There are 4 scenarios in the future, all of which are determined by the peace talks between Israel and Hamas and the CPI data next Wednesday

1. Successful peace talks + CPI lower than expected: probability 10% BTC soars back to $70,000, bull market returns quickly, great joy

2. Failed peace talks + CPI lower than expected: probability 35% Failed peace talks lead to a big drop, CPI lower than expected rebounds a wave of positive and negative offset each other, BTC fluctuates around $60,000, but the copycat bleeds and gets hurt

3. Successful peace talks + CPI higher than expected: probability 35% In this case, successful peace talks are not considered good news, we can only say that if it does not fall, CPI higher than expected will definitely fall sharply, BTC falls to $55,000

4. Failed peace talks + CPI higher than expected: probability 20% Both are negative news, BTC falls below $55,000, defense $50,000 After looking at these 4 scenarios, we can conclude: more bad news than good news. Therefore, lower your expectations, so that you can buy the bottom if it falls, even if it falls by 1%, you can buy more coins when you buy them back

Whether it is a contract or spot, the principle is the same. OpenAI will hold a press conference next Monday. If WLD rises sharply, remember to sell it first. If the good news is all gone, it will be bad news. Buy it back if it falls later. #btc