I feel a delay in receiving messages. I will reply to this friend and also state my position.
First of all, in this round of market crash, Bitcoin did not fall much, but the overall altcoin market was basically cut in half. In the past six months, Bitcoin has basically been rising, and the performance of the altcoin market has been mostly poor, but it has still slowly risen a lot. The holdings of Bitcoin in the contract market are not particularly large, but most retail investors are actually more willing to buy altcoins rather than Bitcoin. If the overall contract leverage of the altcoin market is added up, I believe it must be a relatively large number. The bull market generally starts the liquidation leverage market, so the most seriously injured area in this wave of market is the main liquidation leverage area. Therefore, I think the deleveraging of the altcoin market is the main reason for this wave of decline, and the reason for the huge decline is that the chain explosion caused a stampede, so the collective decline was cut in half, and the bull market will enter a flat period after each leverage liquidation, and then go up all the way without looking back, so for the altcoin this time In my opinion, the collective halving of the market has laid a solid foundation for future increases, and the selection of altcoins is also quite particular. I only divide them into the Bitcoin series, Ethereum details, and the Sol series. This time I stand on the Sol series, because foreign capital will definitely support and support its own projects first, so I think the Sol ecological series still has a lot of room for development. The BTC series has just begun to grow and develop in this bull market, and the ecological development is still very slow. It is expected that the next bull market will be a good layout side. This bull market will not be considered for the time being. As for the Ethereum side, you can see what the situation is. If you really want to layout the Ethereum side, you have to wait until the end of the year. For specific information, please search on my Twitter "The strongest prediction of the entire network is released, waiting to be slapped in the face"
It explains the situation of Ethereum, so on the whole, the Sol side has the most investment value in this bull market. I have already fully occupied the Sol side and waited for the market to give an answer. #大盘走势

Today is Monday, and Bitcoin's weekly closing is a new opening. Overall, the weekly closing trend is still optimistic, and most of the decline has been recovered. Looking at the four-hour support level, it rebounded after three supports. It is currently under the suppression of the four-hour Vegas channel. The Vegas channel resistance level is 66,000, and the previous high position is 67,000. The resistance level of 66,000 is more important than the resistance level of 67,000. Therefore, as long as it can break through 66,000, the trend suppression can be broken. Therefore, this week's main observation is whether it can break through 66,000. The overall trend is at the most difficult time. The three attacks below the big support have not been broken, so the probability of subsequent breaks is still relatively small. It is expected that it is only a matter of time before the important resistance level of 66,000 is broken this week. This week is also an important time node, and the overall outlook is optimistic. #大盘走势 #比特币减半

As for Bitcoin today, yesterday we talked about launching a 30-minute resistance attack after stabilizing in 15 minutes. Currently, the 30-minute resistance has not been broken yet and has been suppressed twice. The overall market has rebounded well recently, which is conducive to Bitcoin's attack. After 30 minutes, it can continue to attack the one-hour resistance. The one-hour resistance is also the short-term previous high at around 66,500. The short-term low is constantly rising. Whether it can continue to attack in the next two days, but overall, because I am a long position, and the leverage of the contract market has been completely liquidated in this wave of decline, the short-term analysis is only short-term, and I will not run away just because the short-term has not been broken. Moreover, it is easy to miss the opportunity if you do too much in the short term. Just watch it. #大盘走势

Bitcoin today, yesterday relied on the 4-hour support level to form an effective support rebound, and then rebounded upward, successfully breaking through the 15-minute resistance level, and hitting the 30-minute resistance level. Because the 15-minute resistance level was broken, the resistance level became a support level. It is currently at the 15-minute support point, and the four-hour rebound is still continuing, so it is still in a relatively safe time. After 15 minutes of consolidation, it can break through the 30-minute resistance level and reach the 1-hour resistance level. The current situation of Bitcoin is probably like this. Saturdays and Sundays are relatively slow, and the market has entered a calm and calm period, so give it more time to rebound. #大盘走势

Bitcoin today, the market has more short-term false moves, with the influence of news, short-term stop loss, plus today is Friday, if there is no movement today, it will be difficult to get results on Saturday and Sunday, so many people are paying attention to the market today, the more attention, the more false moves, so it is better not to pay attention, pure fraud, just wait until around 10 pm to see, if there is no movement, forget it and spend the weekend at ease. #大盘走势

Bitcoin is still at the four-hour support point today, and is at the lower support level of the platform. It has not yet moved out of the direction, and is fluctuating around 60,000. After this wave of decline, the market has basically not rebounded, and it looks relatively weak. In fact, from another angle, it may be caused by the market being too panic. No one dares to buy the bottom, and of course there is no decent rebound. Therefore, opportunities and risks coexist here. Today is Thursday, and it will soon enter the rest time. Let's see if there will be a change tomorrow. #大盘走势

Bitcoin is still at the support point in the four-hour chart today and has not moved out of the direction in the shock. The ultra-short-term observation shows that the holding volume has increased slightly, accompanied by a decrease in the long-short ratio. It is estimated that this is because the market has not rebounded violently after the decline. Some funds believe that the decline has not ended yet, so they began to test whether it can continue to fall. Therefore, small funds entered the market to short test, but the amount of funds is relatively small and has little significance for the time being. In addition, the deleveraging of the bull market generally has a good increase after the end. I think the liquidation of leverage before the production cut is conducive to the rise after the production cut. In addition, the altcoin market fell by 50 points, basically returning to the end of last year. The altcoins themselves did not rise much in this bull market, and the market sentiment was enthusiastic, resulting in a large leverage. The less the altcoins rose, the more the market expected to make up for the altcoin season and continue to increase leverage. Finally, the leverage was liquidated and returned to the pre-liberation period. Now that the leverage liquidation has been completed, we should have more confidence in the future market. I think the current market needs confidence. Confidence is more important than anything else. Moreover, after the leverage liquidation of each bull market, the increase and speed are very fast. It seems that it rose for half a year and then fell in a few days. After the liquidation is completed, it will not take that long to rise back or even set a new high. Hang in there. #比特币减半

Looking at Bitcoin today, panic is spreading. Some people in the market have seen over 50,000 or even 40,000. From the perspective of the contract market, the open interest has fallen to a new low this year. The liquidation leverage situation is actually very good. Recently, there is news of war and negative news about production cuts. You will look at news things if you don’t look at the market. It is completely unnecessary. The news just makes you feel reasonable. Bitcoin used to rise because of the war for a long time, but no one said anything. Therefore, liquidation leverage is the first goal, and everything else is nonsense. Production cuts are also because expectations are too high and leverage is too much. It cannot fly higher without clearing it up, so it doesn’t make much sense to look at the news. Technically, Bitcoin is at the four-hour support level and at the lower support point of the range oscillation. It will rebound upward after a short repair.

Looking at Bitcoin today, the market is still in a short-term rebound cycle. From the daily Bitcoin line, a large consolidation platform has been formed above. After the false breakout of the triangle, this platform did not fall 2 times due to the liquidation leverage, so it did not damage the medium-term trend. Since it is oscillating in the upper large range platform, as long as it is an oscillating trend, there is a chance to go back, but some coins can no longer go back. It has fallen below the platform range and weakened. Institutional participation in this bull market is very high. Wall Street's intervention is for ETFs to earn more management fees. Looking at the trend of Uni, which was messed up by the SEC, you should understand that if you buy Bitcoin, the other front is only the Sol side. This round of bull market is a bit different from the usual bull market because of institutional participation. Most of the altcoins have no meaning to buy. #比特币减半

Looking at Bitcoin today, the open interest in the contract market has completely exploded, and the liquidation leverage has been completed. If the liquidation leverage is long, and the longs are the fuel for the decline, then now the fuel is exhausted. It was mentioned before that the market interpreted the Bitcoin production reduction as bad news, and the decline in liquidation leverage was calculated in advance. Then, after the Bitcoin production reduction, it is equivalent to completing the decline and completing the adjustment in advance. Including looking at the leverage in the altcoin market today, it has also returned to the starting point. The altcoin as a whole fell by 50 points, and the long leverage exploded. I also observed the group chat. Many people said that half a year's profit has vanished. It took half a year to rise and only two days to fall. It feels like half a year of work has been in vain, and a lot of time has been wasted. Generally, after the leverage in the bull market is liquidated, the rise will be much faster than the first wave, and it will be able to go back soon. It doesn't take too much time. You can review the previous bull market.

Looking at Bitcoin today, the market has directly explored a wave downward. The open interest in the contract market has dropped significantly. At present, half of the long positions have been liquidated. Although it has not been completely liquidated, it has also reached the short-term position support point. It happens to be Saturday and Sunday, and it is estimated that this will be the case for the next two days. Yesterday, we talked about the short-term structure. From the perspective of the big structure, we will continue to liquidate leveraged longs. There is still about a week left before the production cut. The time within this week is still relatively complicated. In fact, Bitcoin did not fall much in yesterday's decline. The main decline was in the altcoin market. If Bitcoin gets out of the door in the next week, it is possible that the market will not be able to recover. As for the time of Bitcoin production cut, the market's interpretation of this news is basically bearish, and there is historical data as the background. From another perspective, this incident and the decline in the past two days are actually not bad, because everyone knows that there will be a drop after the production cut, so the market has priced the decline in advance, which will also lead to the market adjustment in advance. Everyone has their own interpretation, so just refer to it. This round of bull market seems to be very fast, but in fact it is quite slow. Logically speaking, the big bull market comes after the production cuts. This time, because of the positive market of ETFs, the market has preheated a big market in advance, so the real big increase is still after the production cuts. Stick to your original intention and hold the currency patiently. #比特币减半 #大盘走势

Looking at Bitcoin today, the open interest in the contract market hit a recent high. Yesterday, we talked about the short-term if the open interest continues to rise, it will be conducive to the rise of prices, because the short-term market bearish sentiment is serious, and the increase in open interest means not only bearish but also shorting, so it is necessary to blow up the short position, so it is very likely to cause another situation. In the period before the Bitcoin production reduction, take advantage of the positive upward trend to blow up the short position, and then after the production reduction is over, the positive news will be realized, and then continue to liquidate the long positions in the medium term, forming a trend in which the large structure contains the small structure and does not affect each other, the small structure blows up the short position, and the large structure liquidates the long position. #比特币减半

Looking at Bitcoin today, before yesterday's data came out, the market had already priced in a fall, and it fell again after the data came out. After entering the oversold zone, the negative selling was eliminated and the market entered the vacuum oversold period. The market rebounded in the early morning. After observing that the volume and position did not change much, the main focus in the near future is still the position. As mentioned before, we are in the stage of liquidating leverage. If the position is rapidly enlarged in the short term, there will be a chance to go out of a short market first and then continue to liquidate long leverage. After all, most people who do contracts still like to bet on the rise and bearish on the fall, so it will be reflected in the contract market. Everything will turn around when it reaches its extreme. #大盘走势

Looking at Bitcoin today, the market leverage liquidation situation is not satisfactory for the time being. The decline is not particularly obvious and is expected to continue for a while. The overall market, whether it is mainstream or altcoin, has performed relatively poorly in the past two days. In addition, the news behind is the hype of Bitcoin production reduction. Judging from the current holdings, it is very likely to develop into a positive landing and a negative. Only by following the news and completely canceling all contracts can the bull market proceed more healthily, because the news of this round of ETFs in the bull market has told us that there is no routine in this round of bull market. There is no need to guess whether it will rise or fall before and after the halving. ETFs were rising before, but after the passing of the positive landing, they began to fall. There is no routine, so the real big market in this round of bull market is still behind. There is no harm in waiting patiently for the big market to start. After all, the current contract market size is incomparable to the previous bull market. The larger the size, the heavier the car. Liquidation is for a better rise, and for spot players, there is only a firm hold and stick to their original intentions. #大盘走势

As for Bitcoin today, the market has come out of the painting door market. As I said yesterday, the time adjustment has ended, but the adjustment situation is not particularly ideal. The leverage was supposed to be liquidated, but more leverage was added because the adjustment ended, so the effect is not particularly good. However, because the Bitcoin production cut is coming, from the overall trend, it is likely to rise again. After the production cut is over, it is expected that there may be a positive impact and the market will start to adjust properly. Only by completely clearing the gambling dog leverage can the bull market continue better. #大盘走势

On April 6, Bitcoin said that after one to two days of adjustment, there would be an opportunity for an upward impact. Today, on the 8th, it has completed the upward impact in two days. However, this impact is the impact after the adjustment period is completed. What we mainly look at is the liquidation leverage. From the perspective of the holdings of Bitcoin and Ethereum, only about half of the liquidation has been completed, and the remaining half has not been cleared. This afternoon, as the price rose, a group of gambling funds entered the market and opened long positions. Therefore, the upward charge here temporarily requires psychological preparation. If the upward charge is followed by a drop, you must have the psychological tolerance and be cautious with the contract. #大盘走势

Recently, more and more people are paying attention to the exchange rate, but it seems that they all look at the hourly line. If you are looking at the hourly line, I suggest you don’t look at it. It’s better to look at the U exchange.

Bitcoin has been fluctuating here for a while. After the four-hour level formed a suppression, Bitcoin has not fallen much here. Therefore, 60800 is the first major support in the medium term, and the second lowest point is 64500. It is estimated that it will start to move upwards if it accumulates strength recently. Be patient and hold. #大盘走势

Looking at Bitcoin today, the market liquidation leverage process has reached the terminal time zone. It is expected to be almost over within the next two days unless something unexpected happens. Just hold on patiently. However, the situation of Ethereum and Bitcoin in this wave of adjustments is still a bit differentiated. As in the previous round, it is observed that retail funds in the market are still betting on Ethereum to make up for the rise, so don't touch Ethereum, it's useless.

The open interest of Bitcoin contracts continues to decline. At this rate, the adjustment is expected to be completed within 1-2 days.