Pay attention to the release of US CPI data in the near future (short-term market bearish)

Next Thursday at 21:30 Beijing time, the United States will release inflation data - the Federal Reserve's November interest rate meeting left many suspense, so this data is particularly important

There are differences in market expectations. Although the difference is not large, it will have an impact on the market.

A Bloomberg survey shows that economists expect the US CPI growth rate to slow to 7.9% in October, and the core CPI growth rate excluding food and energy with large fluctuations to slow to 6.5%

If the CPI growth rate is 8.0% or below, it is very likely that a 50 basis point rate hike in December will be confirmed, which is the situation with the least impact on the market;

If the CPI growth rate is greater than 8.0%, then the expectation of a 75 basis point rate hike in December may rise, the US dollar index may test the high of this round of trend again, and the stock market may usher in another plunge.