Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!

Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.

When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.

First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.

Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.

Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.

Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.

Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.

Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.

Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.

Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.

Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.

These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.

The largest AI sector merger in history is coming soon!

FET, AGIX, and OCEAN will merge in May to create $ASI, the Super Artificial Intelligence Alliance. The merger is scheduled to be officially launched on May 24, with a total value of up to $7.5 billion!

The merger exchange ratio is as follows:

FET: ASI = 1:1
AGIX: ASI = 0.4333:1
OCEAN: SAI = 0.4332:1

This merger will become a milestone in the field of artificial intelligence. ASI will become the leader of the artificial intelligence sector, providing investors with a broader narrative space and hype opportunities. It is worth mentioning that the popularity of AI continues to rise this year, and this merger will surely attract huge attention and response from the market!

If you are interested in runes, here are ten details:

The rune was minted at 840,000, and now it is 839,968. In theory, there are 320 minutes left, which is around 10:30 am (UTC+8). Of course, there may be a deviation of ±2 hours in reality, which is not uncommon in the Bitcoin blockchain.

Based on the experience of being beaten by PVP for a long time, if you buy pre-minted NFT runes now in the hope of getting airdrops (such as in the BTC version of magic eden), the cost-effectiveness is low and the loss rate is high. At this time, the information gap is already very small.

In fact, in addition to being affected by the expectations of the US stock market, this time the rebound of Bitcoin may also have many people preparing bullets to grab runes. After all, there will always be a situation where shovels are sold out during the gold rush.

There are so many scientists preparing for this battle, which has led to fierce competition for gas fees. This is completely different from when Ordi was minted that year - this time many investments are out of revenge.

Bitcoin miners: "Thank you very much for the runes." The sharp drop in miners' income was originally a headache, but the BTC fee paid when minting runes actually gave miners a "super-large year-end bonus after a pay cut".

Exchanges will definitely list runes. This is determined by KPI - anything popular and obscure is considered a high-quality asset, and the listing channel will be opened.

However, since runes are competitors to the BRC-20 Ordi system, especially when it comes to the UTXO model, the listing wallet departments of top exchanges may not be able to complete the development in the first time, and the web3 departments that can support it immediately are already commendable. The possibility of fast listing is not great.

After the halving, some mining machines may not be able to pay the electricity bill and shut down, so the computing power may drop significantly near the halving block, resulting in a slowdown in the block speed. The last halving slowed the block speed by 30% in about 2 weeks (it will slowly recover through difficulty adjustment later). This time, the slowdown is expected to be similar.

The possibility of the core Bitcoin developers coming forward to accuse is also relatively small, because the debate about Ordi has already happened before, and there is no need to stir up the debate again. I am also a Bitcoin fundamentalist, but I have an open attitude towards $Ordi and $Runes.
In the first few days, the cost of casting was there, and scientists adopted a cautious strategy. But in the next 1 to 2 weeks, there may be a [difficult period of adjustment of the chain's own computing power] and [a window period of difficulty in listing coins on major exchanges], coupled with [a small correction of Bitcoin], and it is likely that there will be a golden opportunity for runes in the secondary market. If you don't want to compete with scientists, gods, and mining pool users, then this opportunity is worth paying attention to.

Here are a few passwords that may bring huge wealth in the future💥

But remember, success is not achieved overnight. You may experience multiple ups and downs. Whether you can get these multiples depends on whether you can persist! ⚡️

Value Coins: SUI, CKB, W

SUI: Recently announced in-depth cooperation with ByteDance!
CKB: Influenced by the RGB++ ecosystem, it has become the best bridge connecting BTC and Nervos ecosystems.
W: Wormhole has a prominent position in the cross-chain bridge ecosystem and cannot be ignored.
AI: AGIX

AGIX=AI +X, which is in line with the development trend of Web3, so it is worth considering bottom-fishing.

Restaking: PENDLE, ETHFI

PENDLE and ETHFI are cost-effective options in this field. Although their recent declines are relatively small, in the long run, whether the news of Ethereum spot ETF is passed or not, it is likely to prompt them to maintain an upward trend.

RWA: ONDO, MKR

As an intermediary token connecting real-world assets with virtual assets, the leaders of the RWA track should currently be ONDO and MKR.

ONDO has reached a partnership with BlackRock Fund, so it has a certain reputation in the RWA field.
MKR is a long-established DeFi organization that has been repurchasing its own tokens, so it has a certain bargain hunting value.
Memecoin: SLERF, BOME

SLERF's locked LP and continuously deflationary economic model have made the market increasingly expectant of it, and it has now recovered from a low of around $0.22 to about $0.35.

BOME is the leading Memecoin in the SOL ecosystem. Compared with projects such as WIF, it has a lower price and relatively greater bargain hunting value.

BTC production cuts have been successful. Starting today, the market will enter a new era after production cuts. This era also marks the start of a big bull market. Let us resist panic and uncertainty together.

BTC:
Yesterday, the price rebounded from 60,000 to a high of around 65,400, indicating that the 60,000-730 range of volatile market conditions has arrived as expected; today, the weekend, the market is likely to be mainly adjusted. From the 4-hour K-line chart, the callback is mainly the lower shadow, and a small-level head and shoulders bottom pattern appears, indicating that the weekend market may fluctuate upward, with a pressure level of 66,800.

ETH:
Yesterday we mentioned that Auntie formed a strong support near 2,880. If the rise is not broken, it may continue to fluctuate upward.

Altcoin market:
It has been emphasized before that altcoins have fallen to the starting position at the beginning of the year, and this position has been tested once, which shows that this bottom is quite solid. In the near future, the mainstream altcoin market will enter a shock consolidation stage.

Tomorrow is the day of Bitcoin's production cut. The market is expected to fluctuate when this event occurs, but the overall trend may be around $62,000. I am more looking forward to the rebound after the downward fluctuation.

I am optimistic about the future market performance of several altcoins. I prefer to speculate on new coins rather than old coins, and in this round of decline, the callback of new coins is relatively large. The more callbacks mean the lighter the plate, the greater the potential for subsequent pull-ups.

AXL stands for cross-chain, ENA stands for ETHFI, OMNI stands for re-staking, DYDX stands for DEFI, and STRK stands for L2. If you have other coins, you can consider switching funds to these new coins with larger declines. Their performance may be very eye-catching in the future.

If all the coins in your hand are stuck, you must be patient and hold them. The bottom wash shock will make people feel very tormented, but it will also cultivate the habit of doing swings or even shorting. The market of altcoins is strongly related to Ethereum, because the bottom pot of altcoins is Ethereum. Next, we just need to look forward to the hype of Ethereum ETF.

Once realized, the altcoins are expected to increase by 4-5 times. Many altcoins have already pulled back to the starting point of this bull market, which can be said to be gold everywhere. If you have funds on the sidelines, buy now! You will come back to thank Xianxian in a few months.

As the Bitcoin halving approaches, coupled with the tense situation in Iran and the postponement of the US interest rate cut plan, the market, especially the altcoins, has fallen sharply. However, everyone still holds firmly and believes that the bull market will definitely come. The key is how many chips are left in your hands when the bull market comes. What we do is spot trading, based on trend investment, so don't be affected by manipulators or bad news, keep confidence, the only way to get rich is to choose good coins and hold them.

The decline of all currencies this time also provides everyone with an opportunity to adjust their positions, so that they can sell weak currencies and keep strong currencies.

Why don't many people get rich?
First, they did not make a layout in the bear market.
Second, even if they made a layout, they did not insist on holding it. Once the dealer washes the market, they will get off the bus.
Third, even if there is a layout, the chips are too scattered.
In addition, they frequently get on and off the bus, constantly change positions and targets, chase high and kill lows, and eventually miss the bull market.
In addition, there is no layout in the bear market, chasing high in the bull market, and large positions are fully invested. Once there is a sharp correction or bad news, they are forced to cut their losses and leave the market.

Finally, the bull market came, but they didn't realize it, and they still held light positions or kept adding positions.
Don't get off the bus easily, the most difficult time is about to pass. I once held altcoins for more than a year and didn't check my account for a month. Choosing the right currency is a way to get rich. Now everyone has such an opportunity, so you must seize it.

Fan coins that are heavily held by individuals are a good hedge option. The European Cup is coming, and it is not far from hype.

The first choice for bottom-fishing is Bitcoin, Ethereum ecology, artificial intelligence sector and gaming industry. RWA track and meme coins are also relatively strong currencies. Don't be too scattered.
Observe more, operate less, and intervene at the right time. Don't get involved in contract transactions at this time.

Ten signs of a bull market in the cryptocurrency circle

The voices of short selling are getting louder and louder, but the bears find that no matter how they short sell, they can't pull the market down.

Various junk coins are rising, and some of the rises are illogical.

You ask most people if they have become rich, but they tell you about the pain of cutting their meat at a low point, and now the price is rising.

More and more people ask you what currency they should invest in, and even some people who have never met you are rushing to give money.

The good news such as halving, interest rate cuts, and raising the debt ceiling are coming one after another, and the market seems to have infinite power.

The sideways trading lasts so long and the price increase is so high that even all the sideways movements combined are not as good as the vertical increase.

Despite the market carnival, there are actually not many people sitting in the car.

Every day I feel that I have missed a huge fortune.

Before, it was surprising to increase by a few points every day, but now it has become the norm to increase by dozens of points every day.

You will find that getting rich overnight is not as far-fetched as you think.

An amazing rule in the currency circle: it turns out that meme coins are the terminators of the bull market!

Whenever meme coins are popular, the market will collapse, and it will take a long time for the entire market to recover. The prevalence of meme will lead to insufficient capital inflows for mainstream projects, while internal funds will be frantically harvested by various group friends' entrepreneurial projects, leading to an avalanche in the market.

Shib in 2021 brought a zoo coin craze. At that time, Dogecoin, Shitcoin and Baby Dog performed well, resulting in an endless stream of meme coins named after animals. Many people missed doge and shib, so they crazily pursued various zoo coins, dreaming of making huge profits. However, once the zoo coin became popular, it immediately ushered in 519, and then a bear market lasted for several years, and many value coins almost returned to zero.

The same is true for Aidoge, which appeared in 2023. Many people got Aidoge for free through arb airdrops, and a large number of local dog project parties appeared in the market, frantically airdropping various meme coins, attracting many investors, although many projects did not have real value. This craze lasted for about two months, after which the market began to fall, and it took half a year to recover.

The 2024 Bome caused a sensation. SOL Bome doubled 400 times in just 3 days and was listed on Binance in just 3 days. After that, various Bome projects continued to emerge on the SOL chain, most of which were group friends' startups, attracting investors through various means. However, most projects failed on the same day. This time the Bome craze was even shorter. In less than two weeks, the market began to collapse. No one was interested in mainstream coins, and everyone was rushing to the group friends' entrepreneurial projects.

Why do people rush into the meme of group friends' entrepreneurship regardless of everything when they know it is a trap? This is the weakness of human nature. People like to get something for nothing, like to see results immediately, and have a fluke mentality, always fantasizing that they will be lucky.

The countdown is in progress⌚

Let’s review past halving events🚩

After the first halving, 45 days have passed and the bull market has begun.
After the second halving, after 102 days, the bull market started again
After the third halving, 145 days passed and the bull market arrived as expected.
After the fourth halving, it only took 60 days for the bull market to strike again
🔍Looking back at the trend one month after the halving, the performance is basically stable, and dog dealers are busy collecting funds.
During this period, the largest decline was only -13%, while the most significant increase reached 9%

So, what will happen one year after the halving?
After the first halving, the price of Bitcoin soared 92 times; after the second halving, the increase reached 3.8 times; after the third halving, the increase was 3.9 times
Nowadays, everyone is guessing how much Bitcoin will rise after this halving? Some people predict that it will rise to about 160,000 US dollars.
Summary: After previous halvings, a bull market is bound to come.

Investment considerations for 2024:

Long-term holding may face a period of price decline, and missing out during this period may require a four-year cycle.

When escaping the top, don't be greedy for higher prices; similarly, when buying the bottom, don't be greedy for lower prices.

The adjustment in the middle of the bull market may not be obvious, and sometimes a V-shaped reversal may occur at any time.

Even if the price falls for two months, it may rebound quickly within two weeks.

This round of bull market may end early, so be mentally prepared.

In the field of cryptocurrency, investment decisions are often affected by emotions. Bitcoin's price increase is usually driven by emotions and expectations. For example, after the halving, people look forward to the rise in Bitcoin prices. The current price shock may not be to form a top, but to better hit the historical high. Investors holding full positions do not need to be too anxious, because if you want to make a lot of money, you need to have a long-term investment mindset.

In this bull market, knowing the following key information can help you avoid losses:

Hot coins rise fast in the bull market, but also fall sharply. Once the highly controlled coins start to fall, the speed and depth are often jaw-dropping.

Coins with real potential are usually not frequently mentioned by the public. On the contrary, some potential stocks may only be known by a few people, and they will occasionally mention them, such as last year's C98 and LEVER, which were not noticeable at first, but later rose gratifyingly.

The trend of the currency circle usually presents a gentle curve, which will not rise or fall all the time.

The methods used by the dealers of the altcoins to pull the market are similar. They often smash the market hard first, and then slowly pull it up.

When a new coin is listed, if it first soars and then plummets, it is best to delete the self-selection. This type of coin is very risky.

It is very common that the price of the coin falls after buying and rises after selling. If you can't even bear this kind of fluctuation, you need to adjust your mentality.

In a bull market, some potential coins may perform mediocrely in the first half, but may suddenly gain momentum in the second half, with astonishing gains.

If a coin has risen several times in a bull market, but can still remain sideways for several months, it is likely to be a coin with potential and deserves special attention.

Last night, many people thought that the market had bottomed out, but I didn't see it. The only change is that many altcoins no longer follow Bitcoin's decline, which is a good sign, but it has not yet reached the rally we expect. BTC's decline this time is very destructive to the structure and needs more time to repair, so I suggest that friends who buy the bottom here should consider selling if they have a few dozen points of profit within two days.

Yesterday, OK launched its new chain, which is said to be strongly supported by Lao Xu. Recalling the previous Huobi ecological chain, 10,000 went in and 5 million came out the next day. What a spectacular scene it was. But later it was messed up by some executives. I hope OK can bring more wealth miracles this time; the operation is also very simple, buy OKB, transfer to the wallet, and directly exchange it if there is a contract address. The top three projects are OKBABY, OKCAT, and AIPEPE. You can observe which project can perform well in the next two days.

About the market:

BTC's key position yesterday continued to pull back to 59,600 at the 4-hour level. I will inform you of the mid-line stop and bottom signals. At present, it still takes time. I will analyze the market once a day, and I will focus more on short-term operations and intraday skills. The short-term pressure level of BTC is 62720 ~ 63010, and the support level is 59530 ~ 58710. There is no bottom signal yet, so you need to wait patiently.

Observing the market, ETH's decline is smaller than BTC, and LINK's decline is smaller than ETH. Some altcoins no longer follow BTC's decline, which is a positive signal for bulls. There may be a short-term rebound opportunity for altcoins here. Pay attention to the following two signals for the specific entry time: the 5-minute moving average system forms a large three-line long arrangement (60/120/250); the strong and fast breakthrough of the 15-minute level MA250, and then step back without breaking MA60.

The previous positions continue to be held, and the short-term positions bought yesterday and today will be sold if there is a rebound of 20 points to strive for more profits. Most of the coins are close to being cut in half, so you can consider replacing the uncertain future gains with more certain ones. The projects mentioned previously, such as ONDO, FET, and WIF, are all leaders. Once the market comes, they are likely to be the first to reach new highs.

In the bull-bear cycle transition of the market, the total wealth has been flowing between "old coins" and "new coins". We can call coins that have been held for more than 6 months but not moved "old coins", and those that have been held for less than 6 months "new coins".

In the transition from bear market to bull market, old coins continue to be sold (moved) and converted into new coins, resulting in an increasing proportion of realized market value of new coins, forming a transfer of wealth. In the process from bull market to bear market, new coins are no longer sold (moved) and converted into old coins, which increases the proportion of realized market value of old coins and wealth flows back to old coins. This cycle is endless, like a shadow...

The market always has duality; behind every profitable investor, there is always another investor who bought those bitcoins at a higher cost. We can observe the changes in market cycles by observing the fluctuations in the proportion of realized profits of different coin ages. For example, by observing the growth of the proportion of wealth accounted for by new coins, we can visualize the progress of new investors pouring into the market.

In the past two bull markets, the proportion of wealth accounted for by new coins has reached 85% to 95%, indicating that new holders have reached saturation. If the realized market capitalization of new coins reaches a peak, it means that almost all the wealth in the market has been absorbed by new coins, which is often a sign of a peak.

Since the beginning of 2023, this indicator has risen sharply, from 30% on January 1, 2024 to 52% today. Obviously, this wealth transfer is too fast. At this rate, the bull market has at most half of its time left. Therefore, it is time to stop and make necessary adjustments so that capital can find a balance between long-term holders and new demand.
Sometimes, slow is fast, and you can't rush...

The AI ​​field has ushered in a big explosion in the second half of this bull market, and some of the most promising AI projects have been selected.

In this bull market, the AI ​​field is undoubtedly the most concerned and talked-about field. The technology sector has always been the strength of the United States. Large companies have entered the field of artificial intelligence, including Ultraman, Microsoft, Google, Apple, Huawei and other giants. Therefore, whether it is long-term or short-term, it is worth paying close attention to the financial sector!

The following are some of the most watched AI projects:

FET (market value: US$12.2 billion):
The team lineup is luxurious, and one of the founders, Humayun Sheikh and Toby Simpson, are both early investors in DeepMind, a world-leading artificial intelligence company.

RNDR (market value: US$3.1 billion):
With the joint support of Hollywood shareholders, Microsoft and Multicoin, the total financing amount has reached US$134 million.

TAO (market value: US$3.055 billion):
It is favored by investment institutions such as Polychain, Dao5 and DCG that hold a large number of TAO tokens.

WLD and ARKM (market value: US$900 million and US$3.14):
With investment support from the founder of OpenAI.

GPT (market value: $293 million):
Bi’an Labs regards it as a key project for investment.

NFP (market value: $100 million):
It has received support from well-known market makers BN and Waterdrop Capital DWF as market makers.

GLQ (market value: $18 million):
It has received the lead investment from DWF. Its protocol is based on intent AI drive and has its own L1 chain.

When will 100x coins appear again?

For most people, 100x coins may seem meaningless, because for 100x coins to make sense, three conditions must be met:

Buy in large quantities
Sell at more than 100x
Clear and cash out in time
If you only buy a little bit, a few hundred or a few thousand, it doesn't mean much. In fact, these numbers are nothing to most people, because they are just playing small and dare not be greedy to pursue greater profits.

Those who can really multiply their investment by more than 100 times and sell it have extremely firm minds, which is far beyond pure luck. After investing tens of thousands of dollars, when the assets have doubled 20 times or 50 times, few people can insist on not selling. But those who can resist the impulse of greed, decisively exit, and enjoy life, their mentality is more valuable.

100x coins will definitely appear in 2025, and 70% of them will be born between 2024 and 2025.

Before the bull market came, liquidation of contract leverage was the norm of violent operations.

Looking back at the bull market in 2021, all those who were long were forced to liquidate through the liquidation action on March 12, and almost all long positions were cleared on that day. Even most short sellers, who wanted to buy at the bottom after seeing the price plummet, were forced to liquidate. Only a few professional short sellers were left, who had been cautious and would not open excessive positions, but this time the market also involved them.

The bull market in 2017 was even more crazy than ever. At that time, almost the entire cryptocurrency market was dominated by Chinese investors. As a result, before September 4, the number of liquidations was difficult to count, and even all domestic exchanges were forced to relocate. Even investors holding physical currencies found that they could no longer find a place to buy after clearing their chips. However, in the two months after September 4, Bitcoin and other altcoins soared, and the price of Bitcoin directly broke through the nearly $20,000 mark.

Summary: History tells us that after a fierce wash, the contract investors who rose later have countless stories. Therefore, I suggest that you try to avoid excessive use of contract leverage, but instead hold the spot and wait and see.

Again, Ethereum, as the core of the altcoin market, still plays a key role in the second half of the bull market.

Although Ethereum seems to have been slow to exert its strength, it does not mean that it has lost its vitality. The rotation logic of the last bull market is still valid, but the emergence of Bitcoin ETF gives people an illusion that funds will immediately flow to Ethereum. However, this logic is undergoing some changes.

First of all, the task of expanding Bitcoin's out-of-circle flow is still in progress. At present, it is mainly institutional funds that enter the market through ETFs, etc., while the inflow of retail investors is still relatively small, which can be seen from many indicators.

However, despite the influx of external funds, Ethereum is still the most popular choice because it has the largest ecosystem and the most complete infrastructure, and it is still the core leader of the entire industry narrative.

Therefore, funds will eventually flow to Ethereum, but the time may be extended, and more patience is needed. And there are many major positive factors in the future, there is nothing to worry about!