Sentiment Daily: Fear in U.S. stocks is frozen over the weekend, while crypto fear keeps sliding.

Let’s put the three gauges on the table first. The CNN Fear & Greed Index is at 39, in fear territory, unchanged—the U.S. stock market is closed over the weekend, so this figure still reflects Friday’s close. That makes seven consecutive readings in the fear zone. The Cboe Volatility Index is at 19.29, also unchanged from Friday’s close, just 0.71 points below the 20-point alert level. The first thing to watch at Monday’s open is whether it breaks above 20. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 10, in extreme fear, down another 3 points from yesterday’s 13. It’s gone from 28 to 20 to 13 to 10—four straight days of declines. It’s a full 40 points below the neutral threshold of 50, and just one step away from single digits.

On the price front, Bitcoin is around $62,575, down 8.42% in 24 hours and 8.4% from yesterday’s 9:30 a.m. snapshot of about $68,317. It plunged below $65,000 on Saturday in one go, hitting its lowest level since mid-August. It’s down about 14% for the week. Ethereum is around $1,726, down 10.60% in 24 hours, and Solana is around $68.72, down 11.18%—each falling harder than the last. Over the past 24 hours, liquidations across the crypto market totaled $1 billion to $1.2 billion, washing out another wave of leveraged longs.

The interesting thing is this divergence: fear in U.S. stocks is static, while fear in crypto is still moving. At Friday’s close, the two sides looked more or less in sync. After one weekend, crypto has taken another couple of steps toward the abyss on its own. The S&P 500 at 7,561.67 and the Nasdaq 100 at 27,943.74 are both still at Friday’s closing levels. Monday’s open will be the first real test—will U.S. stocks make up for the weekend’s crypto sell-off?

There are just three levels to watch: whether the Crypto Fear & Greed Index drops into single digits, whether Bitcoin can hold the $60,000 round-number level, and whether the Cboe Volatility Index breaks above 20 on Monday. When sentiment falls to 10, history suggests that the lower it goes, the fewer people dare to be bullish—but a genuine sentiment turning point may not be far off either. No need to rush into buying the dip; let’s first see how U.S. stocks open on Monday.

#比特币 #Market Sentiment
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