The cryptocurrency world is the same as the real world.

What we see may be what the dealer wants us to see. When we are afraid, it is what the dealer wants. When we are inflated, it is also what the dealer intends to do.

To survive in this circle, the first task is to stay away from leeks.

Take a long-term view and invest with long-term thinking, and no one can cut you off.

Come on, people in the cryptocurrency world,
Welcome to follow: Minus Thirteen Degrees
Let's go through the bull and bear markets together and see through the world of cryptocurrency.

After each round of Bitcoin halving, there will be a 1-2 month correction and oscillation period.

Therefore, the market has given a strong prediction that Bitcoin will have a deep retracement in the next one or two months.

This possibility exists, but have you ever thought that this round of Bitcoin halving, with the entry of Wall Street capital, will be different from before?

At least, Thirteen believes that the oscillation cycle will be shortened by half compared to before.

Therefore, when investing at this stage, everyone must strive to ensure that there are enough positions in the car. There will be ups and downs in the short term, but it may be that one day in early May, the market will directly rise to more than 72,000.

The first round of violent bull market this year has begun.

If you listen to slander and short or lightly position, you will miss this round of wealth opportunities again.
As an investor, you must have your own ability to think independently, but independent thinking does not mean pretending. Although others will not say it when they are unhappy with you, they will say it behind your back.

We are all adults, so everyone should be more stable.
60,000 may be the bottom of this round of market. I have said it before, and it is still valid now.

The Swiss National Bank is preparing to include Bitcoin in its asset reserves. Of course, it is still in the signature and referendum stage.

But it also marks the maturity of cryptocurrency. The future of Bitcoin is bright. We must grasp the next bull market.

When everyone was panicking, Thirteen was recharging everyone's faith every day. If you didn't buy the bottom or did the opposite, please seriously summarize yourself.

During that time, Thirteen was inflating everyone, and someone was specifically deflated for everyone.

Therefore, in the currency circle, you must stay away from leeks. How can you listen to the remarks of a person who loses money in his own investment?

Thirteen's steady investment style is the first choice for making money in this bull market.

If you stay in the cryptocurrency circle for a long time, you will find that this is just a reflection of the various aspects of life.
You are a big shot in reality, and you are also a big shot here;
You are a big shot in reality, and you are also a big shot here;
You are a pretentious person in reality, and you are likely to be in the cryptocurrency circle. . .
Thirteen advises everyone that it is best to participate less in these remarks. If you participate too much, you will find that you will be deeply trapped in it and cannot extricate yourself.

Sometimes you are led astray by others unknowingly. You originally thought that you were a long-term investor. Under the deception and nagging of others, you thought that the market would continue to fall, so you cleared your position and waited.

If you listen to the remarks of investors who may not be as good as you, you are likely to be dead in this bull market.

The current market is very torturous. It has been fluctuating at this position to digest the negative impact of the market.
The volume below does not look high, and it always gives people a feeling that it will collapse at any time.
Many people rely on this feeling to constantly output various negative news, and even start to ridicule others. Their lives are a mess, and they can only get short-term pleasure through unfounded ridicule.
It's really better to go to the bridge to eat a fast food.
Just like many people in the currency circle mock Sun Yuchen, Musk, Bao Erye, etc., thinking that they are all garbage, but have you ever seriously thought about how they got their wealth?

Did they get it all by cutting leeks?
No, the main source of their wealth is their faithful belief in Bitcoin and long-term holding, not other things.

As expected, Bitcoin encountered huge resistance in the pressure zone of 67,000 to 68,000.

The market has been lingering at this position, and the imagined breakthrough has not been realized. When the market has tried to break through continuously and failed, we should be extra careful.

We all understand the principle of repeated attempts. If this market cannot break through in the past two days, the possibility of a correction is very high.

Therefore, everyone should strictly follow the investment method of Thirteen Circles, control the position, and sell high and buy low.

Of course, we are selling now, and there is no chance to buy. Everyone should be patient, and the bottom-picking point is likely to be reached.

Today, Thirteen saw that some aggressive investors opened short orders after seeing the pressure of the market.
If you have a strong risk tolerance, rich investment experience, and are an old leeks, you can try it, but it is not recommended for any of the Thirteen Circles to operate in this way.

Opening shorts against the trend is very risky.

Today, a fan of the Square outside opened a 30x Ethereum short order at around 3050, and now the loss is more than 100%. Because it is a full position, it has not been liquidated yet, but it is almost equivalent to liquidation.

Then come to ask me how to deal with it?
How can it be dealt with? Because the market is indeed under pressure at this position, there is a possibility of a callback, but who can predict the short-term market?
What if the market continues to rise by two points?
The entire position may be liquidated.
I can only suggest closing half of it first and then observe. This kind of order, opening a short order with a high multiple, is a disaster for an investor without mature investment experience.

During this period, I have been communicating with my friends in the Thirteen Circle every day.
Thirteen usually gives orders in the circle according to the market situation. These orders are short-term orders, which are actually small tricks.

It can only be used as a seasoning for boring life in the coin circle. What can really bring us wealth is the 70% position we hold tightly in our hands.
Therefore, for every friend who enters the Thirteen Circle, I will almost tailor a position plan. After completing the position construction, there is actually no need to stare at the coin circle every day.

Enjoy life well, read Thirteen’s articles, it is difficult for you to lose money in this bull market.

Many friends now tell me that their mentality is much better now. They have held value coins for a long time and are just waiting for the bull market.

The rest of the time can be used to live seriously, and there is no need to stare at the position every day.

Thirteen stares every day because of work needs, but you don’t need to. The tighter you stare, the greater the possibility of losing money in this bull market.
You face too many temptations, and people keep saying in your ears: "Crash, skyrocket, get rich, lose everything, this coin will be a hundred times! This coin will skyrocket soon..." Then you keep buying and selling, operating like a tiger, and finally find that there is not a penny left in your pocket. The eternal truth of the currency circle is: most people will lose money in the bull market. Only a few people can make money, so the greatest value of the thirteen circles is not how much wealth code it gives you, but to teach you the correct investment method, a healthy investment mentality, to become a long-term investor, and to become one of the few people in the currency circle who make money.

How will the market go next?

Thirteen thought that the first pressure zone would be at 66500, and there would be a second pressure zone at 68000 and a third pressure zone at 72000.
According to the current market sentiment, capital inflow, volume and other indicators, it is very difficult to break through upward.

The main reason is that the macro environment is not very good. The Federal Reserve has clearly stated that the interest rate cut this year has been postponed indefinitely, and there may even be an interest rate hike.

Of course, there are many other reasons for the US dollar to raise interest rates. In addition to suppressing inflation, harvesting Asian currencies is also a key factor. At present, the Japanese yen and the Korean won have depreciated significantly, and even broke the depreciation record of decades.

Some time ago, the Japanese yen was full of confidence in raising interest rates, but when it came to 0.1%, the market was almost calm.

Wall Street in the United States has long been eyeing the Japanese yen and the Korean won and has been shorting.

The Federal Reserve continues to harvest wealth by raising interest rates in disguise, which is ruthless.
Therefore, the US dollar is reluctant to cut interest rates in the short term. We must be prepared for this. The market is difficult to achieve overnight, and it may linger at this position. At least don't expect a big market in April.
The cryptocurrency market itself has just experienced a halving, and given the various reasons that Thirteen mentioned in the article before, we may enter the market at a lower position.
You can place an order around 60,000. If it continues to fall after reaching that level, place an order around 56,000. If it continues to fall, place an order around 52,000.

The possibility of reaching this level is very small. Once it reaches this level, go all-in.

Thirteen will enter the market with 2x leverage.

Today, many friends started to leave messages to Thirteen, and the questions were basically "Can this be followed?" "Will this coin continue to rise later?" "Will there be a callback?" "Do I need to cut my losses and leave?"...

Every time I encounter these questions, I think of Thirteen when he first entered the cryptocurrency circle.
Like everyone else, he was anxious and uneasy, wanting to make money but unwilling to take risks, worried about gains and losses. After suffering losses, he put his hopes on others, and did what others said, especially when others promised me that I could get all the losses back by just making one order.

It was so tempting that I believed it, and then my principal was gone.

The kind brother also turned into a demon in an instant, saying that I didn't respect him and didn't follow his investment method.

I had to say sorry, so he would continue to lead me. Fortunately, Thirteen woke up early at that time, avoiding an impending cryptocurrency PUA.

So when I saw these questions, I was angry and wanted to laugh. Aren't the newbies who have just entered the circle the same as me back then?

As a newbie in the cryptocurrency circle, you must not put your hopes on others. Even if you join the Thirteen Circle, you must know that it is you who actually does the work.

Thirteen will only give you suggestions on positions, currency types, etc. How to do it specifically? Can you make money? It depends on you.
You want to get a definite answer from Thirteen. If I really tell you that Bitcoin will rise or fall, it must be fooling you.

No one can be sure whether the market will rise or fall in the future, and it can only be predicted.
Even if Thirteen has clearly told everyone that 60,000 is likely to be the bottom of this round of market, it seems to be correct now, but I cannot guarantee that it will not fall below this position again.
I have told everyone many times in articles and Thirteen Circles that we do not make multiple-choice questions, do not bet on future market conditions, and we only use reasonable position control to deal with market fluctuations.

I have introduced the specific methods in detail in Thirteen Circles, and interested friends can pay attention.
Before every Thirteen Circle friend enters the circle, I almost always tell them not to expect to achieve wealth freedom here, unless you have millions or even tens of millions of capital.

If you only have a capital of hundreds of thousands, about 5 times the space is enough. The key is to see when you stop profit. The reluctance to stop profit is the fundamental reason why leeks lose money in the bull market.
Many people come up and ask, can you guarantee that I will not lose money if I follow you? In this bull market, if you strictly follow the investment advice of Thirteen, you will definitely not lose money, unless a nuclear-level black swan event occurs.
But everyone's risk tolerance, financial strength, investment ability, and mentality are different, and the investment results are completely different.

The focus is still you.

This time, the Bitcoin halving was thought to be a storm, but a small positive line made countless leeks cheer and think that the bull market is coming.

According to historical laws, after the Bitcoin halving, the downward fluctuations in the short term will be very violent, and in the long term, it is of course optimistic about continued rise.

However, this time, the dealer obviously will not control the market according to our ideas.
Let everyone scratch their heads, the dealer's trading method behind the scenes is really amazing.

However, we use magic to defeat magic in the thirteenth circle. Let you fluctuate up and down, and my 70% position will not move. We must wait until Bitcoin reaches 100,000 before we slowly reduce our positions.

Previously, we had vacated the bottom-fishing positions near 65,000, and regained the initiative in our own hands.

This will be very easy.
I know that many friends now slap their thighs and regret that they did not dare to bottom-fish at a low level and missed this wave of 20% increase.

In fact, there is no need to do so. If we miss this wave of opportunities, we still have the opportunity to take over at a low level. We just need to be patient and continue to wait.
Thirteen will clearly inform you at that time.

If you think the market is boring, you must place an order according to the thirteen-circle method.

The market is expected to fluctuate sideways between 60,000 and 65,000 in the short term.
So continue to adopt the thirteen-circle arbitrage method, low-buy and high-sell.

Regarding runes, I mentioned that I read a lot of information, and finally saw the gas fee on the chain, I held back.

Because it has doubled, but it is even more exaggerated after going online today. 1000U actually generated 940U gas fees. The actual amount of U received is too exaggerated.

With the previous experience of inscriptions, countless people began to rush runes frantically, trying to be the first person to eat crabs and copy the wealth myth of inscriptions.
​When a wealth opportunity is known to everyone, it is not a wealth opportunity, but a huge trap. We must stay away from it.

When to lay out runes?
When everyone thinks that runes are a scam, they are frantically sold, and no one cares, we will enter the market.
Of course, such opportunities may not come.
Investment requires waiting for opportunities. It is impossible for you and me, mortals, to create opportunities.

Currently, the long and short sides of Bitcoin maintain a delicate balance.
Institutions are continuously buying, and miners are continuously selling.
When will this balance be broken? No one knows, perhaps it will take good or bad news from a third party to break the balance.
The high point of each round of bull market is actually the time when retail investors enter the market the most crazily. After experiencing the continuous rise in the market, retail investors can no longer bear it and start chasing high prices after watching others make money.

At this time, miners and institutions began to hand over chips to these retail investors. Retail investors took the chips and happily dreamed of getting rich, but they didn't know that the dealers had begun to withdraw.

As the power of retail investors entering the market decreased, the market finally couldn't hold back and began to plummet, and the bear market began.

In the bear market, the dealers will make long-term layouts at low levels. At this time, retail investors are either working hard to make up for losses or wearing yellow jackets to make money...
At this time, the market is very quiet, and the once lively circle has become deserted.
When the market makers have finished their layout and the market starts to pick up, retail investors will take the hard-earned money they earned in the bear market and enter the cryptocurrency circle to take over for the market makers.

This goes on and on, one cycle after another...

Such a law happens again and again in the cryptocurrency circle and cannot be changed. Limited by cognition, vision, and pattern, retail investors are always short-sighted and cannot get out, and continue to lose money in the investment market.

Only a small number of people occasionally look up at the sky and find that the world is like this.

I hope that all the thirteen circles are people who look up at the sky.

From the perspective of the market environment, the short-term market pressure is quite large.

The hawkish news released by the Federal Reserve has put the market under tremendous pressure. According to the current economic data, the economy continues to be hot, and even the possibility of further interest rate hikes is not ruled out.

Once the market accepts this news, the market may continue to fall.
Friends who have been trapped, don't move your long-term positions. Many people like to open the exchange backend countless times every day to check their assets.

It is meaningless for you to look at it now, which only adds to your troubles.
It is better to think more about the returns that your chips can bring you in the bull market. In addition to recharging faith for everyone, you should also recharge your own faith.
In Thirteen's career in currency speculation, he was trapped countless times, and some coins even fell by 90%. When the second round of bull market came, I still doubled and sold.
As long as you don't sell, the project is not a garbage project, and it is impossible to lose money in the bull market.

So, please hold the chips in your hands. The current market is more tormented. Compared with the previous bad environment in the currency circle, it is now very gentle.

Cherish it while you go.

The market is so anti-human.
Generally speaking, after the Bitcoin halving, the market will fluctuate violently, up and down, and confirm the position.
But the market almost maintains a delicate balance at this position.
After all, the cost of Bitcoin has doubled now. Many people say that there was inventory before, so the current cost is not doubled.
When you regard Bitcoin miners as a company, you will know that after the cost of production, marketing, marketing, and R&D doubles, the price of the product must also double.
You can't say that I still have a lot of previously produced products in my warehouse, so I still have to sell them at a loss now.
I lied to myself, I didn't lose money.
So after the Bitcoin halving, the same is true. After the halving, the cost suddenly doubled. At this time, you need to buy more products to maintain the company's cash flow at a normal level.
Although miners have made a lot of preparations in advance, there is also a transition period after the halving. This is why every time Bitcoin is halved, there will be a callback to confirm the price.

Today, Bitcoin is almost sideways and has not moved at all.
It shows that the market support at this position is very strong, but the downward risk is still very large.
In the short term, there are many bottom-fishing orders at 62000, 61000, 60000, 59000, etc.
The bottom-fishing orders at 60000 have been sold at 64800, and now it is the bottom-fishing cycle again.
Remember, the current operation is limited to Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Yesterday, I mentioned ton. The market value of this project is very high now. It is included in the attention list of Thirteen Circles.
It is not to encourage everyone to buy it now. The risk of this coin is very high in the short term.
We must be careful and patient. When we take action, just like the AI ​​track laid out by Thirteen Circles, as long as we have patience, we will be able to lay out at a low level.

Today's article by Thirteen does not mean that everyone should sell all their stocks. Don't move long-term positions, and try to convert short-term positions into cash.
It is naturally good to go up, and we will have more funds to buy at low prices when it falls.
Don't understand the fork.

Regarding runes, Thirteen will tell you about it in Thirteen Circle tomorrow, and see if there is a chance to join the game and get a share of the pie.
Thirteen will also try out the specific gameplay later and make a tutorial for everyone.

Next, Thirteen Circles will focus on a project.

This project is: Ton.
As an old leek in the cryptocurrency circle, Thirteen is a heavy user of Telegram. This social software with one billion users has become a communication tool that everyone in the cryptocurrency circle must learn to use.

The energy that can be unleashed by these one billion is huge.

In the future, we can directly complete the transfer and transaction of cryptocurrencies and NFTs in the dialog box on the Ton chain.

This function alone is enough to make Ton increase tenfold.
Next, Ton will be listed in the United States, and a large amount of capital and funds are expected to pour in.
In addition to the corporate accounts, paid subscriptions, and advertising that will be opened later, TG will become one of the biggest narratives in this round of cryptocurrency bull market.

Therefore, next, we have to slowly lay out Ton. This coin has been very strong recently. It rises when the market falls, and it soars when the market rises. Today, it finally pulled back to 6.4.

It is expected that after the halving, Ton will fluctuate between 5 and 6.4, so it is better to buy at the bottom when it falls.

​How to buy at the bottom?

If you don’t like any coin in your 70% position, you can just replace it with Ton.

The reason why it is judged that there will be sharp fluctuations in the short term is because of miners.
Indeed, in the long run, after the Bitcoin halving, the cost of miners will increase, and the market will usher in a wave of surges.
However, in the short term, miners will often usher in a wave of selling after the halving.
Because the mining cost of miners doubles, miners tend to hoard Bitcoin before the halving and start selling after the halving.

Before the halving, hoard low-cost Bitcoin and sell it after the halving to maintain normal cash flow of mining companies.
After the halving, because the cost doubles, in order to maintain the company's income (cash flow) unchanged, they will start selling Bitcoin.
Miners are equivalent to a physical production enterprise, which needs to continuously invest heavy assets in production, and then sell the products to maintain a capital turnover rate, and the profits are often used to continue to increase investment.

Cash flow is very important for miners.
Therefore, they will not hold Bitcoin for a long time, and they often sell as much as they dig, but the speed and rhythm are fast or slow.

Especially after the Bitcoin halving, the mining cost doubles, and miners often sell more Bitcoin to maintain business operations.

And the more the market falls, the more they will sell.

The Bitcoin in their hands must be turned into money and cash flow to survive.

So Thirteen issued a strong warning in the Thirteen Circle very early. We should take advantage of the rise of Bitcoin today to clear our positions and deal with the subsequent high volatility.
We have a high probability of touching the 60,000 position again.