If there is no black swan, for example, this round of interest rate hikes will continue more than twice next year; the U.S. stock market crashes, etc...

Even if the Bitcoin ETF continues to be postponed or even rejected.
Even if the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates for the last time this November, as long as it does not increase more than twice, I think November will be the last time it raises interest rates.

If these two more disadvantageous situations are superimposed.
I also believe that the weekly level of Bitcoin’s bear market will not fall below 18,000 US dollars (not excluding the rapid violent washout pins similar to 312), the probability is more than 80% (actually I want to say 90%), and the other probability is left to Give it a black swan event.

Therefore, now is still a good time for long-term batch buying and long-term fixed investment!
In the market outlook, if you encounter a cheat copy of $25,000, a large copy of $21,800, and a full position copy of $18,000! In stock only!

The above is a simple long-term analysis, detailed analysis logic depends on mood and time sharing.
You can also just use it as a negative indicator, but good luck to you.

From the perspective of technical analysis alone
Bitcoin and Ethereum have tested the current important daily support
There is a high probability that this is the bottom of this phased correction...
Therefore, this position area can be used to buy spot medium and long-term positions
Of course, this is not the first time I have said that I should add positions
Those who should be added have probably been added, and those who don’t want to add will not be added no matter what
In the bull market, any correction is at a 20%-30% drop
It is worth adding!
At present, Bitcoin has pulled back 20% from its high point, and Ethereum has pulled back 30% from its weakness
The only thing to do is if the price falls below $60,000, the market can still go down, is there any money to continue adding?
It depends on fund management~
The uncertainty of the market is the biggest certainty of this market
Only by making plans for any possible situation can we continue to live in this market
Remember, the market is always right!
"If I lose money, it's the market's problem", this is just a joke after dinner 🤪🤪🤪

I went all-in on Shanzhai and lost half of my money in one month...
It's obviously a bull market, but I lost more than in a bear market...

Is this a problem with the market, or is it something wrong with me?

I don't understand
🙃🙃🙃

.
.
.
.
.
.

Humph! There must be something wrong with the market
😡😡😡

The 413 crash of the altcoin has ended!
Just like Bitcoin's 312, there is a high probability that there will be no new lows!
At most, there will be a second wave of decline, and that will be the time for long-term traders to buy at the bottom!
So, there is no need to panic, the worst moment has passed!
Next, it will be difficult to have a rapid unilateral rise, and it will only enter a larger level of shock~

Picked a time to review the market
Selected some currencies that maintain a weekly upward trend for reference!
The following is only refined from the perspective of technical analysis, and newly launched coins are not included.

By the way, the last time I posted such a picture, TON ran out...
However, in the list of hundreds of altcoins I follow, only these thirty or forty were refined...
Don't say I copied all the altcoins

I always thought that Bitcoin's market share would go up
But I didn't expect it to go up like this🙃🙃🙃

Share a ghost story:
Bitcoin, halving is only 7 days away!
But the assets are almost halved😂😂😂

Let me analyze the current medium and long-term market.
Bitcoin weekly trend: up

But because it rose too much and too fast before,
So, it is now fluctuating and accumulating momentum.
And, from the weekly level, this fluctuation is also extremely strong.
In fact, the fluctuation of Bitcoin has never been large.
It is grinding back and forth within the fluctuation range of 20%.
But why do traders' long and short emotions seem to be amplified when there is a fluctuation?
It may be because they are playing with copycats and contracts, with large fluctuations, large leverage, and large asset profit and loss margins...
So, don't be startled every day like a leek, okay?
Then why am I always startled?
Because I am an old leek😆😆😆
I want to follow the market fluctuations to restore the emotions of the leeks about the current market
And I also want to share the profit and loss emotions of an old leek like me after judging the market

Why?
Because this is my personality, and I can also attract fans 🙂
I have always been a die-hard bull...
I have always been in one direction...
Always long, always in tears! 😉

So, hold on to your spot chips
The bull market is only in the middle of the medium term😊

The Fed's inflation data this month is a bit embarrassing, it has risen...
Looking at the trend of crude oil, it seems that we have to face the possibility of continued inflation
The market's bet on a rate cut in June has disappeared, and the first rate cut is expected to be postponed to November...

Oh, this is really...
Everything is self-explanatory = =.
🙄🙄🙄

Counting with fingers
This time, Ethereum's rising height is:
6057$
Take a look and see if it is the final one! 😉😉😉

Regarding the current market status of the cryptocurrency bull market
I think

This wave of new highs has already begun
This wave will go directly to $100,000+, but will not go too far

Then, the rise from September last year to now will end and enter a period of adjustment of at least 2 months
So, after this wave, it does not mean that the bull market is over, it is time to take a good rest for a while

But at the same time, when Bitcoin hits a record high, stabilizes, and continues to open up new highs
It will be the time for the altcoins to charge!

Get ready, welcome, the carnival of altcoins
😉

General rise, win by doing nothing, everything will be as you wish
🙂🙂🙂

The big one is coming!

In the past six months, there are too many new coins launched...

In my collection list, there are many so-called "high-quality" altcoins recommended by many people.

How "high-quality" are they? As a trader who focuses on technical analysis, I don't know much about the fundamentals.

I can only strengthen my belief in such "high-quality" altcoins from more professional and excellent fundamental traders.

Then, find the entry point from the perspective of technical analysis.

At least, in this way, the probability of being reset to zero in the bull market cycle is reduced to a certain extent.

Of course, in the long run, most of them will eventually return to zero.

It's just that you hype a bull market cycle at the right time.

Don't get married with altcoins~

We hype and trade altcoins, and ultimately we want to make more money.

In the long-term process of blockchain technology changing the world, it has nothing to do with 99.9% of altcoin projects.

Only a few such as ETH/DOGE/SOL can stand out from them in so many years, which are "temporarily" good...

Finally, the unprecedented violent bull market will be in 2024!

😉😉😉😉😉

I have a friend who has 300,000 U and asked me
From now until the end of the bull market, if you only buy altcoins in the long term, what coin should you invest in to have a chance to reap 5 times the return?
That is, with 2 million RMB, is it a big chance to reach the final 10 million?

First of all, there is no doubt that we are now in a bull market for cryptocurrencies!
So, what stage of the bull market are we in now?

If the bull market is divided into the early, middle and late stages, I think we are most likely in the middle stage of the bull market. Here, the state of market trend positioning is very important, and the self-trading style and risk tolerance are more important. Therefore, it is relatively reasonable to expect a 5-fold return on the altcoin. My suggestion is to buy the leading coins of the popular tracks in batches, and only need to ambush 3-5. Such as AI/BTC ecology/SOL ecology/ETH ecology/Gamefi, etc. After a round of increases in more than half a year, many leading coins in popular tracks have already gone out of a large upward trend. Therefore, there are actually corresponding pricing and premiums for these leading coins at present. It is difficult to get a 5-fold potential return, but it is also easy to say it is difficult... But which altcoins are the leaders of the popular tracks, I am a little difficult to judge. Brothers, can you recommend some coins that you are very optimistic about to my friends? Such as AI track: RNDR/FET... BTC ecology: ORDI/SATS... Etc. 😀😀😀

The technical downward trend of ETH/BTC is likely to be confirmed

According to the current buying of Bitcoin ETF and the rhythm of the entire market
Bitcoin maintains high-level fluctuations, and Ethereum tends to fall weakly
It is not recommended to hold any ETH and its ecologically related tokens
And the entire altcoin market may still tend to fluctuate and pull back
Bitcoin's market share continues to rise steadily
ETH/BTC is likely to have 20% downward space

Got it, it turns out that what comes ahead of schedule is not the halving of the number of coins, but the halving of assets🙄🙄🙄

Bitcoin, bearish.
Keep shaking and boiling slowly...
The altcoins have been trapped, patiently waiting for a 20%+ positive line!

Suggestion: Don’t waste your time if you’re obscene and developing!

When we meet on a narrow road, the brave wins! Go!
Continue to increase the position by 20,000 U during the correction and raise the stop loss price!
Either liquidate your position or get rich! 😶‍🌫️😶‍🌫️😶‍🌫️

The old king is dead and a new king should be established!
It's a pity that E, who invested in the ETH NFT market, lost money and could only afford one...
When the price of ETH reaches 10,000U, when the price of a fat penguin reaches 40E
Then I will make a fortune 😉

Come on ヾ(◍°∇°◍)ﾉﾞ
Must do!

Some people say, I chased high...
Did I chase high?

There is no comparison without a reference system
So just looking at these two charts, did I chase high?
Whether I chase high or not, no matter how high, as long as you have a clear stop loss line and within an acceptable stop loss range, then no matter what the price is, you can chase it!

The right-side trading system of chasing ups and downs does not depend on how high the market price is, but on whether your stop loss line is reasonable with your potential profit target expectations!
If it is appropriate! I will chase high even if the Bitcoin is $1 million! 🤪🤪🤪

ORDI Contract Soduo!
Or liquidate your position!
Or get rich!
It’s already gone, don’t let it down! 🙃🙃🙃