According to TechFlow, Arthur, founder of crypto investment fund DeFiance Capital, tweeted that July 14, 2023 marks the official end of the 2022-2023 bear market. The specific analysis is as follows:

1. The worst of the macro tightening is over, CPI is falling, and real interest rates are positive. It is possible to see interest rate cuts next year;

2. Starting with BlackRock’s application for a Bitcoin ETF, institutions continue to accept cryptocurrencies as an asset class;

3. If the SEC cannot win a case against the token most likely to be defined as a security (XRP), then the likelihood of other tokens being confirmed as securities will be greatly reduced;

4. Most short-term speculators have left the market. Except for some clear unlocking schedules, current holders may not sell in the short term.

5. The market allocation to non-BTC and ETH is seriously insufficient;

7. Hong Kong’s policy of welcoming cryptocurrencies is real, and this will open the door for Asian financial institutions to enter cryptocurrencies in a legal manner.