You will never earn money beyond your knowledge. If you earn it by luck, you will eventually lose it by your own strength.
Why not use leverage? Have you ever thought about it carefully? Is the chance of winning or losing using leverage 50%? If you think so, you are totally wrong.
Let's do the math. If you open a contract at any point, regardless of the fundamentals, just look at the probability issue.
If you open a 10x long contract,
In the first case, the probability of rising and falling is 50% each.
In the second case, the market is indeed going up, but there is a 50% chance that the dealer will smash the price before it goes up, that is, smash the price first and then pull it up.
In the third case, the market is indeed going up, but the dealer pushes it up, then drops it instantly, and there is a 50% chance that it will go back up again.
In order to make the right direction at this time, all three conditions must be met at the same time. The market goes directly up, without a drop first and then a pullup, or a pullup first and then a drop and then a pullup again. If all three conditions are met at the same time, the probability at this time is the product of three 50%s.
So your probability of winning the contract is: 50%*50%*50% equals 0.125, or one eighth.
The probability of losing is seven out of eight!
Even if the above three situations eventually go up, it is likely that they will have nothing to do with you because you are out.
Therefore, even if you are doing short-term trading, you should not do contracts. If you make a wrong short-term direction, you can wait for a rebound, but once the contract is exploded, all the ups and downs have nothing to do with you.
In fact, spot trading for swings is a double contract, but the spot will never be liquidated, giving you the opportunity to make corrections.
You taste it, you taste it carefully.
Also, if you don't believe in superstition and think you can predict the market, go ahead and try it. After all, you have to pay the tuition fee sooner or later.
Please indicate the source when reprinting: Big Rock Sugar Orange
Follow me, let’s get rich together in the next bull market