The U.S. Congress is turning its attention to prediction markets: On November 13, the House Oversight Committee released a memo after reviewing nearly 1,700 pages of documents and holding five bipartisan briefings. Its conclusion was simple: officials, military personnel, and people with security clearances who have inside information are using it to make money on Polymarket and Kalshi. The committee recommended that Congress consider legislation to either ban officials from betting altogether or prohibit only government-related contracts. The Senate has already moved first, imposing a blanket ban. The most outrageous case: Army Sergeant Major Van Dyke was accused of using classified information about the operation to capture Maduro to make $409,000 on Polymarket. Prediction markets were supposed to harness “the wisdom of the crowd”—now they’ve become an ATM for insider trading. If this crackdown goes ahead, are the good times about to end for Kalshi and Polymarket?#预测市场 #Kalshi