Patrick-妖币大统领

Opened a position with multiple long orders totaling $BTW , the logic is as follows:
1. Although the OI has dropped a lot, it hasn't broken below the ~0.8 level that it repeatedly pulled back and forth around before
2. The market maker's spread is too big—there aren't enough retail traders to fill it, so they need to go sideways to attract retail traders to get on board

From here, it’s all about moving fast—moving slowly is just being the cannon fodder

$AIN In the morning there was a major mistake. This morning, a big bullish candle violently surged, and the trading volume expanded to around $10 million within one minute. You can imagine that a large number of short sellers were liquidated.
If you saw this line, what would be your first reaction?
Definitely to open a short.
Because this kind of aggressive short-squeeze rally will, within a short time, definitely pull back. How much it pulls back depends on the market maker’s mood—whether one wave is already finished, or whether it continues to grind like it’s doing now.

I saw this big bullish candle about 2 minutes later, but I didn’t look at the volume of the candle. If I had, I’d question whether I would dare to open a $10,000 short position immediately. Then the return over 30 minutes would be 30%.

This type of topping attempt (and it’s definitely the top) has a very high probability of success; opening a short is not recommended in other situations.

I watched for a while and found that the OI didn’t drop much, all data was normal, the market maker was still there, so I added to the position.

Let me do a quick review here.

The big brother with $AIN got rich, wiped out all the shorts, about 3 million USD. What’s next to do? It mainly depends on whether retail investors follow along—how to follow, let’s wait and see.

Went in too early—looked at the candlestick chart in the morning and chased after it. Did the friends who followed yesterday make any profit? $AIN #AIN

$KOMA currently OI is slowly accumulating, a wave from a month ago might not have finished running yet. Bought a long position with $1000 to bet on a lottery. #KOMA

There’s a big brother behind $AIN . It used to sell nodes and rode Alpha’s momentum onto a contract. About half a month ago it rose to 0.2, then they poured in 10x. The bottom has been collecting some positions, and today it started pumping. My feeling about this coin is: don’t get into a prolonged fight—shoot once and run.

All done, all done. I played a bit of the game and found out it was poured. There’s also a dual-crown form. I’ll try again and see.

Woke up late and found the lobster is up to its usual shenanigans again.

I checked the OI—there was a big increase last night, and on Twitter, some KOLs are calling it out.

No matter what the dealer’s intentions are, after looking at the candlestick chart, I decided to go in long first to make some meal money.

Remember: there’s no such thing as a random pump, and no such thing as a random dump.

For short-term trading, it’s all about moving with the trend—dance with the dealer, fire a shot, and then run.

These trades have an extremely high profit-to-loss ratio and are basically risk-free—one per day, and you’ve got your living expenses covered, right?

If it’s true, genuinely feel deep sympathy for him—cognition determines everything;
if it’s false, genuinely feel deep sympathy for the cut grass (i.e., the victims)—cognition determines everything.

Also congratulations to those who shorted $龙虾 —friends who weren’t led astray by all kinds of call-out KOLs.

Brother Xia officially clocked off for the day. See you again in a year (maybe not).#龙虾

https://www.binance.com/cn/futures/ref/23231592 paused for a moment, unity of knowledge and action. The reason is in the previous post.

Morning 8:15 15-minute candles: MA7 broke below MA15. At the time, I blinked out of the position—didn’t hold on.

For a good fast in-and-out short-term indicator for “yao coins,” MA is one of the better options.

At the moment, I’m not sure whether the big players have clocked out, or whether there’s more to come.

At this point in time, if you don’t have positions in $BTW $龙虾 or $MOVR , then don’t open a position.

This is a delicate moment for both the operators and the retail traders, because the operators have already rolled up their pants and the price has been pushed up—you’re just waiting for the retail crowd to get on board.

Once you get on, no matter whether you go long or short, the operators have different fallback plays.

This is not a good point for profit or loss.

$OPN is a fortunate one of the era and a cast-off of BNB. Before the BNB ecosystem had its own direct, in-house predictive market setup, $OPN was temporarily pushed onto Binance spot as a front. After that, BNB kept looking down on it all the way, and the team, too, gave up and let things go. I believe its founder, Forrest (Forest Ge), still intended to do something—but due to the larger environment and issues with circumstances, he simply couldn’t continue.

So the question is: today, $OPN will carry out a large unlock, with an expected 3.04% of the tokens becoming available; meanwhile, it already pulled a big move yesterday.

Given its past performance, you smart ones should know what to do, right?

https://www.binance.com/cn/futures/ref/23231592 Answer this: a project that has no money and has been abandoned by Binance—if it unlocks the next day and the price suddenly spikes on the first day, what does that mean? $OPN

https://www.binance.com/cn/futures/ref/23231592 Bearish bias but don’t short; anyone who’s afraid of high prices is a doomed soul. Dance with the dealer. $MOVR

Regarding $龙虾 , I’ll share some ideas. The lobster has been rising and falling for about a month. I divided it into a few stages:

1. Starting on August 22, it began to pull up. At the first yellow box, it started to dump, and it dumped until the second yellow box—roughly at the 0.035 level.
2. After that, it kept pulling up. It ran about 10x, and at the top it probed twice: the two yellow boxes shown in the image.
3. Then it kept dumping, and today it has reached the 0.035 level again, and started to rebound.

If you were the market maker (the “zhuangjia”), you would have two choices:
1.
Spend massive amounts of money to pull it back to 0.3. Along the way, it’s unknown whether any retail traders will jump in. Also unknown: how many retail traders who were trapped in the previous long position would cut their losses, and whether they might take this opportunity to get out at breakeven (only the market maker knows this number).

2. Pull it to a certain high point (this high point isn’t enough to let those who chased it previously get out of their positions), but it still attracts new retail longs. Then you dump it down in one wave and call it a day.

If you were the market maker, which one would you choose?

Of course, the entire process is dynamic and depends on how many retail traders this pull-up wave attracts to board, combined with the data from the previous cycle. The market maker would adjust the strategy dynamically. $龙虾

For the friends who want to short $MOVR
, a reminder: this token was a hot, top-tier hit in the Polkadot ecosystem back in those days, with a peak price of $500—so much so that investors and the team were making a fortune.
Over the past few years, it’s been steadily going downhill, but there was also a period in 2023 when, within a single week, it surged from $4 to $44.
Some background knowledge: the team behind it also worked on
$TANSSI $CNPY

You already know how to handle it, right?

$SQD washing out the market is over, dancing with the master

$HEI successfully ambushed