#willfomcminutesreinforceratehikeexpectations?
Whether the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (Fed) upcoming meeting will support the possibility of a rate hike in December has become the most debated topic in the markets. 🏦🔍
🏦 Current Situation and Expectations
Key Date 🗓️. The FOMC minutes from the Fed’s October 27–28 meeting will be released on Wednesday, November 18, at 22:00 TRT. Rate Policy History ⚖️. The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points in September, bringing them to a range of 3.75%–4.00%, and held them at that level at its October meeting. Hawkish Signals and Inflation 🦅🔥. Core inflation in October came in above expectations at 0.3% month over month, and Fed officials raised the possibility of a faster or 50-basis-point hike, pushing rate-hike expectations higher.
📉 Impact on Markets and Crypto
December Pricing 🎯. Futures markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and a 15% chance of a 50-basis-point hike at the December 9 meeting. Crypto Under Pressure 📉💸. Higher rate expectations are strengthening the dollar index and bond yields, while putting selling pressure on risk assets such as Bitcoin (around the $65,000 level) and XRP. Clues to Watch 🕵️♂️. Investors are focusing on how many members consider another rate hike before year-end necessary and how much emphasis the minutes place on inflation risks.
$MEGA $UAI $VVV
Whether the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (Fed) upcoming meeting will support the possibility of a rate hike in December has become the most debated topic in the markets. 🏦🔍
🏦 Current Situation and Expectations
Key Date 🗓️. The FOMC minutes from the Fed’s October 27–28 meeting will be released on Wednesday, November 18, at 22:00 TRT. Rate Policy History ⚖️. The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points in September, bringing them to a range of 3.75%–4.00%, and held them at that level at its October meeting. Hawkish Signals and Inflation 🦅🔥. Core inflation in October came in above expectations at 0.3% month over month, and Fed officials raised the possibility of a faster or 50-basis-point hike, pushing rate-hike expectations higher.
📉 Impact on Markets and Crypto
December Pricing 🎯. Futures markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and a 15% chance of a 50-basis-point hike at the December 9 meeting. Crypto Under Pressure 📉💸. Higher rate expectations are strengthening the dollar index and bond yields, while putting selling pressure on risk assets such as Bitcoin (around the $65,000 level) and XRP. Clues to Watch 🕵️♂️. Investors are focusing on how many members consider another rate hike before year-end necessary and how much emphasis the minutes place on inflation risks.
$MEGA $UAI $VVV
