Class 🫡 Lao K Notes - I'm serious about taking notes!
It has been a week since the SEC approved the first phase of the Li Taifang spot ETF, and the market has been consolidating for nearly a week. Tonight, at 8:30 pm on May 31st, the government will announce the P11 core price index. We predict that after the announcement of this data, it will trigger the new market.
Why do you say that? Because this data is very important. The TCE1 core price index, like the CPI data, is a key reference data indicator for the Federal Reserve to decide whether to cut interest rates. The weight value is even higher than that of the CPI. The predicted value is 2.8. As long as the announced value is less than or equal to the predicted value, the expectation of a rate cut should increase greatly. The market will trigger a new energy rally. We can boldly predict that the announced value should be less than 2.8.
Why do you say that? Because if the Federal Reserve wants to cut interest rates in September. Or if the interest rate is cut in November, the TCE data should drop to around 2 in the future. So, starting from this month, the published data should gradually drop to around 2. Of course, there are many people who will say that many officials of the Federal Reserve have recently said that the US dollar will not cut interest rates, and may even raise interest rates. But what I want to say is that any organization has hawks and doves. In order to manage the expectations of the interest rate cut, the Federal Reserve will often send hawks and doves to speak in turn to intervene in the market. So we should not look at what they say, we should look at the specific actual market financial data and their actual actions. Don't be misled by their speeches for a while. #MegadropLista #现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准 #美众议院通过FIT21法案 #BTC走势分析 #meme板块关注热点 $BTC $ETH