After reading the previous article ""My understanding of the profit-loss ratio (1)", you should be able to have a basic understanding of the profit-loss ratio.
Last time we used the method of fixed stop loss as the basis, this time I will use the method of fixed stop profit as the basis for discussion.
When making a transaction at the market price, the general handling fee is about 0.1%. After accounting for slippage, the handling fee may be between 0.1% and 0.13%. We calculate this by substituting the same value as last time into 0.13%.
Next, let’s discuss the methods of taking profit and stop loss.
2. Set 2% above your preset reversal point as take profit.
2-1. Assume that the stop loss is set to 1% downward as the stop loss, then the profit and loss ratio at this time is 2/1.13, which is approximately 1.76.
2-1-1. When the winning rate is 50%, the expected return of each transaction is approximately 0.432%.
〔(1+(0.02×0.5))÷(1+(0.0113×0.5))−1〕
2-1-2. When the winning rate is less than 36%, the funds will slowly decrease. When the winning rate is 36%, the expected return is -0.003%.
〔(1+(0.02×0.36))÷(1+(0.0113×0.64))−1〕
2-2. Assuming that the stop loss is set upward by 0.5% as the stop loss, the profit-loss ratio at this time is 1.5/0.63, which is approximately 2.38.
2-2-1. When the winning rate is 50%, the expected return of each transaction is approximately 0.682%
〔 ((1+(0.02×0.50))÷(1+(0.0063×0.50)−1)〕
2-2-2. However, after reducing the stop loss, the winning rate of each transaction will also decrease relatively. Assuming that when the winning rate is reduced to 40%, the expected return of each transaction is approximately 0.42%.
〔((1+(0.02×0.40))÷(1+(0.0063×0.60)−1)〕
Here you will find that if the winning rate of stop loss 0.5% and stop loss 1% is reduced accordingly, the expected value will not increase.
Therefore, the determination of stop loss is as important as the profit and loss ratio.