What stage is the bull market in?
1. The bull market is in the middle stage
I personally think that the rhythm of the previous bitcoin halving will reach the bull market peak in about a year has not been broken. In this round of market, bitcoin has risen sharply, but we have found that the cottage has not risen much. After the big bitcoin fell a little in the past two days, the cottage plummeted, which further confirmed my guess. The market is in the middle stage of the bull market, so the market will return to the previous bull market rhythm like the previous bull market rhythm.
The key to everyone not being able to find the rhythm is that Bitcoin has risen too much, which has confused most retail investors. There is no rhythm at all. They have been panicking and trapped. They are helpless, with all kinds of emotions, and they are very anxious. Although the big bitcoin has risen sharply, most people are losing money. Losing money in the bull market will make everyone more anxious, which has caused a rush to buy at the bottom and then be buried.
I dare not say that the market will be like the last bull market, with a 312 plunge, but history is always surprisingly similar. The market should start with a light car. Now retail investors can actually feel whether the car is heavy or not. Therefore, the bull market will not start easily and will not let most people make money.
2. The violent bull market will definitely come as expected
Personally, I think there will definitely be a violent bull market within a year after the halving, and the madness of the copycat will also come, but you will definitely use up your bullets before that stage comes. The only ones who can make money are the old hands who have experienced several rounds of bull markets. They are not old leeks, but people who have their own system of bottom-fishing and top-escape. I don’t want to say much about many old leeks. I think they have experienced several rounds of bull markets, but they still lose a lot of money. They are not as good as newbies. The main thing is to be obedient and do what you are told.
Finally, whether it is spot or contract in the currency circle, it must be bloody, and only a very small number of people can make money. Whether you play by yourself or with others, it is difficult to make money. The last opportunity to bottom-fish in this round of bull market will come as expected in the next few months. I hope everyone can successfully bottom-fish and escape the top smoothly.