positions remain stable, and on-chain selling pressure keeps weakening, providing bottom support for the coin price. On the negative side, geopolitical tensions have pushed up oil prices. Rising inflation expectations curb risk appetite. The Fed’s end-of-month policy meeting remains uncertain, and concerns that interest rates will stay high have not eased. In addition, exchange stablecoin reserves continue to decline, limiting the strength of short-term spot buying and capping the rebound’s height. Overall, the Fear & Greed Index remains in the fear zone, and sentiment recovery is progressing slowly.

BTC is currently consolidating in the $64,500–$65,000 range. The daily chart has held above the 200-week moving average, a long-term key support level. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have narrowed, and price is trading above the mid-band; short-term bullish momentum is slowing. Resistance at $65,600 is strong—only a breakout with increased volume can open up upward space. Support at $63,800–$64,000 is important for accumulation on dips; if price falls back under pressure, this zone becomes a key area. The MACD indicator shows declining bullish momentum; in the short term, it is likely to continue wide-range consolidation. A directional trend will require a convergence of capital and developments in the news cycle. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended not to chase price higher. Instead, buy in batches on pullbacks toward support, and strictly manage risk.

Recommendation: Go long near 64,500–64,000, target 68,000.

Bought the upside move and cashed out at around 1920 with the ETH long entry at 1877—captured nearly 50 points of upside!

In the news flow, U.S. inflation data cooled, boosting expectations for rate cuts. Treasury yields fell, which is favorable for crypto growth assets. During the day, a large number of short liquidations boosted this rally. Total Ethereum staking remains stable, and the Layer-2 and RWA ecosystem continues to expand, providing solid long-term value support. However, spot ETH ETFs saw a slight outflow, institutions trimmed positions on the rise, and funds also modestly rotated into BTC, limiting the upside. There is no major regulatory negative at present.

Technically, near-term strong resistance is at $1,940. Only if the price holds above this level can upside momentum open up. Key support lies at $1,860; a break below would likely lead to a retest of the $1,800 area. On the daily chart, bullish MACD momentum is still present. RSI is approaching the overbought zone, and in the short term there may be a need for pullback and correction. Short-term moving averages provide support across the board, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upward. Overall, the market is biased to the upside and range-bound, but it is not advisable to chase longs at high levels. Instead, wait for a pullback to support before going long, and pay close attention to whether resistance at $1,940 breaks out with increased volume.

Recommendation: Go long around 1,900–1,880, target 2,000.

Long positions seize again; the trend is just like this—cycling on and on, grasp the 2700-point upside potential!

On the news front, softer-than-expected U.S. economic data strengthened expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, driving U.S. Treasury yields lower. This is directly beneficial for growth-oriented crypto assets such as Ethereum. Short sellers’ positions were concentratedly liquidated, which pushed the coin price up rapidly, while the overall leverage long positions across the market steadily increased. In terms of fundamentals, Ethereum’s total staking volume remains stable, the circulating supply continues to shrink, and the steady rise of RWA tokenization along with the growing activity in the Layer-2 ecosystem provides solid long-term value support. Meanwhile, the outflow pace of U.S. spot ETH ETFs has slowed significantly; institutional wait-and-see sentiment has weakened, there is no sudden regulatory negative news, and overall funds appear to be tilted toward a trade focused on a rebound.

Technically, ETH is currently trading within a short-term consolidation range of $1,780–$1,910. Strong resistance lies at $1,900–$1,910 above; only by holding above this zone can it open up further upside space. The key support below is $1,780. On the daily chart, RSI is approaching the overbought area, suggesting a need for a short-term pullback. MACD’s bullish red histogram bars continue to expand, short-term moving averages have all turned into support, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upward. Current rebound momentum is sufficient, but the short-term market still needs some correction; it’s not advisable to chase gains blindly. A better approach is to wait for a pullback to support levels before positioning, and closely monitor the strength of any breakout above resistance.

In terms of market sentiment, weaker-than-expected nonfarm payroll data further strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve will turn more dovish. U.S. Treasury yields fell, which is broadly supportive of valuation for crypto risk assets. Previously, the U.S. spot BTC ETF saw consecutive outflows, but the fund flows began to reverse repeatedly; in the short term, there were modest redemptions. Institutions have entered a phase of taking profits intermittently. During the day, the market saw a large-scale liquidation of short positions: massive short-covering directly pushed up the price of Bitcoin. The long-term deflationary narrative brought by the Bitcoin halving has been solidified. On-chain, whale holdings have not been reduced. Geopolitical disruptions have slightly eased at the margin. The market panic index has shown some recovery. In the short term, capital is mainly focused on short-term trading and tactical positioning.

From a technical perspective, BTC’s key resistance zone in the near term is $65,100–$65,500. Strong support lies at $62,800. Only by holding above $65,500 can it open up room for the next leg higher. The daily RSI has entered the overbought range, suggesting a need for a short-term pullback. The MACD bullish momentum has started to turn upward. Short-term moving averages have all formed support, and the upper band of the Bollinger Bands is facing clear pressure. Currently, the market is in a high-level consolidation phase after a rebound. It is not advisable to chase prices blindly; instead, wait for a breakout on increased volume or a pullback to confirm support before positioning.

Recommendation: Go long around 64,300–63,800, target 70,000.

The long positions at 62,000 were taken down again. The CPI rally in the evening was also a success, securing gains. With the nearly 3,000-point upside potential again, how much have you managed to capture?

Long order 63400 was also successfully secured; exited at 63000—captured nearly 400 points of upside!

As of July 14, 2026, ETH’s spot price has been trading in a narrow range around $1,755, with a slight downward move over the past 24 hours. The overall trend is weaker than BTC and is in a high-level consolidation phase after a rebound, with market participants showing strong wait-and-see sentiment; a directional breakout still requires a catalyst from macroeconomic data.

On the news front, the market remains focused on U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s rate expectations. U.S. Treasury yields continue to fluctuate slightly, continuously suppressing the performance of growth-oriented crypto assets. Compared with Bitcoin, ETH has higher volatility, and the pressure from capital rotation is more pronounced. From a fundamentals perspective, the Ethereum RWA (real-world asset) tokenization ecosystem continues to expand. The network-wide staking ratio remains stable at around 30%, while the circulating supply continues to tighten, providing long-term support. Meanwhile, the outflow pace of U.S. spot ETH ETF capital has slowed; institutions have not withdrawn on a large scale. There are no sudden regulatory negative shocks in the industry. Activity on the Layer-2 networks is steadily improving, strengthening the underlying value logic of Ethereum. In the short term, the main focus remains sideways consolidation and washout.

On the technical side, ETH’s short-term trading range is locked at $1,720–$1,830. Strong resistance lies at $1,790–$1,830; only after it holds above this range can a rebound rally be restarted. The key support is at $1,720, and a sustained breakdown would likely trigger another pullback toward the $1,680 level. On the daily chart, RSI is in a neutral-to-slightly-weak range. MACD bullish momentum is gradually fading, short-term moving averages are forming suppression, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing as the band width tightens, and volatility continues to decrease. Currently, the market is in an energy-accumulation consolidation phase with no clear single-direction trend. In terms of strategy, position cautiously around the box’s high and low points, and wait for a breakout signal with increased volume.

The current BTC spot price is trading near $61,800. At the end of the short-term phase, a phased rebound has started, with choppy pullbacks overall, and the market is showing an intensifying long-versus-short standoff. Below, we break down the price-action logic from both the news and technical perspectives.

On the news front, the core trigger for this round of decline is the escalation of the Middle East geopolitical situation, which caused a temporary outflow of safe-haven capital from the crypto market. In addition, the U.S. spot ETF market saw renewed phase-based redemptions earlier on, which weakened near-term institutional buying momentum. Meanwhile, the leveraged market saw concentrated liquidations, further amplifying downside volatility. However, long-term support remains solid. Top holdings-focused institutions such as Strategy are continuing to increase their BTC positions, and there has been no large-scale selloff. At the same time, the Federal Reserve’s slightly dovish tone has lowered expectations for further rate hikes, providing a macro backstop for coin prices. Overall, the market is in a sentiment-repair phase.

From a technical standpoint, the daily chart has formed a bearish “Three Black Crows” pattern—three consecutive bearish candles—followed by a volume-supported breakdown below the short-term key support at $62,500. The Bollinger Band midline has turned into a strong resistance level. The MACD histogram red bars have shrunk rapidly, indicating that bullish momentum has clearly weakened. On the four-hour chart, the RSI has fallen back into a neutral range, with no oversold signal yet. Near-term support is likely to be the $61,000–$61,500 congestion zone. If this area holds, price action will likely shift into low-level range consolidation. If there is a sustained break below it, the market may further test the psychological $60,000 level. The overall trend remains a rebound/repair phase following the decline, and it has not yet reversed into a long-term ranging structure. In terms of trading, you should focus on volume dynamics and whether key support levels hold or break.

Recommendation: Go long near $61,500–$61,000, target $63,000. If it breaks out, look toward $65,000.

Current BTC price is consolidating and ranging around the $63,000 area. Overall market action is largely driven by macro news, and the technical picture is in a tug-of-war between long and short positions after an oversold rebound. On the news front, U.S. nonfarm payrolls came in below expectations, and the Fed’s more dovish remarks have weighed on rate-hike expectations. The dollar and Treasury yields have fallen back, providing liquidity support to crypto assets. Spot ETFs have ended their long streak of net outflows, and there has been a phase of bargain-hunting inflows. The Strategy continues to steadily increase its BTC holdings, helping to underpin the mid-to-long-term buying confidence. However, the market is still a zero-sum game within existing liquidity: institutional participation overall remains weak, and when combined with geopolitical disturbances, upside momentum is continually constrained. Market sentiment stays cautious.

Technically, at the daily level, BTC has successfully held above the 20-day moving average. The Bollinger middle band around $61,900 acts as strong near-term support. As long as support holds, the rebound structure remains intact. The first resistance overhead is concentrated in the $64,000–$65,500 trapped-pressure zone; only a breakout with rising volume can open up further upside room. On the 4-hour chart, bullish momentum is gradually fading. The RSI has returned to a neutral range. The current low-volume pullback is a benign shakeout and has not broken the short-term upward channel. The medium-term daily trend is still capped below the 50-day moving average. This move is only a technical repair, not a complete reversal of the downtrend. Going forward, focus on trading volume and ETF fund flows. In the short term, the range-trading approach is preferred, and you should not blindly chase rallies or panic-sell.

Recommendation: Go long around $63,000–$62,600, target $65,000.

The current BTC spot price remains around $62,600, consolidating in a range. This round of oversold rebound has entered a short-term pause, with price action mainly driven by macro headlines, while the technical picture is in a critical zone of the long-versus-short battle.

On the news front, US non-farm payrolls came in below expectations. Market rate-cut expectations have edged up slightly, and the dollar and US Treasury yields have pulled back, providing liquidity support for risk assets like Bitcoin. Spot ETFs ended their streak of net outflows and showed signs of some dip-buying capital at a temporary stage. The Strategy continues its long-term accumulation pace, helping to bolster medium- to long-term confidence in the market. However, overall institutional capital inflow has fallen significantly compared with last year, and the market shows a clear “stock-on-stock” battle for liquidity. Combined with slight de-risking and selling by a few large holders, near-term upside momentum is constrained, and market sentiment remains generally cautious.

From a technical perspective, on the daily chart BTC holds above the 20-day moving average. The Bollinger Band middle line at $61,900 is a strong support level. As long as this support holds, the rebound structure remains intact. The first resistance above is concentrated in the $64,000–$65,500 trapped-holder range, and a breakout with increased volume is needed to open up further upside space. On the 4-hour chart, bullish momentum has somewhat weakened. The RSI has returned to a neutral range. The current pullback on shrinking volume is a healthy washout and has not broken the short-term uptrend channel. Overall, the market is mainly range-bound and basing. For the short term, it’s not advisable to chase rallies blindly. Going forward, focus on monitoring trading volume and changes in ETF fund flows to gauge direction.

Recommendation: Go long around 62,800–62,500, target 65,000.

News flow is a mix of bulls and bears. On the positive side: U.S. June non-farm payrolls came in below expectations, slightly boosting market rate-cut expectations; a weaker U.S. dollar lifted risk assets, temporarily easing liquidity pressure in the crypto market. In Japan, a crypto regulatory bill has been passed, paving the way for a domestic BTC ETF, with a long-term expectation of incremental capital inflows. On the downside: bearish factors are more pronounced—U.S. spot ETF continues to see large net outflows, and institutional risk-off sentiment from staged de-risking has not fully dissipated. Strategy slightly reduced its BTC holdings, breaking the long-term “accumulate and hold” expectation; meanwhile, sustained capital diversion toward the AI sector has kept new-buy interest tepid. Ongoing expectations of large Mt. Gox trustee transfers continue to weigh on market confidence, so overall liquidity remains cautious.

Technically: on the daily chart, after a selloff the market is in a repair phase. Price remains under pressure below the 30-day moving average. The medium-term bearish trend has not been reversed, but bearish MACD momentum appears to be exhausted, and there are early signs of a bullish cross. RSI has moved away from deep oversold conditions, suggesting the basis for a rebound. On the 4-hour timeframe, short-term moving averages have turned and crossed bullishly (golden cross). Short-term bias is somewhat bullish. The first resistance zone is 64,000–64,700, where trapped positions are concentrated; without volume expansion, a breakout here is likely to spike and then fade. The key support below is the 62,000 level—the lifeline of this rebound. If a body closes below it, the rebound would be considered over and the market would likely retest the 58,000 lows. Bollinger Bands continue to tighten and volatility is narrowing. In the near term, expect range-bound consolidation. Without a volume-supported breakout, it’s not advisable to chase. In terms of trading, look to buy near support and take short positions near resistance, strictly manage leverage risk, and wait for a volume-confirmed breakdown to position accordingly.

Recommendation: go long around 62,500–62,000, target 65,000.

Buy to the break and collect the profits; the trend is just like this!