大丽7613

😢 Woke up to news that Binance had been hacked, and BTC plunged in response.
The market had anticipated countless possibilities, but no one expected this sudden black swan event. Rumors online put the amount stolen at 5 billion, but fortunately, half the funds have been successfully frozen. The actual losses are manageable, and the platform has promised full compensation. Exchanges have suffered hacks before, too.

Bitcoin has strong support around 76,400, with the previous low of 75,000 as another key level. Spot buyers can look for opportunities to build positions in stages. For those waiting to buy the dip, this unexpected drop has created a chance to enter at lower prices.

The crypto market's recovery will most likely be delayed by a few weeks—good things take time. Once we weather this period of volatility, the market may have a chance to move higher.

Is Wall Street quietly moving in? As Bitcoin continues to languish, ETF funds are starting to buy heavily! What exactly is happening behind the scenes?

1. As the chart shows, Wall Street has chosen this moment to buy the dip. After several weeks of sustained net outflows, Bitcoin ETFs have turned to net inflows, with average purchases of $500 million over the past five days! Does this mean BTC is about to rebound?
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2. An opportunity is gradually approaching! Bitcoin has been in a prolonged downtrend for over a month, and as the correction drags on, the odds of a rebound are rising. Even in a bear market, an extended decline is often followed by a recovery bounce. Most investors looking to take profits have already cashed out and left, so a Bitcoin rebound could kick off at any moment—all it needs is some positive news to ignite the market!
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3. Keep an eye on two key windows: the Fed’s policy meeting, from Wednesday night into the early hours of Thursday next week. If the Fed holds rates steady, the market will likely price in expectations of a rebound. Also worth watching is the PCE inflation data at 8:30 p.m. Thursday. As long as inflation doesn’t come in higher than expected, it should be positive for the market.
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4. From a candlestick-chart perspective, Bitcoin’s major resistance is currently at $84,000, with secondary resistance around $82,500—you can see it on the chart. We previously opened short positions several times at these two levels. If the market tests them again, those holding long positions may consider trimming some of their positions. More aggressive traders could try a small short position.

Is Bitcoin saved? Oil prices pull back—could a rebound be coming? 👀

Over the weekend, U.S. crude briefly surged to $105. Geopolitical tensions pushed up oil prices and weighed on global risk assets. Then, as news developments shifted, oil prices plunged 5% in a single day, while U.S. stocks and crypto markets showed signs of recovery.

Many people are wondering: where will BTC go from here?
Recent geopolitical events show just how strongly macro news can affect risk assets. But there’s one trend worth watching: despite a barrage of negative news lately—with U.S.-Iran tensions and the Red Sea situation taking turns rattling markets—Bitcoin’s losses have been relatively limited. It pulled back only slightly, from around $82,000 to $80,000, showing some resilience compared with U.S. stocks.

If negative news can’t push prices much lower, any positive catalysts that emerge could give the market room to rebound.
From a technical perspective, keep an eye on the key support zone around $78,200, an area where market participants are likely to be closely watching price action.

As for oil, we had previously observed a five-wave upward structure. The fifth wave was nearing its peak, after which prices pulled back. The timing of this latest macro-driven move is worth reviewing.

But let’s stay clear-eyed: geopolitical tensions could flare up again at any time, while inflation data and policy expectations remain uncertain. There are no guarantees in the market.
All market observations are for my personal review only and do not constitute any recommendation to buy or sell. Crypto assets are highly volatile and carry significant risk, so be sure to manage your position size and only trade within your means.

Everyone, please help by voting. Thank you all 😍😍😍😍

I dedicate this song to everyone who shares the CZ community’s vision, and to all those who remain steadfast in pursuing their dreams❗

The overall trend for BTC is still bullish, so patience is needed. I'm still holding spot; during the medium-term consolidation, just take it slowly.

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Oh my God! The data blew past expectations, with CPI inflation higher than expected across the board!
Expectations for a rate hike at the October policy meeting have surged.
But a rate hike at the end of October is still highly unlikely. This is just a short-term negative, and the market needs time to digest it!

Thank you all for your support!

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The crypto market has been hammered! What’s behind the downturn? Will prices keep falling? SOL continues to weaken—what’s really going on?

1. Let’s start with the logic behind Bitcoin’s decline. Just look at the chart. This week’s pullback across crypto was mainly driven by weakness in the broader U.S. stock market, with the Nasdaq dropping 1,000 points! So why are U.S. stocks weakening?

2. The U.S. stock market has also been struggling lately. Markets had initially expected a push to new all-time highs, but last week, the Saudi-Yemen conflict sent oil prices soaring, and stocks fell in response. This week, markets had been expected to recover, but the storage sector suddenly collapsed. ChangXin Technology announced a major technological breakthrough that could challenge the dominance of the industry’s three giants, further dampening risk appetite.

3. Back to crypto: what should you do now? There’s no need to panic. Pullbacks can be good opportunities to get in. As we’ve discussed before, around $80,500 is an attractive level for positioning in Bitcoin. Traders can use futures to bet on a rebound, while spot investors can build positions gradually at lower prices during this pullback.

4. Now let’s look at SOL. Why has it fallen so sharply? SOL has a relatively smaller market cap, and its volatility is much higher than the broader market’s. During rallies, its gains are often twice Bitcoin’s; during downturns, its losses are magnified too. For example, if Bitcoin falls from $120,000 to $60,000, SOL might drop from $300 to $60—that’s the nature of a highly volatile asset. But high volatility also means greater potential upside if you manage to buy the bottom.

5. So this steep drop in SOL could actually be an entry opportunity. The deeper the fall, the stronger the subsequent rebound often is. SOL has already doubled during this period, so a pullback is a normal part of the trend. Be patient and wait for this correction cycle to end—SOL could surge again in the next rally!

The situation in the Middle East is spiraling out of control. Will crypto and U.S. stocks plunge tomorrow? Here are my thoughts.

Following the U.S.-Iran conflict, fighting has flared up again between Saudi Arabia and Yemen. A Saudi airport was attacked, leaving 12 people dead and 309 injured, with many civilians affected. The biggest risk remains oil prices.
The Strait of Hormuz is blocked, and Saudi Arabia relies on the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for its oil exports—but that area is controlled by the Houthis. An escalation in the conflict adds huge uncertainty to the market rebound.

My advice for next week is to be cautious. It’s not that crypto is weak; there are simply too many short-term headwinds: interest rate hikes, the U.S.-Iran dispute, U.S. debt issues, and now the fighting in Saudi Arabia. All we can do is hope for signs of de-escalation on Monday.

But from another perspective, despite all these negative factors, U.S. stocks have held steady, and BTC’s pullback has been relatively modest. That’s a sign of strength. We should stay patient and lie low. Once tensions ease or positive news comes through, a new market rally will begin.

Brother Yinghong says he got up.