Possibly influenced by the expected airdrop of the Terra ecological stablecoin project Mint Cash, USTC surged, with a 24-hour increase of 156.97%. What is Mint Cash? Who is the team behind it? Chen Mo, founder of BV DAO, published an article to interpret the information gap behind the surge and the connection between Celestia + Nomic + Anchor in the online picture.
1. The information gap behind the surge
It is not the community proposal that has been circulated outside. That proposal has not yet entered the voting stage and is just a discussion on the forum. The core reason is more likely that the new project Mint Cash @wemintcash and the new version of Anchor Protocol @SailOnAnchor that the Anchor team members are about to participate in.
2. What is Mint Cash?
A BTC-collateralized stablecoin system based on the original Terra Classic codebase.
3. What is the connection between Celestia+Nomic+Anchor in the picture circulated on the Internet?
Mint Cash is an IBC chain derived from Terra Classic, so Celestia will be used in the DA layer, and Nomic's nBTC will be used for the issuance of stablecoins. A new version of Anchor Protocol will be released in Mint Cash named Anchor Sail @SailOnAnchor
The new version of Anchor Sail plays a very important role in Mint Cash and plays a key role in the growth and anchoring of stablecoins.
4. Who are the team members?
Core developers come from the former Anchor team, as well as Aleph Research, whose developers are also planning to build Polaris EVM support based on the Cosmos SDK together with @CosmWasm and @Berachain.
5. Mint Cash will be cold-launched with $USTC in 2 ways
(i) Holding $UST or $LUNA before the crash on May 10, 2022
(ii) Lock and destroy a specified amount of $USTC through the Mint Cash airdrop
The airdrop algorithm here does not disclose the detailed calculation method, but the current statement is that USTC will be calculated at a valuation of 1 US dollar, which is also one of the market's fomo points.
6. What are the rewards?
This issue should be what the market is most concerned about. Currently, the circulation of $USTC is 9 billion. Many people use this number to directly push the valuation of new projects to nearly 10 billion. However, it is obvious that not all of these circulating $USTC will go into new projects. A reasonable state may be 1/3 or 1/2. That is, based on 1 US dollar, the valuation of new projects is between 3 billion and 4.5 billion. The FDV of LUNA 2.0 is currently 800 million US dollars. You can calculate your own price based on 1 US dollar.
If calculated based on 0.014 before the pull-up, it would be about 40M-60M. Based on the current market feedback, the market believes that this valuation is low and the odds are very high.
Of course, another question here is your expectations of the new team. After all, this is a project that currently only has a white paper. If you are a rational investor, you should get to know the team more deeply and read the white paper. But if you are an old Degen, you will probably like it very much.
7. Market reaction
It took 3-4 days or even less than a week from the concept of Celestia+Nomic+Anchor to the pull of $USTC. In the past few days, the price of the currency did not even fluctuate at all. In addition, the liquidity of USTC is very good. It is not the kind of depth that can be pulled up by hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars. Last night, the trading volume of Binance alone exceeded 100 million, and it is still growing today.
In addition, the goal of Mint Cash is not to pull $USTC back to 1, but to launch new projects. Simply put, your valuation expectations for new projects determine the current price expectations of $USTC.